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MN-Gov: Not Looking So Good for Coleman

by: Crisitunity

Thu Jul 09, 2009 at 7:36 PM EDT


Public Policy Polling (7/7-8, registered voters):

R.T. Rybak (D): 43
Norm Coleman (R): 37

Mark Dayton (D): 41
Norm Coleman (R): 39

Margaret Anderson Kelliher (D): 34
Norm Coleman (R): 42
(MoE: ±2.5%)

Perhaps bolstered by the recent spate of reports that Norm Coleman (now in need of a new job) is considering running for Governor, PPP took a decidedly Coleman-centric approach in their first poll of next year's Minnesota governor's race. (Which is fine; they had to start somewhere, considering that there are at least 10 interested candidates on both the Democratic and Republican sides of the ledger, and they probably didn't want to run a poll with 100 permutations.)

It looks like Norm Coleman may have done himself no favors by dragging out the aftermath of the Minnesota Senate race for so long. Coleman sports dreadful 38-52 favorables, and 54% of respondents say that his conduct during the post-election scrum made them less likely to vote for him (as opposed to 26% saying "more likely"). Coleman loses head-to-heads against popular Minneapolis mayor R.T. Rybak (who has 37-24 favorables) and even, by 2 points, against luckless former Senator Mark Dayton (who has 36-37 favorables). Coleman does manage to beat state House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher (who has only 24-33 favorables). Of course, with such wide-open fields, it seems distinctly possible that none of the persons mentioned above will be around for the general election; I'm left wondering how these same Democrats would fare against a more generic Republican.

RaceTracker: MN-Gov

Crisitunity :: MN-Gov: Not Looking So Good for Coleman
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Would ahve been nice to have one other Republican
No way to really know if Coleman is a very strong GOP candidate or a very weak one, or in between.

They should have polled Jim Ramstad
I think Ramstad is more likely to run than Coleman and would be a far tougher opponent.

"Where free Unions and collective bargaining is forbidden, freedom is lost." - Ronald Reagan

[ Parent ]
Im surprised Rybak has been polling so well
he was above the other DFLers in the last round of polling as well.  Id say it stems with him having higher name recognition but then comes the next question, how have so many people heard of him?  Minneapolis is nearly 400k, and that's not even 8% of the state.

He has a cool name?


[ Parent ]
Consider
Mpls-St. Paul is the major metro area of the state, so you don't just have the city itself, but the other city, all the suburbs, etc. If he gets favorable media coverage, it gets disseminated to about half the state.

[ Parent ]
Well
He's the mayor of the largest city in Minnesota. So that gives him lots of coverage in the metro, and he campaigned hard in outstate for Obama, so that gives him more coverage. I'm not too suprised. R.T. rocks. He's going to be governor in 2011. What a change that will be.  

[ Parent ]
Agreed
While I don't live in MN, I've admired Rybak from afar. He was my dream candidate to take on Coleman in 2008. Looks like he may still get that chance, only 2 years later ;-).

Speaking of Dayton, I remember reading a really funny/bizarre/grotesque story about Dayton right after he announced his retirement. Apparently, he was taking care of his son's boa constrictor one day, and the snake was getting hungry. Luckily, there were some rats in the freezer, so Mark decided to thaw a few for the hungry reptile. How did he thaw them? You guessed it, in the microwave! It then took him a couple days to clean up the ensuing explosion of frozen rat.


[ Parent ]
EWWW!!!


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28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)


[ Parent ]
Coleman has a job
he works for a pro-republican jewish organization.
Not sure how much he is paid.


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