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SSP Daily Digest: 8/3

by: Crisitunity

Mon Aug 03, 2009 at 1:02 PM EDT


KY-Sen: Kentucky's Fancy Farm picnic is one of those old-timey traditions where all the candidates gather together, make a stump speech, and roast each other a little -- but Daniel Mongiardo and Jack Conway already seem to be going a little past roasting each other to going after each other with axes. Mongiardo said Conway stood up for the "silver spoon crowd," and, in his bid to be the coal candidate in this race, referred to cap and trade as "Jack's tax." Conway shot back that Mongiardo (an ear, nose, and throat doctor) "can't hear the truth, you can't smell the truth and you sure as hell can't speak the truth." Conway also referred to himself as a "tough son of a bitch" and even said "crap" at some point, leaving Mongiardo boo-hooing to the press later on about so many profanities.

LA-Sen, Gov: Bobby Jindal confirmed that he won't be running for Senator against David Vitter in the GOP primary, but instead of endorsing Vitter as would be customary at this point, engaged in some rhetorical song and dance instead: "David's going have to make his case with the voters directly just like any other candidate's going to have to do that." Meanwhile, Jindal is facing an investigation from his AG over his blog... or more precisely, "The Ledger," the blog published by the Dept. of Administration about budgetary news. Still, a Republican state Senator filed a complaint, saying that the blog puts forth a political agenda.

NC-Sen: The Hill, in a long piece that mostly is about how Elaine Marshall is on track to be the Democratic nominee by default, drops an interesting tidbit at the end: Chapel Hill mayor Kevin Foy said he's considering the race. (Chapel Hill has a population of less than 50,000, but it has an outsized place in the state's zeitgeist, as home of UNC.)

IA-Gov: Former GOP Governor Terry Branstad has been occasional subject of rumors of another gubernatorial run (Branstad already served a record four terms as governor, 1982-1998). Branstad didn't seem interested, but over the weekend went on the record as at least being somewhat interested: "I'm not ruling it out... And I have real concerns about the direction things are going." For what it's worth, a recent GOP internal poll showed Bradstad beating current Governor Chet Culver, while Culver easily dispatched the other GOPers. (H/t desmoinesdem.)

NM-Gov: GOP State Rep. Janice Arnold-Jones, who's had an exploratory committee for a while, announced in a letter to supporters that she's officially launching her gubernatorial bid. She joins Dona Ana County DA Susana Martinez in the GOP field.

NV-Gov: Former GOP Governor (and current RNC member) Bob List dissed current Governor Jim Gibbons in no uncertain terms, saying his re-election chances are "fairly slim" and that Gibbons seems unlikely to run. When asked if he was in fact still campaiging, though, Gibbons had a succinct answer: "Yes."

NY-Gov: The NY Times talks to a number of confidantes who make it sound like Andrew Cuomo is very interested in running for Governor, despite his many protestations otherwise. Cuomo's holding pattern seems to be about waiting for the party's other power brokers to try and push David Paterson out behind-the-scenes first, before committing to a primary and risking a repeat of the racially divisive 2002 gubernatorial primary where Cuomo lost to Carl McCall.

FL-08: Seems a little early for dueling internal polls, but that suggests this will be one of 2010's top House contests. An NRCC poll gave Rep. Alan Grayson a 37-34 edge over Orange County Mayor Rich Crotty, but when told that Grayson voted to "raise taxes on small businesses" and "increase the deficit," Crotty takes a 41-28 lead. (They also message-tested all the things wrong with Crotty -- land swaps, toll increases, and the like -- but didn't reveal how much Grayson's lead increases after being told about that.) Grayson responded with his own poll from April, showing him with a 46-40 lead over Crotty. (H/t Progressive America.)

FL-24: The Feds wrapped up their investigation of Tom Feeney's golf trip to Scotland with Jack Abramoff, without filing charges. Feeney, currently practicing law, sidestepped questions of whether he'd mount a comeback for his old seat now.

GA-09: Yet another Republican threw his hat in for the super-red open seat left in north Georgia by Nathan Deal: state Sen. Lee Hawkins. TheUnknown285 outlines the downballot implications, though: Hawkins could be replaced by GOP state Rep. Carl Rogers, who would leave behind a House seat in Gainesville that would be ripe pickings for Democrats because of rapid Latino growth. (UPDATE: Ooops, no dice. Rogers says today he'll stay in the House.)

VA-05: Tom Perriello got into the news in an interesting new way. It turns out that several letters sent to Perriello's office, purportedly from local liberal groups, opposing cap and trade, were complete fabrications. They were forgeries of the groups' letterhead, sent by lobbying firm Bonner & Associates, who've apparently graduated from mere astroturfing to mail fraud.

NY-LG: An appellate court ruled that Richard Ravitch, who was appointed by David Paterson in unprecedented (if not unconstitutional) fashion, may start serving as Lt. Governor. However, the court held that he can't do the one thing that he was put into power to do, which is preside over the state Senate and cast tie-breaking votes.

Crisitunity :: SSP Daily Digest: 8/3
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GA-HD-26/GA-SD-49: Carl Rogers is running for re-election
Damn:

http://www.gainesvilletimes.co...

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.


That Ravitch ruling doesn't make a bit of sense
to me. I'd like to take a look at the text.

I like the sound of Conway
Sounds like he'll take it to the GOP. Mongiardo not so much - "Jack's tax"?

Mongiardo needs to drop out
I really wish Mongiardo would drop out. It would save Conway so much money in the primary and then increase Conway's chances of beating Greyson in the general.

[ Parent ]
Opposite
The KY Democratic Senate Primary is one I have not really paid much attention too. Granted from the bits and pieces I've looked at:

Is Mongiardo usually this dull? Maybe it was the small crowd, maybe the audio, whatever, he comes off as dull and fairly negative. KY has for the most part resisted the Democratic wave that has swept through the country over the past few years, right? If he cannot beat Bunning, I'm not sure how he can beat Grayson?

Conway on the other hand is very energetic, which I like. He's got the fiery populist sound, which is a plus, but he's too dang negative and angry. If I was a Conway supporter that video would make me rethink supporting him.


[ Parent ]
Both Conway and Mongiardo seemed poor.
I guess its because he is behind, but I don't like Mongiardo going after Conway like that. The old "elist" attack seems too much like a tactic that Republicans (especially from the Bush era) would use.

On the other hand Conway was indeed very angry in his reponse, which probably reflected bad on him. He probably shouldn't have swore at a church pinic. At least the primary in Kentucky ends fairly early in the election cycle, but still this will likely only hurt the Democrats, especially if Conway is the nominee and Grayson (or who ever is the GOP nominee) uses Mongiardo's words or Conway's "bitch" coments to appeal to the conservative blue collar Democrats that generally vote Republican in federal elections.


[ Parent ]
I dunno.
I don't see conservative blue collar Democrats caring about mild profanity that much.  

[ Parent ]
Comments
It wouldn't be the use of the word, but where it was used. It's one thing to let loose when you're around a group of adult friends, it's another to start swearing and going off the wall around children.  

[ Parent ]
What?
I'm just mentioning how it would be used. Never said I agreed with it.

[ Parent ]
It sounds like he swore once
id hardly call that swearing and going off the wall.

20, male, independent, WI-07.

[ Parent ]
I'm with you
it'll be good to see someone like Conway really go after the GOP in a way Mongiardo won't and Lundsford couldn't.  

Mongiardo needs to get out of the way.

Check out http://electioninspection.word... for the latest news, election results, poll analysis, and predictions


[ Parent ]
I've been REALLY disappointed in Dr. Dan
If anyone hasn't seen it, search youtube for Mongiarno and Conway's speeches at Fancy Farms (a huge event every year in western Kentucky).  Mongiarno went first, and really was overly nasty, calling Conway an elitist, blasting him for supporting Cap and Trade (calling it "Jack's Energy Tax"), etc.  He comes off as a real dick.  Conway fired back with some real populist rhetoric, and called himself "a tough son of a bitch".  Given what he had listened to, I thought his response was pretty measured.

I had initially supported Mongiarno months, thinking he deserved a second, "fully funded" shot at Bunning, but now that various aspects of the situation has changed, I think Conway probably would be the better candidate, and certainly woudl be the better Senator.


[ Parent ]
My Representative actually has a legitimate opponent for once!
Ron Kind (D) (WI-03) is being challenged by state senator Dan Kapanke (R).  Kapanke is from La Crosse (like Ron Kind) and owns the La Crosse Loggers baseball team.  

Don't get excited, Kapanke was reelected in 2008 and is not up for reelection till 2012.  This game doesn't create an open seat opportunity for us in our narrow 18-15 majority in the state senate.  

http://www.nbc15.com/state/hea...


It could give the Dems a "mulligan" in the event of a GOP wave
Kapanke's Senate seat is rather Democratic and he's probably the only GOP candidate who could win it.  

So, in the event of a GOP wave, if Kapanke beats Kind and the Republicans take two of the Vinehout, Kreitlow, Sullivan, or Lehman seats to go up 17-16, then the Dems would have a chance to go back up 17-16.  


[ Parent ]
LA-03; Monica in, Scott Angelle considers party switch, running as Republican
Yet Angelle, the former St. Martin parish president, may not run as a Democrat if you believe the rumors stirring around Acadiana.
"Several longtime friends have suggested it over the years and again more recently," Angelle replied. "It is something that I would consider, like (former President) Ronald Reagan, (former Gov.) Mike Foster and (former U.S. Congressman) Billy Tauzin."

state Rep. Nickie Monica, R-LaPlace, said he's in

http://www.dailycomet.com/arti...

LA-Gov: Jindal losing his aura?
Seems like the teflon's being scratched off of him now.  First Palin and now Jindal.

party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01


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