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LA-SD20: Dems Hold Tough Open Seat

by: James L.

Sat Aug 29, 2009 at 8:46 PM EDT


UPDATE: It's over. Democrat Norbért "Norby" Chabert wins by almost a nine-point spread. Nice work.

Polls will close in a few minutes for a pair of special elections in Louisiana. One, a House special, is a D-on-D affair, but there's also a state Senate special election that's a bit more interesting: the former occupant of the seat was a Democrat who resigned to serve as Terrebonne Parish's levee director earlier this summer, and it's also one of the state Senate districts whose lines overlap with Charlie Melancon's 3rd Congressional District.

More, from Josh Goodman:

Only in Louisiana does a state legislator resign to become his parish's levee director. State Senator Reggie Dupre, a Democrat, left earlier this summer to serve as Terrebonne Parish's levee director, setting up a special election in Louisiana's 20th District tomorrow.

This should be a tight race. In the first round of voting, Republican Brent Callais took 38%, while Democrat Norby Chabert took 33%. The third candidate in the primary, Damon Baldone, was also a Democrat, but it's not clear that his votes will go to Chabert. Baldone hasn't endorsed either of his two former foes. A Callais win would chip into the 23-16 Democratic advantage in the Louisiana Senate.

So far as I can tell, this area of coastal Louisiana is ancestrally Democratic, but very conservative. The district covers parts of Terrebonne Parish and Lafourche Parish. I don't know about the specific areas of the parishes that are in the 20th District, but overall both Terrebonne and Lafourche gave John McCain about 70% of the vote. In contrast, Mary Landrieu's U.S. Senate race was very tight in both parishes.

While downballot special elections are often unpredictable affairs that serve as unreliable tea leaves for future elections, this one will be of some interest to those looking to gauge the health of the Dem brand in Cajun country.

RESULTS: LA SoS
James L. :: LA-SD20: Dems Hold Tough Open Seat
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LA-SD20: Dems Hold Tough Open Seat | 128 comments
Let's hope the votes don't follow the percentage of what I assume is the absentees
62-38

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.
Yes, Norby is going to have to improve on that.


34, WM, Democrat, FL-11
[ Parent ]
Then again, CW is that absentees favor Republicans


Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.
[ Parent ]
Those absentees
are from Norby's home parish.  I hate to see what the other parish's absentees look like.

Looks like Callais attacked Norby on the Obama health care "plan" at the last minute.  Could get some serious traction in Cajun country.

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11

[ Parent ]
Obama
I think the R mentioned that Norby voted for Obama in like every sentence he spoke.

Libertarian secular Republican, MO-7
[ Parent ]
In the Deep South
that's all I would do if I were a Republican.  Simply tie any Democrat to Obama.  It is not a strategy that will do diddley squat nationally, but it is a big winner in the South.
[ Parent ]
Look how well it worked
for Greg Davis against Travis Childers!  Southerners may be flawed in some ways but they're not so patently stupid as to believe Travis Childers = Barack Obama bullshit.  It's a cultural thing as much as a policy thing.  "Their" Democrats are different from the national Democrats.  It's been happening reliably for a really long time.  It's not gonna stop in 2010.

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11
[ Parent ]
Yep
Democrats winning in Republican presidential districts is a fascinating phenomenon that I would love to read more about in some type of academic/ in depth study if that exists somewhere...
[ Parent ]
I find it to be
one of the most fascinating phenomena in politics.  There is going to be a gradual attrition of Southern Dems, mostly coming open-seat by open-seat as the old guys/gals retire.  But the ones that are in office now are pretty rock solid and have been for a long time.  Some like Boucher and Spratt survived 1994 and are still in office winning easily.

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11
[ Parent ]
But you see new Democrats take over these districts too
Like we did tonight. Sure there will be some attrition through retirements but look at what we did in AL last year and in MS and LA in 2007-08 where we picked up new seats that had not seen Democrats in years or where an old time blue dog was stepping down to be replaced by another.  
[ Parent ]
Damn right
In the big picture, there's evidence of a slow drift towards Republicans in the South even at the local level.  Look at State Legislature composition in OK, TN, and GA for example.  But it's way slower than the presidential drift towards R's in the South.

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11
[ Parent ]
Much like
tying such Democrats to Pelosi did jackshit to stop them from taking back Congress in 2006.

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28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)
[ Parent ]
If
the effort couldn't work against a "San Francisco liberal" (which has pretty much lost its luster as a derogatory term anyway), then I don't see it happening against anyone else.

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28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)
[ Parent ]
yes
those are absentees.

Libertarian secular Republican, MO-7
If Norby wins,
Melancon will surely beat Vitter in at least three parishes in 2010.

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11
Also SE in HD-40
But thats 2 Dems there,  
Wow
That one's already over. Anna C. Simmons is the State Rep-Elect in HD-40
[ Parent ]
it looks like Ledricka Johnson Thierry
is ahead now
[ Parent ]
the 2 D election
Does anyone know if one D is more conservative or liberal than the other?

Libertarian secular Republican, MO-7
Heres some profiles-
http://www.katc.com/Global/sto... - Anna Simmons
http://www.katc.com/Global/sto... - Ledricka Thierry, Rep-Elect
Its interesting how similar they are. They were both black, Democrat, women, not something you see in too many LA elections
[ Parent ]
wow
Norby ahead.

Libertarian secular Republican, MO-7
Norby takes the lead.
God, I am an elections junkie.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.
no kidding
Why do I care about this?  I just bought a brand new TV and I am waiting for this to be over before I set it up.

Libertarian secular Republican, MO-7
[ Parent ]
Norby
Norby ahead now w/ 51.32%

17, Gay Male, Democrat, NJ-8  
COME ON NORBY!!!!!
THAT'S WHAT I'M TALKING ABOUT!!!!

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11
[ Parent ]
Callais back on top.
Despair.  Gloom.  We're doomed in 2010.

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11
[ Parent ]
Callais back up
by little less than 200. Also, heres, IMO, a better link for the results, its flash based instead of text
http://electionresults.sos.lou...
Aug. 1 Results
Lafourche Parish
Baldone (D): 1359
Callais (R): 2245
Chabert (D): 1954

Terrebonne Parish
Baldone (D): 2598
Callais (R): 2810
Chabert (D): 2405

Lafourche Parish
D: 3313
R: 2245

Terrebonne Parish
D: 5003
R: 2810

I think Norby's going to win.
He's back on top and the gap is closing in Terrebonne with half counted.  LaFourche has barely started, and seems to be Norby country.

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11
[ Parent ]
Norby retakes the lead
He's narrowing the gap in Terrebonne.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.
Really weird
Callais is from LaFourche and Chabert is from Terrebonne, but the results are ass backwards.  Go figure.  It's Cajun country.

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11
[ Parent ]
Thing about it is, Terrebonne is more than half in, while LaFourche only has one precinct it
It's possible that Norby barely ekes out a win in his home parish but loses as his opponent wins his easily.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.
[ Parent ]
I'm judging from the early voting
that Norby is strong in LaFourche.  Could be premature.

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11
[ Parent ]
Only 1 precinct
Only 1 precinct from Callais's home parish isn't exactly the best indicator
[ Parent ]
I was going strictly on the early voting
which was like 66-34 for Norby - not the one precinct.  You may not have been online when that came in.  

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11
[ Parent ]
recruiting
I think this is another case where the Ds have out recruited the Rs, just as was the case in KY last Tuesday.  

Libertarian secular Republican, MO-7
[ Parent ]
Yeah but
that's all part of the game.  The fact that Dems are able to recruit well suggests that this is not a gloom and doom environment, or at least that the recruits don't think so.  

Norby and Robin Webb, you restore my faith in humanity.

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11

[ Parent ]
wow
There is goes.

Libertarian secular Republican, MO-7
NORBY TAKES IT TO THE HOUSE
All over but the crying.  LaFourche comes in huge for NORBY!

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11
amazed
I am still amazed by the number of people who voted for McCain but vote D in local races.

Libertarian secular Republican, MO-7
[ Parent ]
It's a more powerful phenomenon
than people on SSP give it credit for.  People in these places don't think of "their" Democrats the same way they think of national Democrats.

I think, for example, Parker Griffith and Bobby Bright will win re-election, while some others in suburban districts, like maybe Grayson, Kosmas, or Markey, may fall.  

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11

[ Parent ]
I think it will be the other way around
Griffith/Bright will lose simply because they are Democrats in hostile districts, and Grayson and Kosmas may survive because their districts are much more sane.
[ Parent ]
But Griffith and Bright are "hostile" too.


34, WM, Democrat, FL-11
[ Parent ]
Not sufficient IMO
They are DINOs for sure.  Normally that would be sufficient, and it was in special elections for state legislature seats.

But it won't be in 2010 when the Dem base (specifically blacks) are not as fired up as 2008, and the Repub base (birthers/teabaggers in the South) is really really fired up.  
Basically the 2010 Southern electorate will be a lot more anti-Democratic (regardless of the kind of Democrat) than it was in 2008, IMO.


[ Parent ]
Why?
Will they be more fired up than the guy who brought the assault rifle to an Obama event?  You really think the 2010 electorate will be worse than it is now for these special elections?  

A lot of these Southern Dems have been through numerous cycles where the Dem base wasn't "fired up" and nevertheless survived, often easily.  I just don't see the evidence that 2010 is going to be so cataclysmic as to break historical trends.

Even 1994 did not really see this purge of entrenched D's in the South.  Jack Brooks of Texas was maybe the exception, but he got voted out specifically for his support of anti-gun legislation.  None of the Southern Dems in office now will do some shit like that.

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11

[ Parent ]
That is because these voters
are traditionally conservative Democrats.  As long as the Democrat is conservative enough, they vote Democratic.  If the Democrat is not conservative enough, then they vote Republican.

I have argued that in 2010, it will not be enough to be "conservative enough" in the rural South, and several Democrats in the South will be kicked out simply due to opposition to Obama due to very high turnout by birthers and teabaggers.  

We'll see which phenomenon is true next year.

[ Parent ]
There is no evidence suggesting that
birthers and tea-baggers havent already been turning out to vote.  These people are also the pro-life, scared of queers idiots who turnout in elections for their savior, Jesus Christ.
[ Parent ]
White Born Again Vote
actually went up from 23% of the population in 2004 to 26% in 2008.  The fundies did not forget to vote in 2008.

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11
[ Parent ]
Hot damn!
Looking good now.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.
'08 pres and sen
Obama couldn't even get 30% in either county. Landrieu lost terrebonne (50 to 48)and won lafourche (49% to 48%). If a Chabert wins this race, it will be a good sign for Melancon when he runs against Vitter.
Not as conservative
Melancon is not as conservative as Chabert. That will hurt
[ Parent ]
But Melancon has been
elected and re-elected in these parts, the last time unopposed.  He will undoubtedly do well in his home district against Vitter.  He will get drilled in the 1st District.  He needs to focus hard on the North and West.

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11
[ Parent ]
YEah,
but Melancon has made some new votes since then.He isn't too popular anymore, why do you think he bailed? I'm sure re-districting had to do with it too, but..
[ Parent ]
Are you talking about the global warming trip
Doesn't seem that bad.  Kind of wasteful and over-the-top, but it was bipartisan with 8 other reps.

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11
[ Parent ]
No
I mean his votes. I didn't even know about the trip. The stimulus vote didn't make too many of his constituents too happy. I think he might have been a little favored for re-election, but once the candidates starting attacking him, it would have gotten alot closer. But, the open-seat race is gonna be alot easier than if he had stayed. With all of the money he had, he would have been able to put up a tough fight. I was always skeptical when the NRCC said that he would be an easy target, while he was running for re-election.  
[ Parent ]
I gather you're in Louisiana
so you have a resident's feel for the shape of state politics, but is there any relatively hard evidence that the stimulus was actually unpopular in Louisiana? Folks there actually think they don't want aid from the Federal government, even after the horrible example of what happens when it doesn't arrive in a timely fashion after a natural disaster?

"I'm not a member of any organized political party, I'm a Democrat!"
--  Will Rogers  
[ Parent ]
Yes.
I don't live in the third district though. I live in the 4th district. It was unpopular among all the people I spoke to. I know in, either April or May, Melancon held a town hall and it didnt turn out too good. He got hammered on the stimulus. Also, I go fishing alot in Chalmette, a little fishing town in the 3rd CD, lots of cajuns. Not too happy that Melancon voted for the stimulus. But they are also the one's that would be most upset in LA about prostitutes I bet. A, ftr, I come from the super conservative 1st district. I lived there until summer 2008.  
[ Parent ]
Thanks for the anecdotes
Do you know if this has been polled in Louisiana?

Also, what is it that actually upsets them about the stimulus?

"I'm not a member of any organized political party, I'm a Democrat!"
--  Will Rogers  

[ Parent ]
No
I don't know. And LA is very conservative. Even most of our Dems, except for NOLA. Not big fans of taxes and spending.  
[ Parent ]
Thanks
n/t

"I'm not a member of any organized political party, I'm a Democrat!"
--  Will Rogers  
[ Parent ]
Kinda doubt it.
But I'd guess both of us would need to see a hypothetical poll to be sure. My gut sense was that he would've been in decent shape against someone like Monica.
[ Parent ]
Callais has narrowed the gap significantly in LaFourche
Only two precincts left to go there versus sixteen in Terrebonne.  

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.
over
That is all and it was not close.

Libertarian secular Republican, MO-7
Norby widens a little
with 6 precincts left.  Looking good.

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11
much credit
I have to say that southern Dems know how to do this.  I can't imagine anywhere in the country where Republicans win by 10 points in open seat elections where McCain got less than 30%.

Libertarian secular Republican, MO-7
It's over.
Norby looks likely to win both parishes.

Hopefully, this carries into the special election here in Georgia for HD-141.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

On the birght side..
Its a hold for Dems, not a gain
You mean
On the bright side for you. Anyhow, I guess that's what many Republicans were saying to console themselves after NY-20.
[ Parent ]
Right
A loss in NY-23 would be devastating.If you lose something you had, it hurts alot more than losing something you had.  
[ Parent ]
Just for you
This is a Democratic blog bud. I don't mind the GOP analysis but the fear mongering and balloon busting is a little annoying.
[ Parent ]
Settle down dude.
GOPVOTER is a good guy.  Let's just relax and bask in the glow of Norby and Robin Webb.  You feelin' that glow fitchfan?  Aw yeah!!

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11
[ Parent ]
I'm feeling it
I just don't want somebody pissin in my corn flakes when we win a tough open seat.
[ Parent ]
Sorry
I'll try keepin your corn flakes piss free from now on  
[ Parent ]
Alright sounds good n/t

[ Parent ]
You can pee in the corn flakes
Norby has delivered us some delicious jambalaya!  I'd rather have that.  COME ON NORBY!  GO TEAM BLUE!

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11
[ Parent ]
I agree
I wish he had a different user name quite frankly (as seeing GOPVOTER makes my head hurt), but his comments have usually been very informative.  
[ Parent ]
the caps?
I think I accidently pressed cap lock!  
[ Parent ]
Its ok
yeah the caps is kind of bothersome.  Not much you can do about it now, though.  

But as a whole, it is nice to hear the perspective of a reasoned Republican.

[ Parent ]
Seconded.


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28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)
[ Parent ]
Should Norby Chabot run for Melacon's house seat??

Probably too early
He is just being elected. I doubt he'd go for higher office after less than a year in office. Remember, he'd probably need to start campaigning this year.  
[ Parent ]
I think that Melancon and Vitter might end up in a runoff
Even though the jungle primary system is gone, there is still a run-off in Louisiana elections if no candidate gets 50% +1. Generally, I have noticed that in runoff elections in Louisiana with just a D and an R, the D tends to win.
State elections
We're normal now for federal elections. Jay Dardenne recently tried to change it back I believe, to make it easier for him to win, but Vitter called up some buddies in the Legislator and that bill went bye-bye...
[ Parent ]
I think we need to have a big sign up in every Louisiana thread
that says "there are no runoffs for federal elections anymore", because it inevitably comes up.

Three of the five contested House races in Louisiana last year were won with a plurality. Cao got 49.5%, Fleming 48.1%, and Casidy 48.1% as well.

[ Parent ]
Those margins
still hurt like a sock to the gut. The state legislature should have left well enough alone.
[ Parent ]
Especially Cazayoux-Cassidy
with that SOB Michael Jackson in the mix.  The Dem primary contestants, Cazayoux and Jackson, totaled 52% in that race.  That one REALLY made me mad!

Fleming's win was more-or-less fair and square but tantalizingly close (I remember suffering through that one here at SSP, with Carmouche up with just a few precincts left), and Cao's win over Jefferson was a godsend.

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11

[ Parent ]
Anyone know Constitutional Law?
Couldnt it be deemed unconstitutional to allow plurality winners?  That sure as shit isnt a majority.
[ Parent ]
No
You don't have to be a Constitutional lawyer to know to a certainty that plurality winners are perfectly constitutional. This country has a very long history of plurality winners, in every state.

"I'm not a member of any organized political party, I'm a Democrat!"
--  Will Rogers  
[ Parent ]
This is why I think Vitter could easily loose
Look at the election results in 2004
Senate
Vitter  51% 943,014
Dem Total 47% 877,482
Total 1,848,056
Margin 3.5% 65,532

President
Bush  57% 1,102,169
Kerry 42%   820,299

Vitter barely avoided a runoff and had a margin of victory of 3.5% over all the dems total votes. This happened in a year when Bush had a blowout win in Louisiana. Since he has been in the senate, there has been one scandal after another and Vitter has proved to be wayy more conservative than the average Louisiana voter. Thus there will be no advantage to being an incumbent for Vitter. In addition, Vitter will have no race at the top of the ticket to provide him GOP support. I think this makes him extremely vulnerable if the dem that runs against him is moderate enough.

That was also
a different Louisiana, pre-Katrina.  Dem results since then have been pretty bad.  Even Landrieu's win was underwhelming compared to expectations.  Disappointments with Fleming and Cassidy.  The incredible (and refreshing in my mind) Jefferson loss.  Supposedly serious challenges in LA-01 and LA-07 that flamed out by 30 points.  Not a lot to cheer about in LA these days.  Except NORBY!!!

Melancon could win, but it will be uphill.

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11

[ Parent ]
Had McCain not been on the ballot
and had 2008 been a midterm year, Cassidy would have lost and Landreiu would have won with a margin of 10% to 20%. In addition, in terms of Cassidy there was a third party candidate that took 12% of the vote which basically handed him the election. I still believe that in midterm elections, Louisiana can still be a very competitive state.
[ Parent ]
No doubt
but it's tougher than it used to be.

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11
[ Parent ]
McCain wasnt on the ballot when Cassidy won
That House seat was during a special election due to a hurricane setting back the primary date which meant pushing back the GE date.  That is a seat where we needed the top ballot to drive up AA voters.
[ Parent ]
No, the LA-06 election was in November
it was LA-02 and LA-04 that happened in December.
[ Parent ]
Right.
Cao does to an extent have Gustav to thank for him getting elected to Congress, in addition to Dollar Bill being corrupt scum.

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28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)
[ Parent ]
changing the subject slightly
does anyone think state sen. Eric LaFleur will run for Congress, now that he said he won't run against Vitter?

And if he does, any chance he could beat Alexander?

I can't imagine
that being on the target list this year.  That's a real longshot and Dems have a lot of defense to play.

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11
[ Parent ]
I'm not sure where LaFleur lives
but his Senate district overlaps LA-05 and LA-07.

The DCCC was attempting to recruit a challenger for Alexander close to the finish line, but came up empty-handed. I'm guessing they'll have other priorities this cycle and will wait to see what the 2012 map looks like.

[ Parent ]
Good to see more proof that the death of Louisiana Democrats has been greatly exaggerated
Yes, it's one special election and it would be foolish to make a conclusion based on it.  But this does at least demonstrate ancestrally Democratic areas haven't abandoned their roots completely.  And while 2008 was pretty disappointing here it wasn't nearly as bad as it looked: Landrieu, who some thought was a goner or at least no better than even money for reelection, won it fairly comfortably.  And two Republicans in very conservative districts were at least held below 50%.

Louisiana isn't going to turn into Virginia anytime soon, but at least Democrats still have some energy left in them.  

21, male, CA-15 (home and voting there), LA-2 (college)


family tradition
This guys father and brother both held this seat.  

Libertarian secular Republican, MO-7
"Those grapes are sour"
said the Fox.  In Kentucky, it was the horse racing issue.  Here it's a family tradition.  A win is a win is a win.

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11
[ Parent ]
For real
You can't excuse away every Democratic victory because of some kind of random correlation to something else which may have had no bearing (certainly not enough of one to determine every one's vote choice in a 10 point (+/-) victory).
[ Parent ]
AC1 is another Republican.
Seems like a positive contributor to the site generally so far.  I love that this site is generally civil and nerdy enough to support bipartisan discussion.

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11
[ Parent ]
yes
Of course a win is a win.  I am trying to figure out how Dems hold these seats that McCain won more than 2-1.  In a lot of these seats they seem to run conservatives who have a popular local name.  It is a great strategy and strategy is part of politics.  

Libertarian secular Republican, MO-7
[ Parent ]
Cajuns
They usually prefer a conservative Dem.
[ Parent ]
The South was traditionally extremely Democratic
with FDR winning these states like 95%-3%.  Texas didnt have a single GOPer in their state legislature til the 60's or 70's, LA voted in their first GOP Senator since Reconstruction with Vitter, etc.  The Republicans used to be the liberals, the Democrats the conservatives, now that has switched and the Democratic conservative South still votes Democratic for whatever candidates they still feel comfortable with.  The real question is whether this will end once the baby boomer still traditionally Democratic crowd dies off, whose left?  Are the Southerners who came of political age during the Reagan Revolution still traditionally Democrats but are they mimicking their parents and we'll continue having random luck, or are we about to be shut out of the South once the yellow dogs die off.

I dunno, I think a lot of you are over-thinking this.  Old traditions die hard, simple as that.  It's what makes liberal Democrats like me annoyed with our big tent party at times because I have to share it with conservatives who I agree very little with on the issues but are the "traditional" foundation of the party.

[ Parent ]
There's no question that there will be a progression
away from the D's in much of the South.  There are declining majorities, or already-lost majorities, in state legislature throughout the South.  It's getting very hard to win statewide races in the Deep South.

VA and NC, on the other hand, seem to be trending blue, with an influx of more orthodox Democrats, as opposed to "Southern" Democrats.  

Otherwise, the South is getting away from us, but slowly because, as you say, old traditions die hard.

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11

[ Parent ]
What about the younger generation?
How Democratic-voting is the 18-30 demographic in the Deep South?

"I'm not a member of any organized political party, I'm a Democrat!"
--  Will Rogers  
[ Parent ]
Very Interesting
AL - 50-49 Obama
AR - 49-49 Tie
FL - 61-37 Obama
GA - 51-48 McCain
KY - 51-48 Obama
LA - 49-48 McCain
MS - 56-43 Obama
NC - 74-26 Obama
SC - 55-44 Obama
TN - 55-43 Obama
TX - 54-45 Obama
VA - 60-39 Obama

How about those youngsters in North Carolina?  That is mind-boggling.  Obama lost every other age group there.

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11

[ Parent ]
Thanks
It looks like there's some hope for a Democratic future in the South.

"I'm not a member of any organized political party, I'm a Democrat!"
--  Will Rogers  
[ Parent ]
I just can't believe the GA number
GA Young Democrats are pretty well organized and it just does not seem accurate that we would be more GOP friendly than SC, LA, MS, or TN! I can sort of understand SC or MS as they are pretty heavily minority especially among younger voters but TN young voters? WTF
[ Parent ]
HOLY HELL!
That NC number is ridiculous.  Where did you get it from?  Im curious as to how that 74-26 spread compares to states like MA and RI which are obviously very blue, and MN and WI which have huge college student populations.
[ Parent ]
CNN Exit Poll
MA 78-20
RI 68-25
MN 65-34
WI 64-35

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11
[ Parent ]
Methinks
Research Triangle Park and all the universities help.

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28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)
[ Parent ]
I do think
That this is great news... for John McCain!
I go out of town for a day...
... and a nearly 100 post thread breaks out on a State House election :) Nice to know there are people out there as geeky as me.

"Where free Unions and collective bargaining is forbidden, freedom is lost." - Ronald Reagan
State Senate
A state house election surely only would have gotten 75 comments.

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11
[ Parent ]
I am just writing this extra comment
to put the thread over 100.

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11
[ Parent ]
Iowa
Maybe we will find out how many comments a state house race gets Tuesday night.

Libertarian secular Republican, MO-7
[ Parent ]
100+ n/t

[ Parent ]
We'll have CA-10 competing
so it won't be a clean comparison.

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11
[ Parent ]
Most of us on the east coast
will be in bed by the time California's polls close, though.
[ Parent ]
Ah
good point.  Wasn't thinking about the time difference.

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11
[ Parent ]
I'll be up!
Though I'm two hours ahead, I still stay up late watching California's election returns, like I stayed up until 4 AM on November 5, 2008.

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28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)
[ Parent ]
I stay up late for general elections
I was up until 3 AM in 2006 and 2008. Of course, I always take the day after election day off work so I can recuperate (and update the relevant wikipedia pages).
[ Parent ]
6am
on November 2008.  It was an awkward night, I partied and got super trashed for Obama's win, rolling down the skyways in St Paul like they were hills and I was 5, and then came home, got slapped in the face by Prop 8 passing and it was an immediate buzz kill.  It was quite the up and down night.
[ Parent ]
Cant WAIT for that special election
I hope to see National Organization of Marriage having wasted 90k on a single state house race.  90k is a fuck-ton for a rural state house seat.  Each seat has just under 30k people so that's $3 per constituent!!!  

Anyone know how I can look up how much Franken raised for his Senate election in 2008?  It was the most expensive race in the country and I bet he only spent like $4-6 per constituent, at most. And that's a US Senate race that people were following intensely across the country as it was famous comedian/satirist (depending who you ask  ;) ) Al Franken.

Hell, 90k is what a candidate is allowed to raise TOTAL (if getting public financing) for a state house race in MN.  God I hate money and politics...  

[ Parent ]
$90K of NOM's money down the toilet!
Haha!  Fuck you, you Bible-beating, homophobic pieces of shit.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.
[ Parent ]
LA-SD20: Dems Hold Tough Open Seat | 128 comments

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