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SSP Daily Digest: 6/19

by: Crisitunity

Fri Jun 19, 2009 at 2:12 PM EDT


FL-Sen: Here's a pretty serious repudiation of Charlie Crist by the GOP party faithful. At a county party straw poll in Pasco County (Tampa exurbs, one county removed from Crist's Pinellas County home), Marco Rubio beat Crist 73 to 9. Luckily for Crist, the primary electorate includes a much broader sample than the party's diehard activist base who actually show up for meetings... but this shows just how badly things are for him with the base.

IL-Sen: Bad news for AG Lisa Madigan, whose list of demands for a Senate race include an Obama endorsement, a cleared field, and no brown M&Ms at the catering table: Barack Obama announced that he wouldn't be endorsing anyone in the Senate race. Good news for Roland Burris, on the other hand: a state prosecutor has decided that Burris won't face perjury charges over his vague statements to the state legislature about his appointment to the Senate by disgraced former governor Rod Blagojevich.

KY-Sen: SoS Trey Grayson has decided to start fundraising like a madman in the coming weeks, scheduling eight more events before the end of the fundraising quarter in June. Grayson opened his exploratory committee on May 6, so he has had only half-a-quarter in which to try to top Jim Bunning.

MN-Sen: The FEC released two draft opinions that, if enacted by the full commission, will prevent Norm Coleman from tapping his campaign funds for his legal defense fees associated with his FBI investigation. (This doesn't affect the costs of paying for the recount, which are paid in part by the Coleman Minnesota Recount Committee instead.)

CA-Gov: Has anyone noticed that LA Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa, who everyone assumes is running for Governor, hasn't taken any steps toward running for Governor? The folks at Calitics have noticed, and the fact that Villaraigosa (whose popularity in LA seems to be faltering) just took over the 2nd VP role for the US Conference of Mayors (which puts him on track to become the organization's president in 2011) is another tea leaf that he won't run. If he doesn't run, that just leaves an all-Bay Area clash between old (Jerry Brown) and new (Gavin Newsom) for the Dem nod.

MN-Gov: GOP state Rep. Paul Kohls from Minneapolis's western exurbs has announced his candidacy for the Minnesota governor's race. He joins former GOP state Rep. Bill Haas as official candidates, but at least a dozen more people seem intent on entering the race.

FL-15: Rep. Bill Posey got nothing but scorn when he aligned himself with the most tinfoil elements of the GOP in introducing his birther legislation, but he's just ratcheting up the crazy. Posey picked up four more co-sponsors (Culberson, Carter, Neugebauer, and Campbell). Also, while being interviewed on WorldNetDaily's radio show about the bill, Posey outright accused Barack Obama of hiding something and, for good measure, tried launching a feud with Rachel Maddow.

NM-01: Jon Barela, a former vice-chair of the New Mexico GOP and former head of the Albuquerque Hispano Chamber of Commerce, officially announced his candidacy against Rep. Martin Heinrich. He did so with the endorsement of 2008 candidate Sheriff Darren White. While it's now a D+5 district, it's almost half Latino, so Barela could make some noise if he gets some traction in the Latino community.

OH-08: Speaker Minority leader John Boehner got a break: his would-be primary challenger, iconoclastic Butler County Sheriff Richard Jones, has opted not to get in the race. This frees Boehner up to spend more of summer of 2010 fundraising for other House candidates, or at least working on his tan.

VA-05: Very little has been happening in VA-05 while everyone waits to see whether ex-Rep. Virgil Goode will try to get his old job back from Rep. Tom Perriello in this GOP-leaning district in rural Virginia. One GOPer isn't waiting, though: Cordel Faulk is publicly considering the race. Faulk hasn't held office, but he has an interesting job; he's the spokesman for Charlottesville-based professor and pundit Larry Sabato.

NY-St. Senate: With the New York State Senate collapsed into a 31-31 tie, turncoat Dem (and, for now, Senate president and thus acting Lt. Gov.) Pedro Espada Jr. has come up with a rather novel legal theory in the absence of any constitutional clarification: he gets two votes, one ordinary vote as Senator and one tie-breaker vote as LG. Of course, nobody else seems to think this, and other theories are popping up as to who might get a tie-breaking vote (Former LG and current Gov. David Paterson? Assembly speaker Sheldon Silver?) if the Senators can't figure out how to break the deadlock themselves. Meanwhile, a likely primary challenger to Espada has already popped up: Haile Rivera, an activist and ally of city councilor Eric Gioia who had previously been planning his own city council run this year.

Crisitunity :: SSP Daily Digest: 6/19
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Do we have ANYONE we can run in FL-15?


Bill Posey is not half-alligator...and is outclassed by Davy Crockett anyway: http://www.washingtonmonthly.c...

NM-01
Throughout the 1990s the Democrats tried a series of Latino candidates against republican incumbents without success. Only one came close. I would rate Barela a tougher candidate than most these.

VA-05 - Perriello has turned down an application for funds from Larry Sabato's Institute. Virgil Goode (a classmate of Sabato) had provided more than $7M for Sabato over the years. This could be grudge match.


Faulk
There's an interesting spin to the Perriello-Goode-Sabato drama when you consider that one of the more possible challengers to Perriello works for Sabato. Gawker nails it: http://gawker.com/5296941/note...

[ Parent ]
Speaker John Boehner??
I guess all that tobacco lobby campaign checks he passed around in the House Chamber really came in handy to get past the Democrats large majority in the House. Nancy Pelosi might want to be notified though.  

Villaraigosa
is said to be not running for governor by the SF Chronicle.
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/...

Our sources in L.A. say Villaraigosa has come to the conclusion that the time is just not right for him to make a state run - given that he hasn't even been sworn in yet to a second term, and that he's facing bloody political fights at home.


First good news, for everybody
Villaraigosa would not have won, and has enough troubles not be burned at the stake in LA.

Ideally someone from Socal will jump in from the LA area.  Brown is far better than Newsom, and would probably crush him after a campaign (the more pople know about Newsom, the less they like him), but we damn well can do better than Brown.  Brad Sherman, get some huevos.


[ Parent ]
Why not SoS Debra Bowen?
I'm surprised her name doesn't get batted around.  I'd certainly prefer her to either Newsom or Brown.

Stop complaining and whining and get to work.

[ Parent ]
I really like her too. She and Chiang are my favorite statewide officials.
I'm guessing she's not jumping in because A, she probably thought she wouldn't stand a chance against Brown or Newsom, and B, I think she prefers to continue her job as Secretary of State for now.

Check out the 2010 California races (http://2010californiaracetracker.wetpaint.com) and help us take back Red California! (http://www.takebackredcalifornia.org)

[ Parent ]
Given the choice of running for...
Governor of a bankrupt state where you have to give up your job

versus

Senator in 2 years when you don't have to give up your job

Basically the only reason to run for CA Gov this year is to be in a position to be President in 2016.


[ Parent ]
Newsom
What is Newsom's problem, other than the affair?  I liked the man; he seems very personable and telegenic.  To be honest I'm fine with Jerry Brown, too, who strikes me as a straight-shooter.

[ Parent ]
I too liked Newsom
when hearing about his fight for marriage equality back in 2004. However, more recently, I discovered more about Newsom that really turned me off to him, that I outlined in a comment in a past diary about a poll for the governor's race. As mayor, Newsom has sided with corporate interests on basically every major issue even against labor, consumers, tenants, etc., and even used "socialist" as if it is a dirty word.

So as of now, by default, I am one of those younguns (26) backing Brown.

Check out the 2010 California races (http://2010californiaracetracker.wetpaint.com) and help us take back Red California! (http://www.takebackredcalifornia.org)


[ Parent ]
Maybe Villaraigosa has another run in mind.
My guess is that Villaraigosa might be working to rebuild his popularity in his home base (he hasn't really been a bad mayor, he's just more of a behind the scenes guy and his affair ruffled some feathers).  Once he's got that nailed down again, he might want to make a run for the US Senate in 2012 if Feinstein retires.  Hell, he could run even if she doesn't, there is a lot of discontent among California Democrats with Feinstein (for good reason) and Villaraigosa has a history of mounting primary challenges from the left.

Stop complaining and whining and get to work.

[ Parent ]
MN-Gov
Minnesota Democrats Exposed is reporting that former state auditor and swine flu victim Pat Anderson will be running for Governor.

She lost pretty handedly to Rebecca Otto in 2006 for re-election to the auditor position.  We only have four state statewide elected officials (5 if you include LG but nobody likes that bitch and she isnt really elected anyway) so she'll definitely have many connections with GOP activists and may have better name recognition that the other candidates.  But who really knows who their state auditor is besides us?  It's easily the most low-profile state elected position.


Are both sides up there
Trying to break some sort of record for total number of candidates running?

[ Parent ]
CA-Gov recall takes the cake
unless you're talking about normal elections.

Bill Posey is not half-alligator...and is outclassed by Davy Crockett anyway: http://www.washingtonmonthly.c...

[ Parent ]
I think conspiracy is talking about normal elections.
Though I think the current race for the open governor's seat in CA is getting a lot of candidates lined up also. Haven't counted, though.

Check out the 2010 California races (http://2010californiaracetracker.wetpaint.com) and help us take back Red California! (http://www.takebackredcalifornia.org)

[ Parent ]
LA Times poll today
put a nail in Villaraigosa's coffin.  Most people in LA don't want him to run for Guv, and he only lead Brown 39-31 (13 for Newsom) among city residents.  He's doomed with numbers like that, since at best they'll be reversed in Norcal.

[ Parent ]

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