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SSP Daily Digest: 6/24

by: Crisitunity

Wed Jun 24, 2009 at 1:44 PM EDT


SC-Gov: You've probably already heard, but Mark Sanford finally turned up today, returning not from the Appalachian Trail but freakin' Argentina, where apparently he decided to go for a spur-of-the-moment visit. Prepare a industrial-sized garbage bag full of popcorn for his 2 pm EDT press conference. [UPDATE: Well, in case you have a computer that only gets SSP and no other news outlets, it turns out that Sanford was in Argentina to break off an affair with an Argentinian woman he'd met via e-mail. He's very sorry. He's also resigning as head of the RGA.]

AR-Sen: The Republican field of contenders to take on Blanche Lincoln just keeps getting bigger, and also keeps becoming more and more amateur-hour. Searcy "businessman" Fred Ramey entered the race (he owns a real estate investment company, which is apparently so successful that he also is a driver for Federal Express). Two other unknowns -- retired Army colonel Conrad Reynolds and financial advisor Buddy Rogers -- have also come forward to say they're considering the race.

FL-Sen: Mike Huckabee officially endorsed former state House speaker Marco Rubio in the GOP Senate primary today (although he had already made his feelings clear in an earlier e-mail to supporters touting Rubio). Seeking to grab the movement-conservative flag as he looks to take advantage of the growing GOP schism as he heads toward 2012, he also tore into the NRSC, who held a big fundraiser for Charlie Crist on Monday attended by 15 GOP Senators. Says Huck: "The establishment Republicans have made this endorsement for the same reason that they're in so much trouble. They go out there and support stuff like TARP bills and stimulus packages, pork-barrel spending and huge debt, and they wring their hands and act like, 'This is not good, but we don't have a choice.'"

KY-Sen: AG Jack Conway, who's facing off against Lt. Gov. Dan Mongiardo in the Dem Senate primary, has the endorsement of the state's entire Democratic U.S. House delegation (all two of them). Ben Chandler and John Yarmuth will both be on hand today for a big Washington DC fundraiser for Conway.

TX-Sen (pdf): Texas Lyceum released a wide-ranging poll of Texans; one question they asked was who people were supporting in the event of a special election for the Senate. Fully 71% were undecided on this as-yet-non-existent race, but of the eight candidates (all asked together, rather than grouped by party), Democratic Houston mayor Bill White had the most support, at 9%. Other Dem contender John Sharp was at 2%; the top GOPers, AG Greg Abbott and LG David Dewhurst, each were at 4%. (They also polled the gubernatorial primary, finding Gov. Rick Perry beating Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison 33-21.)

AK-Gov: Rumblings seem greater in the last few days that Sarah Palin is unlikely to run for a second term as Alaska governor, so that she can focus on a 2012 bid (and, in light of her declining statewide approvals, avoid the possibility of a career-ending loss in the governor's election). (Potential opponent Andrew Halcro sums it up neatly: "If you're Palin, once you've flown first class, you don't go back to coach.") With a recent Pew poll finding that Palin is the nation's most popular Republican (key: among Republicans), striking while the iron is hot for 2012 makes sense. The DGA is certainly noticing, and they're now touting Alaska as one of their four big pickup opportunities in a new fundraising e-mail (along with Florida, Georgia, and Minnesota... which might suggest they think California and Hawaii are in the bag).

IL-Gov: A whole lot of longshots are piling up in the GOP column in the Illinois governor's race, which now includes political consultant and TV commentator Dan Proft. Six other GOPers, none of whom seem known statewide, are already in the hunt.

TX-Gov: State senator Leticia Van de Putte, whose name had cropped up a lot in connection with the Democratic nomination for Governor in recent weeks, released a statement yesterday saying she won't run. Interestingly, instead of endorsing Tom Schieffer -- whose Democratic credentials are kind of iffy -- she suggested that fellow state Senator Kirk Watson should run instead.

AL-02: No time for Congress, Dr. Love! Republican State Rep. and 2008 losing candidate Jay Love decided against a rematch with freshman Rep. Bobby Bright. The exit of Love, who barely lost in this R+16 district last time, means that Montgomery city councilor Martha Roby may escape a noxious primary (the GOP's main problem last time).

CA-11: Two Republican members of the Board of Supervisors of San Joaquin County (where almost half of this R+1 district's votes are located) endorsed Democratic Rep. Jerry McNerney yesterday, pleased with his constituent services and work to bring a VA hospital to the area.

CA-50: We're looking at a three-way Democratic primary in this R+3 district in northern San Diego county. Solana Beach city councilor Dave Roberts (a former Brian Bilbray supporter) is considering the race and will decide by July whether to jump in. He'd bring one advantage to his race against two-time candidate Francine Busby and attorney Tracy Emblem: he's actually been elected to something.

PA-06: PA2010's Dan Hirschhorn observes that with a series of top-tier hires, Doug Pike is looking more and more like he'll have the Dem field to himself. Pike has hired Neil Oxman's Campaign Group to do his media, who've worked not only for Gov. Ed Rendell but also for former Senate candidate Joe Torsella and '02 candidate Dan Wofford -- both of whom have had their names tossed around as the most likely other people to run in PA-06. I'd initially assumed the never-before-elected journalist was something of a placeholder until someone higher on the food chain got in the race, but with these hires and the DCCC constantly touting him, it seems clear that Pike is impressing the right people.

PA-15: Good news out of the Lehigh Valley: Bethlehem mayor John Callahan, who a few months ago had rebuffed requests that he run against Rep. Charlie Dent, may have had a change of heart. Callahan has approached Democratic party leaders about the race, and is now reportedly "seriously considering" running in this D+2 district.

TN-03: Attorney and radio talk show host Chuck Fleischmann will formally announce his entry into the GOP primary field today in the Chattanooga-based R+13 3rd. Bradley Co. Sheriff Tim Gobble is already running, and former GOP state chair Robin Smith looks like she'll get in, too.

NY-St. Sen.: As if the standoff over control of the New York State Senate, tied 31-31, couldn't get any more embarrassing, yesterday both parties held dueling special sessions... at the same time, in the same room, shouting to be heard over each other, with each side claiming to pass its own bills. Negotations to create a power-sharing arrangement have more or less collapsed.

Voting Rights: Oregon just became the fourth state to allow online voter registration, joining Washington, California, and Arizona. One less reason to have to get up from behind your computer.

Crisitunity :: SSP Daily Digest: 6/24
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SC Press Conference
You can get a live feed from Sanford's press conference from the Charleston Post-Curier's website ... they seem to be getting ready to start.

Sanford Press Conference
"I have been unfaithful to my wife."

Shoot
And, he's resigning as chair of the RGA. Another 2012 implosion.

[ Parent ]
Yep
Even outside of being the latest Republican cheater, if being governor of SC is so stressful he needs to secretly run off to South America, how would he handle being President of the United States?

[ Parent ]
My lord
You know, at first, I was thinking...if he was gonna have an affair hed give a good excuse from the get-go. So it couldnt possibly be an affair he had. But...I was proven quite wrong. He did indeed have an affair and he gave...no excuse at all. He just simply didnt tell anyone where he was...and on Father's Day weekend no less. Wow, just wow.  

[ Parent ]
Father and Husband of the year, ladies and gentleman...
Father and Hubby of the freakin year.

[ Parent ]
But he still can't hold a candle to last year's winner ...
Vito Fossella

[ Parent ]
And he had to say...
"my dear, dear friend from Argentina". Man, he doesnt have to be that specific. Just say a 'friend'. Hes making it sound like shes the freakin moon. Hey buddy, you have a wife and possibly a divorce court hearing coming soon. Humiliating your wife in public by calling your mistress a 'dear, dear friend' is only gonna increase your alimony payments.

[ Parent ]
And I just realized
SSP said he went there to 'break off the affair'. Either way this was a pretty slimy thing to do. Its Father's Day weekend, and you give your wife and family no details of where you are...so you can go break up with your mistress? Theres a little thing called a cell phone. Yes, youd want to break up with a wife in person, but a mistress doesnt have to have that kind of 'respect'.  

[ Parent ]
So, a message to the staff of Sanford who covered up Sanford's actions
LIAR LIAR, PANTS ON FIRE!!

Someone lied, and I blame Mark Sanford for this.  What an absolute dirtbag.  Allowing your staff to cover up your own discretions show that you have no respect for anyone that's working in your administration.

As far as his wife goes, I would be pissed that he would decide to go on a hiatus during FATHERS DAY!  Mark has shown that he also doesn't respect his position as father.

Well, who's next?  I'm sure some GOPer needs to 'fess up.    


[ Parent ]
I just wish that he and his fellow theocratic friends
would stop visiting his "sins" on gays.

[ Parent ]
Maloney leads Gillibrand
Albeit with big undecided.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x128...


No problem
UpstateDem is for Maloney. Gillibrand has it in the bag!

[ Parent ]
CA-50
Dave Roberts would not be the only candidate in the race to have been elected to something.  Francine Busby served on the Cardiff School Board and is hands-down the only progressive in the race.  The other two come right out and tell you that they are conservative Dems.  This is not a conservative enough district to necessitate a right-wing Dem.

Busby
She did lose twice though, right?  Some new blood would be good.

[ Parent ]
3 times
Duke Cunningham crushed her in 2004 58.5 to 36.5

She then lost a competetive special election after Cunningham's arrest to Bilbray 49.3 to 45.4 in 2006

Thne she lost in the general election in 2006 53.2 to 43.5.  As you can see, she did even worse in the general

So no, Francine Busby has no chance in this race.  She'll keep it to 10% or so I think, but she won't win.  

The person I'm really pulling for the get into the race is the 08 nominee Nick Leibham.  He got 45.2% in his first race while getting nearly no help from the DCCC and held Bilbray to 50.3%.  

If Leibham gets back into the race, with some help from the DCCC he can win it.  

Check out http://electioninspection.word... for the latest news, election results, poll analysis, and predictions


[ Parent ]
Leibham's too close to Busby.
He's not getting in now that she is running.

[ Parent ]
Financial adviser Buddy Rogers?
I wonder if old wrestling fans will think its the long-deceased, legendary pro wrestler 'Nature Boy' Buddy Rogers ;).

CA-Gov
... which might suggest they (DGA) think California and Hawaii are in the bag).

I certainly hope they don't think CA is in the bag.
Our two prospective candidates (Brown, Newsom) are both flawed. And the prospective Repub candidate is a billionaire with virtually unlimited funds to smear and go negative against either.

A hurricane is more in the bag
The only reason to be optimistic about CA is because AV dropped out this week, making Brown the likely candidate, and he should beat the Republican, but still, the Republicans have three pretty good candidates and we have none.

[ Parent ]
Three pretty good candidates for a general, maybe
But nobody in the GOP is gonna be excited about Poizner, Whitman, or, for heaven's sake, Campbell (who's far closer to being a mainstream pro-business Dem than a Republican, anyway).  I'm not sure anyone's really fooled by Whitman's move to the right, either.  No, I think they'll try to woo a Genuine Conservative, who would then lose.  California doesn't have an open primary, does it?  I can easily see the GOP base, especially in areas like Orange County, saying "screw it". Doesn't mean it'll happen, and they may not even get another choice, but if they do, I just smell it.

[ Parent ]
Westly
I've heard a rumor that Steve Westly is taking a look at the race.  Any Californian's want to tell me how that would shake things up??

Check out http://electioninspection.word... for the latest news, election results, poll analysis, and predictions

[ Parent ]
Westly is deathly
Ran the worst campaign in the past thirty years in California.  I can't imagine any sensible person backing a guy who lost to Angelides.

He's a non-factor.  His statewide political career is over.


[ Parent ]
If Whitman
Is socially moderate then that makes 2 reasons social conservatives would dislike her. That and the Mormon thing.  

[ Parent ]
The mainstream GOP is pretty pleased with the three
All are left of center of the party, which is the only way a Republican will ever get elected.

If a wingnut got in (McClintock), he might be able to win the primary, but reality has set in for most california Republicans, they know they can't beat and Dem with a wingnut... and they know with a moderate they can beat a crappy Democrat.


[ Parent ]
The parties in California get to choose
We had an open primary, but it was ruled unconstitutional, so now it's up to each party weather to open their primary. The Democrats have an open primary, the Republicans do not.  Neither do most of the minor parties.

[ Parent ]
Can we get a listing of all the U.S. political scandals this year
starting from right after the 2008 elections, including who's involved, what party, what offense, when it started, etc.?

Bill Posey is not half-alligator...and is outclassed by Davy Crockett anyway: http://www.washingtonmonthly.c...


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