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SSP Daily Digest: 6/8

by: Crisitunity

Mon Jun 08, 2009 at 2:50 PM EDT


PA-Sen: Seems like Joe Sestak cleared his Senate run with his family, as now he only has to run it by the Almighty: "It would take an act of God for me to not get in now," he said on Saturday. Meanwhile, the state's political establishment, led by Ed Rendell, feted Arlen Specter at the state party's quarterly meeting on Friday (with Sestak in attendance).

FL-Sen: From sitting Senator to punchline in a few short years: Bob Smith's announcement that he's running for Senate again seemed to generate mostly just shrugs and giggles. Of course, part of the problem is that he's running in Florida instead of New Hampshire, where he looks to be barely a blip on the radar screen in the titanic Crist/Rubio faceoff. This may benefit Charlie Crist a bit by shaving off some of the die-hard conservative vote from Marco Rubio, but Smith in his announcement didn't even seem to have any ammunition to use against Rubio, saying only that he offers "strong political leadership" in contrast to Rubio's "wheeling and dealing." Meanwhile, Crist got hammered in a St. Petersburg Times editorial for his role in gutting Florida's growth management act, which damages his environmental credentials for the general.

NY-Sen-B: Kirsten Gillibrand snagged two more endorsements from her former colleagues in New York's House delegation: Nydia Velazquez and Ed Towns. Rep. Carolyn Maloney continues to staff up for a potential challenge, though, and words comes that she's looking to hire Joe Trippi as strategist, and Mark Penn's polling firm (now there's an odd combination).

IN-Sen: Indiana Republicans have located a challenger for Evan Bayh: 32-year-old state Senator Marlin Stutzman. While Stutzman probably doesn't have Bayh shaking in his boots, it seems like a way for him to grow his statewide profile for future endeavors.

CA-Gov: Another California governor's poll bubbled up last week, from Probolsky Research for Capitol Weekly. They look only at the primary fields: former Governor Jerry Brown continues to lead the field at 24, while SF mayor Gavin Newsom is at 16 and LA mayor Antonio Villaraigosa is at 15. On the GOP side, "undecided" is running away with it, with 64%. Among the human candidates, here's a surprise: moderate ex-Rep. Tom Campbell leads at 13, leading the two more-highly-touted and richer candidates, ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (10) and Insurance Comm. Steve Poizner (8).

IA-03: Rep. Leonard Boswell may face a rematch with the guy he barely beat in the 1996 open seat race to take office: former state GOP chair Michael Mahaffey. IA-03 is a very different configuration now, though; it used to be a mostly rural district then, but now is centered on Des Moines (although Boswell still manages to find ways to get elected by narrow margins).

TX-23: Rep. Ciro Rodriguez may face a primary challenge in 2010, from lawyer and Iraq vet Miguel Ortiz. Rodriguez and Ortiz are both from San Antonio, so Ortiz doesn't have the advantage of a geographical hook.

FL-AG: State Senator (and former U.S. Senate candidate) Dan Gelber confirmed that he's running for Attorney General (against friend and fellow Senator Dave Aronberg). Gelber had also been considered for Lt. Gov., seemingly leaving Dems back at square one to fill that slot.

FL-16: Speaking of Aronberg, with him out, St. Lucie County Commissioner Chris Craft seems to be DCCC's person of interest to take on freshman Rep. Tom Rooney. They've also talked to Craft's fellow Commissioner, Doug Coward.

VA-Legislature: Here's another interesting look at our best chances of taking control of the Virginia House of Delegates in 2009, this time from our own diaries courtesy of Johnny Longtorso.

Crisitunity :: SSP Daily Digest: 6/8
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Gillibrand is worried
Trippi is a big get. Ask President Dean and President Edwards.

LOL
Well, Edwards had his own problems.  Now, Dean, on the other hand, is kinda a disappointment.

Bill Posey is not half-alligator...and is outclassed by Davy Crockett anyway: http://www.washingtonmonthly.c...

[ Parent ]
And of course
President Hillary Clinton can tell Gillibrand how worried she needs to be that Mark Penn is also on the case.

[ Parent ]
Georgia State Senate: A New Carter Candidacy?
State Senator David Adelman (D-West-Central DeKalb County, including the DeKalb portions of Atlanta and Decatur) is heavily rumored to be a candidate for a U.S. Attorney spot.  Should he get the job, one of the rumored replacements is Jimmy Carter's grandson Jason Carter.

http://blogs.ajc.com/political...

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.


That is a scathing editorial
The GOP has already done a wonderful job turning Florida into an ugly slab of concrete, and one that's had a piss-poor job market for ages despite the promises of economic growth. This would be a powerful issue if the voters knew more about it. Meek needs to run with it. Any Floridians know if he's having any luck continuing to raise money?  

NY-Sen-B
Trippi and Penn working together? That's up there with pigs flying and hell freezing over, right? If that happens, I think the netroots might just collapse in a ball of confusion.

Still, any movement by Maloney is good news for the DavidNYC for Congress movement. Should someone be registering DraftDavidNYC.com?


Bob Smith
Chuckles aside, how is it that he'd draw more "die-hard conservative votes" from Rubio? I thought he was from the moderate-ish wing of the party... did he reconstruct himself while no one was paying attention?

Who knows
No one has been paying attention anyway.

Bill Posey is not half-alligator...and is outclassed by Davy Crockett anyway: http://www.washingtonmonthly.c...

[ Parent ]
I thought he left the Republican Party because it wasn't conservative enough.


Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
LOL
I thought he left the Republican party because it wasn't conservative enough.


Bill Posey is not half-alligator...and is outclassed by Davy Crockett anyway: http://www.washingtonmonthly.c...

[ Parent ]
Exactly
He is particularly extreme on abortion, basically not allowing it under any circumstances.

[ Parent ]
From Wikipedia
"Smith had established himself as the most conservative Senator from the Northeast, and Bill Clinton's coattails [in 1996] nearly caused his defeat."

also

"In January 2008, Smith began writing editorials on the web page of the Constitution Party..."

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.


[ Parent ]
Yet he endorsed Kerry in 2004
Odd one to say the least.

[ Parent ]
Revenge
Bush supported Sununu's primary challenge in 2002.

[ Parent ]
Gotta love how revenge trumps even ideology
See, this is why Rove tried to bring the emotion of anger in line with ideology.

However, the reverse happened--ideology went in line with the emotion of anger.  Oops.

Bill Posey is not half-alligator...and is outclassed by Davy Crockett anyway: http://www.washingtonmonthly.c...


[ Parent ]
NY State Dems Have Lost Senate Control
Read it and weep.

Methinks the two conservative Latino Dems from New York City might have been feeling the pressure within their caucus on the gay marriage issue and decided to bail.


NY
Wow, this is horrible.  Any chance we can get rid of these fools?

[ Parent ]
Hmm... depends
If they remain Repubs, and this is not a stunt to forestall the gay marriage issue altogether, they may continue to be re-elected on name recognition alone....

They might come back to the Dem caucus if they're trying to get the gay marriage swept off the table for the foreseeable future.


[ Parent ]
May not last long regardless of party
One of them owns a health care company that is being investigated by the state AG and the other was indicted for beating up his girlfriend. if he's convicted, he's automatically out of the Senate.

Quite a classy pair.


[ Parent ]
Didn't change parties
WCBS (880-AM in New York City) has been reporting that the two senators didn't change their party from Democratic to Republican, so it would be necessary to primary them, if they aren't removed from office by legal action.

[ Parent ]
They damn well better be primaried/challenged
Is there any way NY State Dems can retake the Senate without these two? This is completely bullshit.

[ Parent ]
NY
I think we went too far too fast on the gay marriage issue and it was a reckless and stupid political move that's going to hold us back from passing any impressive progressive legislation for two years. I thought this was the case when Paterson began pushing gay marriage a few months ago; anything he touches is toxic.

Why do Democratic presidential candidates do so much better than state and NYC Democrats here? So frustrating...  

Check out Georgia's best progressive political blog


[ Parent ]
Nope...
Wrong. Try getting the facts before trashing gay people. Thanks.

[ Parent ]
What a well-funded and thoughtful reply
Fitchfan is expressing his opinion that the gay marriage issue is hurting the Dems in NY State. He may be right or he may be wrong. What exactly has this to do with "gay bashing"?

[ Parent ]
Actually..
Because there was nothing in there to imply that was the cause of this whole coup attempt, and the fact that his mind jumped first to blaming gay marriage, to me, shows a willingness to throw gay people "under the bus".

[ Parent ]
Actually
Gay marriage was a divisive issue in NY this year that some Democratic legislators threatened to flip sides on if it was brought up so no, I wasn't just throwing gays under the bus.
Not knowing the reason for the flip (we still don't exactly) I felt that gay marriage could be a contributing factor and the fact is if you read what I said it was really more of a criticism of Paterson, who I felt was a representative of the incompetence of NY Democrats who managed to make a 40 year effort to regain the State Senate a bust in 5 months by apparently pushing their delegation too far, too fast and failing to recognize this until it was too late.  

Check out Georgia's best progressive political blog

[ Parent ]
Marriage equality had nothing to do with it, surprisingly.
Both were in favor: http://www.thealbanyproject.co...

More likely they're trying to gain some leverage in order to avoid being sent to prison (Monserrate's under indictment, Espada isn't far behind IIRC).


[ Parent ]
Far from conservative
These guys may be hugely corrupt and they probably are more socially conservative than we'd like, but both make up part of a core of economic left-wingers in the State Senate.

[ Parent ]
All Golisano
This is revenge for raising the tax rates on millionaires.  These two are freshmen and have been threatening to leave from day 1.  Espada gets to be acting lt gov and Monserratte may get a high priced lawyer to defend himself from charges that he beat his girlfriend with a bottle, the broken glass causing 20 stitches.

Diaz cares about gay marriage and he did not bolt.  


[ Parent ]
I will be happy
if the two newest members of the House from Florida are Reps. Courage and Coward.

I mean
Reps. Justice and Coward.  I don't know why I thought it was Charlie Courage running for congress.  Still, the point is the same.

[ Parent ]
Full name of Rep. Coward please
I want to read this person's wikipedia bio.

Bill Posey is not half-alligator...and is outclassed by Davy Crockett anyway: http://www.washingtonmonthly.c...

[ Parent ]
CA-Gov: Campbell has more name recognition than the others
even though Poizner is currently in office.

Campbell versus Brown would be great for California, since the other choices are so weak, but for Dem-only swing staters, Campbell should be feared because of the six people mentioned, he is head and shoulders the best candidate.

I can't imagine voting for either of the lame-o mayors over Campbell.

There was a story in the LA Times this weekend noting the irony of how Moonbeam Brown was the "normal" Democrat compared to the mayors.

We need a wingnut to enter on the Republican side, because the moderate vote will be split between the existing candidates.  Any Democrat would beat a wingnut, even the Larry, Moe and Curly Joe we got running.



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