Bill White

Bill White has been raising a lot of money. I think he might have a chance at winning her seat.

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by: jmartin4s @ Wed Jul 29, 2009 at 16:22:03 PM UTC

He's Got a Chance

If any Democrat can break the R monopoly on statewide office (no Democrat has won any of the 15 or so statewide office since the early 90s), I think it's Bill White.  I think the odds are against him, but he has a good chance.

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by: sicembears @ Wed Jul 29, 2009 at 16:36:12 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

For Bill White to win

he has to win Harris County by 15-20%, win Dallas County by 30%, win Tarrant County, and come close to breaking even in Denton and Collin Counties.  Further, he will need to run up the score in South Texas.  White has little to no appeal in white rural Texas, so he has to make up the deficit in suburban DFW and Houston.  

John Sharp came close to beating Dewhurst in 2002 for Lt. Gov, but he did so by winning rural votes.  

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by: JSmith @ Wed Jul 29, 2009 at 18:31:35 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

How likely is any of that?

I mean the Houston 'burbs obviously would seem within the realms of possibility for White but the rest? Looks like a stretch.

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by: conspiracy @ Wed Jul 29, 2009 at 19:14:14 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

Ouch

His Google search result isn't exactly ideal.

http://www.google.co.uk/search...

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by: conspiracy @ Wed Jul 29, 2009 at 19:14:46 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

Just fine if you're googling from Texas

http://www.google.com/search?q...

Looks like you're searching from the UK.

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by: sicembears @ Wed Jul 29, 2009 at 19:30:11 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

I am

Phew. Don't want Texans thinking Mayor White is a neo-nazi!

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by: conspiracy @ Wed Jul 29, 2009 at 19:32:34 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

Though then again...

I jest! :)

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by: conspiracy @ Wed Jul 29, 2009 at 19:34:17 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

Actually . . .

I remember a few years back seeing folks wearing t-shirts that read "Bill White is a Nazi!" and had a pic of Mayor White's face on them.

The Birthers/Tea Party fans before they were organized.

26, Male, Democrat, TX-26

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by: trowaman @ Thu Jul 30, 2009 at 00:46:22 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Looks like he might want to go by "Howard White" or something.

party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01

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by: Glenn Magus Harvey @ Wed Jul 29, 2009 at 19:47:08 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

Not that likely IMO

but Bill White is about the best Democratic candidate we can run in those areas.  

All the pieces would have to fall just right for White to win this election.  Similar to what happened in Indiana in 2008.  

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by: JSmith @ Thu Jul 30, 2009 at 03:50:31 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Should be a fun battle to watch

With the Rubio-Crist primary seeming to fizzle, I'm pumped that we should have at least one good, Republican-Republican political brawl.  And, since it's my home state, I've got  front row tickets to the fight.  I'm tentatively leaning to Hutchison as the least worst option.

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by: sicembears @ Wed Jul 29, 2009 at 16:32:32 PM UTC

Clearly the least worst Repub

I got to watch Kay Bailey deliver a speech at a dinner in D.C celebrating Texas Independence Day. (That's March 2, for you auslanders.)

The speech included a chronological references to the events of the Texas Revolution -- the Declaration of Independence of the Republic of Texas, the Fall of the Alamo, the Massacre at Goliad, the Runaway Scrape when civilian settlers ran for their lives toward the US border pursued by the ruthless Gen Santa Anna, and the climactic Battle of San Jacinto.

Poor Kay Bee. She was deep into her speech when she obviously realized that her hapless speechwriter had garbled the dates and order of the events, sort of like putting the Battle of Gettysburg in 1776. She was gonna get an F from half the listeners in the room, those who actually did know their dates, some of whom were stirring uncomfortably in their seats. The Senator apparently knew her state's history well enough to know it was going all wrong, but not well enough to scrap the speech and wing it. So she soldiered on, steam issuing from her ears, and a look on her face that no staffer would want to see the next morning. Clearly she would have preferred to suffer a wardrobe malfunction than to have to recite those wrong dates and events.

Ah well, wine was being served. the audience was mellow, and no one razzed her. After all, it could have happened to anyone reading a speech they hadn't vetted before stepping to the podium. And for that moment I had some sympathy for her myself.

Aside from that, of course, she's a good Republican. I hope she wins the nomination and loses to the Democrat.

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by: WoodyNYC @ Wed Jul 29, 2009 at 17:05:04 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

That will not happen

If KB wins the primary she wins the general.  If Perry wins the primary, and I think he is the favorite now, the Democrat may be able to beat him.

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by: JSmith @ Wed Jul 29, 2009 at 18:32:41 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

Perry in the general

I'm skeptical that we'll have a shot against Perry in the general.  I know he's not popular, but we won't have a top tier candidate.  But, this is what polls are for.

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by: sicembears @ Wed Jul 29, 2009 at 19:34:09 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

Perry

Is trying to make himself to be an economic conservative first by appealing to the Tea-Partyers and railing against a real health reform bill. So that might appeal to the 'Country Club Republicans'. Its definitely not all 'god, guns and gays' from Gov. Goodhair these days. Hes trying to shore up KBH's base.

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by: HarrisCountyBrian @ Wed Jul 29, 2009 at 21:50:24 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

Make your mind up Kay

http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/ey...

She doesn't seriously expect Perry to quit does she?

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by: conspiracy @ Wed Jul 29, 2009 at 19:59:17 PM UTC

She clearly doesnt want to be in the Senate

There were alot of rumors a few years ago that she was considering not even running for re-election in 06. Shed just rather be in TX. And she must know Perry is the heavy favorite to win. Hes popular amongst social conservatives and now hes trying to rally the fiscal conservatives with his new Sanford-like tactics. The only ones who will really have a problem with him are moderate Republicans and theres not too many of them.  

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by: HarrisCountyBrian @ Wed Jul 29, 2009 at 21:55:00 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

He?

Senator Hutchison said he wants to remain in the Senate long enough to fight against President Barack Obama's government healthcare plan and cap and trade.

I'm guessing the site had a typo up. They have since corrected it.

Thanks for the update.


"I'm not a member of any organized political party, I'm a Democrat!"
--  Will Rogers  

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by: Pan @ Wed Jul 29, 2009 at 22:19:46 PM UTC