Politico is reporting that Obama is naming Rep. John McHugh (R-NY) from New York's 23d Congressional District to be Secretary of the Army. (http://www.politico.com/politico44/)
The 23d district is often discussed in the many redistricting diaries for New York. The district barely voted for Obama but as far as I know is traditionally Republican, so I think there would be some obviously parallels to a special election in McHugh's district with the one in NY-20 a few months back.
My hunch would be a Republican would be slightly favored, but that was the conventional wisdon in NY-20 initially as well. Here's hoping we can find another Scott Murphy!
Anyone know what the Dem bench is like in the 23d? The Republican bench?