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SSP Daily Digest: 6/26

by: Crisitunity

Fri Jun 26, 2009 at 3:11 PM EDT


CT-Sen: Gov. Jodi Rell just signed into law an important piece of legislation (and, in doing so, reduced her own power): from now on, in the event of a Senatorial vacancy, the void will be filled by a fast special election instead of a gubernatorial appointment. The farcical Rod Blagojevich affair in Illinois was apparently the genesis for this new law.

KS-Sen: Rep. Todd Tiahrt, facing a big primary fight for the GOP nomination against fellow Rep. Jerry Moran, got a key endorsement that will help him out-conservative his red-state colleague, from prominent anti-abortion group Kansans for Life. Moran, meanwhile, got another establishment endorsement of questionable utility to the Kansas electorate, from South Dakota Sen. John Thune.

NC-Sen: Insider Advantage polled Richard Burr's approvals, and like many other pollsters (including PPP, the messenger that the Burr campaign has chosen to attack), found that Burr's approvals are low and his unknowns are possibly catastrophically high. Burr clocked in at 39/31 approval, with 30% with no opinion.

NH-Sen: John Sununu Sr. now says that John Sununu Jr. will make a decision (or will have his daddy make a decision for him, more likely) "within a week or so" as to whether or not he'll run for Senate next year. Sr. also says that AG Kelly Ayotte will step aside if Jr. runs, which may be news to Ayotte. GOP insiders seem to think that odds are against Sununu running.

OH-Sen: Rob Portman, G.W. Bush's former trade rep and OMB Director, has taken on a strange approach to selling himself to voters: that he's a consummate Washington insider, going so far as to say that he knows "where the bodies are buried" (way to write the opposition's advertisements word-for-word for them!). In a state where there's a lot of populist indignation over job losses and outsourcing, emphasizing your technocratic elitism is somewhere past tone-deaf and out in the realm of political malpractice.

PA-Sen: More signs that the party is finally coalescing around Pat Toomey as nominee: another endorsement from one its sitting Reps., Joe Pitts. (Pitts is probably the most conservative GOPer left in the PA delegation, so no surprise here.)

WV-Sen: With 91-year-old Robert Byrd still in the hospital, Gov. Joe Manchin sought to tamp down speculation that he was looking into potential replacement Senators (such as ex-Gov. Gaston Caperton).

IL-Gov: Bob Schillerstrom became the third Republican this week to announce his gubernatorial candidacy. The DuPage County Board chairman had had an exploratory committee open for several months, so this was expected. A 4th entrant, State Sen. Kirk Dillard, also from Chicago's western suburbs, says he'll announce his candidacy on July 8.

MI-Gov: A third Democratic candidate got into the governor's race today: state Rep. (and former state Senator) Alma Wheeler Smith. Smith, who's the only African-American in the field, also ran in the gubernatorial primary in 2002.

NJ-Gov: Strategic Vision polled the New Jersey governor's race; no surprises here, as they found Chris Christie beating Jon Corzine 51-39. Christie was also busy yesterday in Washington testifying before the House on the no-bid monitoring contracts that Christie awarded while US Attorney (including to his former boss, John Ashcroft); look for this to become a prime issue in the race (if Corzine has even half-a-clue how to campaign).

NM-Gov, NM-02: Ex-Rep. Steve Pearce, last seen getting annihilated in last year's Senate race, says he's pushing back his announcement on whether he'll run for governor, for his old House seat, or something else to somewhere between July 20 and July 27.

PA-Gov: Here's one state where the gubernatorial field is actually managing to get smaller: Lehigh County Executive Don Cunningham opted out of the Democratic primary race (and said that he isn't interested in the Lt. Gov. slot). This may give a small boost to Philly-area businessman Tom Knox, as the Dem side's two biggest-names, Allegheny Co. Exec Dan Onorato and state Auditor Jack Wagner are both from the Pittsburgh area.

CA-10: Rep. Ellen Tauscher was finally confirmed as Undersecretary of State last night, after Sen. Jon Kyl dropped his hold on her. (She's also getting married on Saturday, so it's a big week.) Tauscher's last day in the House is today, so this means the wheels are now officially in motion for the CA-10 special election.

FL-12: Looks like the GOP will have a primary in the race to replace Rep. Adam Putnam, depsite their efforts to grease the skids for former state Rep. Dennis Ross. Polk Co. Commissioner Randy Wilkinson has been taking steps to enter the race as well.

LA-03: Here's a potential Dem contender for the potentially open seat currently occupied by Rep. Charlie Melancon, who hadn't been mentioned in previous discussions (either from SSP or Roll Call or The Hill): Steve Angelle, who heads the state Natural Resources Department and used to be President of St. Martin Parish.

SC-04: Rep. Bob Inglis is taking an unusual approach to a potentially bruising primary fight in 2010: instead of trying to out-conservative his opponents, he's saying the GOP needs to "lose the stinking rot of self-righteousness." In a Washington Wire interview, he said that the Mark Sanford Experience shows that "This may be an opportunity to extend a little grace to other people, to realize that maybe it's not 100% this way or that way," and referred to the Bob Inglis who was a zealous Clinton impeachment manager in 1998 as "Bob Inglis 1.0," who was a "'self-righteous' expletive."

TN-09: Memphis Mayor Willie Herenton announced that he'll be resigning his job on July 10 in order to campaign full-time in his primary challenge against Rep. Steve Cohen. Since Herenton has tried to resign (and changed his mind) at least once before, after five increasingly rocky terms in office, this sounds more like a relief to Herenton instead of giving something up.

DCCC: The DCCC is running radio spots over the July 4 weekend against seven vulnerable House GOPers: Ken Calvert, Charlie Dent, Jim Gerlach, Dan Lungren, Mike McCaul, Lee Terry, and Joe Wilson. They're getting attacked for voting for war supplementals during the Bush administration and now happening to vote against them now that a Demmycrat is in charge.

The Tubes: Hotline On Call compares and contrasts the mellifluous email stylings of Gov. Sanford with the SMS billet-doux of Detroit ex-Mayor Kilpatrick. This outlines the foundational divide between email and texting: in SMS you automatically sound crazier, but it also prevents you from banging out divinity school dropout diatribes about First Corinthians. (Ben)

Crisitunity :: SSP Daily Digest: 6/26
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GA-Sen: We apparently have a candidate
I'll point you to me comment from yesterday to save time: http://www.swingstateproject.c...

Decidely NOT top tier but better than nothing, I guess.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.


RJ's new slogan: NOT top tier but better than nothing...I guess
I love it. LOL!! Never fear...I'm certain the party will provide a TOP TIER candidate to suite your taste in this race at some point. I'd like to bring more common sense and less corporate control to the political arena. So this certainly doesn't allow me to be anywhere near the top tier! Even so, maybe folks will forgive my lower tier-status if I agree to actually listen to what their saying. We'll see. thx, rj

[ Parent ]
CT
way to go. Now, all Obama needs to do is give Joe Lieberman an Ambassadorship somewhere.

Do we have an Ambassador to Hell?
It would be awesome to have Obama tell Lieberman to go to Hell.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
Ambassador Appointee
Failing The Unknown's suggestion (actually that should be reserved for one Michele Bachmann), I'd suggested that Lieberman be appointed Ambassador to Williamsburg (NY).

[ Parent ]
Hell wouldn't want Bachmann
With our luck, Hell would spit her right back out and maybe even declare war. Or if she is accepted, she might get made Queen of the Underworld.

As for Lieberman, make him ambassador to the island from Cast Away. He'd be out of our hair, and he wouldn't piss off any of the locals.

Last I checked, Williamsburg was in VA. Is there one in NY as well?


[ Parent ]
Williamsburg
Neighborhood in Brooklyn.

"I'm not a member of any organized political party, I'm a Democrat!"
--  Will Rogers  


[ Parent ]
MN-Gov
http://www.startribune.com/pol...

ST. PAUL, Minn. - Former Republican Congressman Jim Ramstad says he's attended brainstorming sessions about a possible run for Minnesota governor, although he's not ready to jump in

If Ramstad runs and could somehow win the Rep nomination he would be tough to beat in the General (hell I might even vote for him).

"Where free Unions and collective bargaining is forbidden, freedom is lost." - Ronald Reagan


Dude
Think about redistricting.

[ Parent ]
Something tells me...
... Ramstad wouldn't put up too much of a fight to save Michele Bachmann.

Male, 23, DC-At Large

[ Parent ]
Correction to WSJ
Inglis was NOT one of the thirteen House impeachment managers. They were Bob Barr (GA), Ed Bryant (TN), Steve Buyer (IN), Charles Canady (FL), Chris Cannon (UT), Steve Chabot (OH), George Gekas (PA), Lindsey Graham (SC), Henry Hyde (IL), Asa Hutchinson (AR), Bill McCollum (FL), James Rogan (CA), and Jim Sensenbrenner (WI).

Male, 23, DC-At Large

Bob Barr
Hard to believe how much different, politically, Bob Barr was back then. He was your garden variety Religious Right Republican.  

[ Parent ]
And Rogan
went to be an impeachment sponsor even though his constituents loved Clinton, and Rogan barely squeaked by in his last reelection. Needless to say, Rogan became a top Democratic target in 2000, and was defeated by a surprisingly lopsided margin, in what is still the most expensive House race ever.

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28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)


[ Parent ]
CT-Sen
Great. Appoint Dodd to something.

Post of the day
(even better than Lieberman)

[ Parent ]
I can understand that not happening
Due to the controversies surrounding Dodd and how political such an offer would look.  

[ Parent ]
Persuade him to retire
In exchange for a plumb assignment later down the line.

[ Parent ]
all right, i'm going to say it
I'm against democracy in this case. lol. I love saying crap like this. What I mean by my statement is that I'm against special elections for senate seats, and I much prefer governor appointments, at least as long as the Governor must appoint someone of the same party.

I think that special elections would be good for smaller states, that cost less money to run a campaign in, but large states, like my home state of California, it requires millions of dollars to win both a primary AND a general election for a Senate seat. Not to mention that in the short amount of time that candidates would most likely have to wage both a primary and general election, the clear advantage would be given to a person with greater name recognition. That person is not always best for the job.

Governors do make mistakes Senator Burris is a clear example, but they also have to deal with the results of their choice and have the ability to choose an appointment that might be a candidate that would otherwise be over looked by the voters of the state. If there was some way to limit the money that a candidate could spend in one of these special elections, and also a way to counter name-recognition, then I think it would be a great idea, but in th mean time, money and fame should not buy you an election, in my opinion, that is only slightly less horrible than what happened in Illinois with the appointment of Senator Burris.


Really no good way to go about it
I would be more supportive of perhaps the state legislators electing the interim Senator (again provided they are of the same party), rather than all that power going to just one person.

[ Parent ]
I like the Texas rule
Governor gets to appoint, followed by a special election at the next regular election (March or November, whichever is closest).

26, Male, Democrat, TX-26

[ Parent ]
In such a case
It would not be hard to fathom that Bobby Bright would be picked by the Dem-controlled AL Legislature. And another very conservative Dem by another conservative Dem-controlled Legislature. But its better than a conservative Republican from one of those states.  

[ Parent ]
Someone with name recognition
elected by the people is better than a Gov appointment any day.

And it isn't even remotely close.

It prevents the farce of placeholders, corrupt nepotism, and worst, self-appointments.

On the other hand, it does allow a Governor to run for the seat.

It is even more important for elections in big states because all that power should not be in the hands of one person when it can easily instead be placed in the hands of the people.


[ Parent ]
Governor-Appointed Senatorial Replacements
Also being from California, I concur generally with Venslor about the cost in big states.  The Texas approach seems realistic, with the following requirement: have the state party of the previous senator nominate three candidates, and have the governor make a selection from those three, with a general election scheduled at the next Federal election or scheduled state primary, if not within 90 days of a previously scheduled general election. This would dilute the power of the governor, avoid unnecessary costs, and instill popular decision without being unreasonably didactic.

[ Parent ]
20th century idea
What about Lieberman or Sanders?

What sense is there in appointing a Rep to replace Snowe, or a Dem to replace Begich?

The majority of people vote for people, not party.

And god knows the idea of the California Democratic party picking three hacks for the Gov to choose from is a freakishly bad idea!


[ Parent ]
I thought most people vote by party unless they know the person


party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01

[ Parent ]
Anecdotally...
I know several liberals who refuse to vote based on party ("You're just voting for him because he's the Democrat"). They just don't vote if they don't know anything about the candidates. They seem to think that it's shallow or something. I never understood that myself, as nowadays the Democrat is always more liberal than the Republican, and what better, more objective reason is there to vote for someone than their stance on the issues?

[ Parent ]
I guess it really does matter from person to person
I definitely haven't had as much contact with ideologues as some of you have, and as much as we like to make fun of them, they definitely exist.

My personal thinking is that, strategically, if I want progressive legislation to get enacted, I'd rather get a Democrat in office than, say, a Green, if the Green has a far greater chance of spoiling the Democrat and effectively electing the Republican, I'd rather vote the Democrat, because better some progressive advocacy than none.

party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01


[ Parent ]
What's more expensive?
Special elections or horrible appointments? If you want to avoid expense, we could dispense with ALL elections, using the same logic. Think about how expensive THAT would be for all of us! The Texas method sounds good, but I generally support Senator Feingold's Constitutional amendment.

"I'm not a member of any organized political party, I'm a Democrat!"
--  Will Rogers  


[ Parent ]
that's just dumb.
There is an enormous difference between running a special election campaign in a state of 32ish million people, and running a special election campaign in a district of 650000. Especially in a state like California where you have to buy ads in San Diego, Los Angeles, Fresno, San Fran, San Jose, Sacramento, just to name some of the big ones. Its not the expense that I'm complaining about, what I'm saying is that for a good candidate to have any chance, they will have to be able to raise literally 5-10 million dollars within a few months to compete in a primary and general election. It allows the candidates that are well know, but perhaps not the best candidate to win simply because they are able to raise more money. If the election were put off for a few years, like the normal space between elections, that would be a very different story. Many candidates would be able to compete and raise money on a realistic schedule. There are a lot of possible solutions to this problem, but simply allowing voters to select from those that are able to raise large sums of money very quickly is not the best solution.  

[ Parent ]
I get your point
But I don't think it's fair to call my objection "dumb." Illinois is really suffering by being represented by a crook for a couple of years. That could easily happen to California or any other state that has Gubernatorial appointments. At the very least, the appointments should be with the advice and consent of the State Legislature.

"I'm not a member of any organized political party, I'm a Democrat!"
--  Will Rogers  


[ Parent ]
The argument makes no sense
Yeah raising a bunch of money is hard.  So what, that happens every election.  But it obviously is not the point.  Unknowns have an even bigger hurdle to get appointed.

It's not perfect, but simply allowing the voters to choose is without a doubt the best solution.

Put another way, if a vacancy occured three months before a regular general election, no one would suggest making an appointment for two years rather than just run the campaign at the election.  Slam dunk, no brainer best way -- even if it is costly.  Democracy is costly.


[ Parent ]
gotta love Inglis
He really did some self evaluation after losing to Lindsey Graham in 1998. He's now a much more thoughtful, and sane politician, he really is, in my view, the epitome of a good conservative, though he has trouble because he's not far enough off the deep end for the base and he doesn't foam at the mouth with his rhetoric and truly comes across as thoughtful and sensible even when I don't agree with him. I especially member him as being a rare voice of sanity during the torture debate when he was the only one, Republican or otherwise, to have the sense to say what was really commonsense reality of the issue and that's the beyond any moral argument torture is an ineffective way to get information, and led to getting unreliable information.

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

Lost to Hollings, not Graham
Graham was still in the House in '98. Inglis lost to Hollings by 53-45, if memory serves.


[ Parent ]
Graham succeeded Strom Thurmond in the 2002 Senate race.


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28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)


[ Parent ]
yes, sorry,
I meant Hollings. Just totally short-circuited on that one.

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]
NC-Sen
OK, NC Dems. Time for somebody to step up - Burr is ripe for the picking.

Elaine Marshall, we need you in DC.


Do we even have a third-tier candidate at the moment?


party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01

[ Parent ]
Re: Inglis
I'm with ArkDem on how impressed I am with how Inglis has matured. It's rare to find a politician who sincerely admits he was wrong and actually does something about it.

"Stinking rot of self-righteousness"....Couldn't have said it better myself.


Wow
and considering it came from a Republican, double wow.

My blog
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28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)


[ Parent ]
No wonder Portman's doing badly
I would have thought he'd be more competent than this. He seemed pretty sharp in the House, but I guess hanging around W long enough has sapped some IQ points.

He really is turning out to be the Mark Kennedy of 2010.


Who was the Mark Kennedy of 2008?
And who was the Democratic Mark Kennedy of 2008?

party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01

[ Parent ]
Gotta be Tom Allen, right?


[ Parent ]
Just a guess
but I put in Dole, if we can include incumbents, for the Mark Kennedy of 2008 "honor". Schaffer and Sununu are good contenders too.

My blog
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28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)


[ Parent ]
John N. Kennedy, perhaps
keeping it in the surname

[ Parent ]
If the OH GOP were anywhere near intelligent
They would try to get somebody else on board. A state senator, a county sheriff, somebody. And that somebody cannot be a free trade hack.  

[ Parent ]
Ohio
Ohio has a habit of electing experienced candidates from both parties.  With nearly 11% unemployment in Ohio I am guessing Portman's experience will look good to voters seeking someone who can get things done.

I notice you say
"get things done". If you mean "bad things", then... yeah, Portman's your Huckleberry.

[ Parent ]
I can't speak
For the whole state of ohio, but in the northeastern and northwestern parts of the state, people are against free trade, against government deregulation, and unfettered free-market capitalism, all things that Portman stands for.  He's going to have a tough sell all throughout the north from Toledo to Youngstown, and possibly into the Pennsylvania border country as well.  

The way I see it, the only way for him to win is to sweep Cincinnati/Dayton, run up huge margins in the rural west, and do well enough in Columbus to split Franklin County 50/50, because he's going to get absolutely murdered all along the Ohio Turnpike corridor.  

23, Male, Democrat, OH-13


[ Parent ]

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