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SSP Daily Digest: 5/28

by: Crisitunity

Thu May 28, 2009 at 1:25 PM EDT


OH-Sen: Rob Portman's great week continues: he just found himself admitting in an interview that Republicans have no position on health care, and that he reached this conclusion only by talking to GOP Senate leadership about that. However, he says, "There's a task force, and I applaud them for that."

FL-Gov: Lakeland-area State Senator Paula Dockery, whose name has occasionally been bandied about for the GOP nomination for the open seat in FL-12, may be setting her sights higher: all the way to Governor. This would complicate things for the state party leadership, which got Ag Commissioner Charles Bronson to clear the path for AG Bill McCollum... but might secretly relieve some others in the Florida GOP, worried that McCollum has that warmed-over two-time-loser aroma. (I wonder, though, if she might really be angling for the still-vacant Lt. Gov. slot, as current Lt. Gov. Jeff Kottkamp is heading over to the AG's race, and Bronson said 'no thanks' to the idea. The GOP might need her there to avoid having an all-white-guy slate, what with state Senate President Jeff Atwater running for CFO and Howdy Doody Rep. Adam Putnam running for Ag Comm.)

AZ-Gov: Another state legislator contemplating out loud about a Governor's race is state Rep. David Bradley, who may resign this summer in order to explore the race. He has two disadvantages, though: his base is not Phoenix but the much-smaller Tucson, and he isn't known statewide like other likely Dem candidates AG Terry Goddard and developer/former state party boss/2006 Senate candidate Jim Pederson.

NY-Gov: Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand made some cryptic comments yesterday that have everyone scratching their heads: she believes there won't be a Democratic primary for the 2010 Governor's race. What she didn't say is who she thinks will stand down, David Paterson or Andrew Cuomo?

MD-01: The NRCC is up with another ad blitz, this time with freshman Rep. Frank Kratovil the prime target. The TV ad hits Kratovil for his 'no' vote against an investigation into Nancy Pelosi over whether she or the CIA is lying (not an issue I could ever see the public comprehending, let alone getting revved up about, but maybe that's just me). The issue also merits radio spots in 6 more districts (those of Stephanie Herseth Sandlin, Suzanne Kosmas, Glenn Nye, Tom Perriello, Vic Snyder, and Harry Teague), and robocalls in 10 more (John Boccieri, Bobby Bright, John Hall, Steny Hoyer, Steve Kagen, Ann Kirkpatrick, Larry Kissell, Harry Mitchell, Walt Minnick, and Mark Schauer).

CA-10: Running Some Guy is better than running No Guy, and the GOP has at least found Some Guy to run in the yet-to-be-scheduled special election to replace Ellen Tauscher: attorney David Harmer. Harmer once ran for Congress in UT-02 in 1996, and his father was California Lt. Gov under Ronald Reagan.

NY-AG: The New York Times profiles half a dozen prominent Democrats who are jockeying to take over the Attorney General's job if Andrew Cuomo follows through on the Governor's race. Nassau County Exec Tom Suozzi is the best known, but two members of Paterson's cabinet -- insurance superintendent Eric Dinallo and criminal justice official Denise O'Donnell -- are also looking. The article also cites Assemblyman Michael Gianaris, Assemblyman Richard Brodsky, and state Senator Eric Schneiderman.

TX-House: Democrats in the state House in Texas used parliamentary procedures to run out the clock on a Republican voter suppression bill. The voter ID bill would have disenfranchised thousands. The bill was so important to Republicans that they wouldn't let any other bills jump ahead of it in the queue, though, creating a standoff that torpedoed hundreds of other pieces of legislation (including the override of Gov. Rick Perry's decision to turn down $555 million in federal stimulus funds).

Crisitunity :: SSP Daily Digest: 5/28
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NRCC targets, CA-10, TX-House
NRCC targets:

WTF?  Vic Snyder?  Steph Herseth Sandlin?  I mean, the other ones I can understand, with all of them frosh or (for Hall) near-frosh, and Hoyer being a high-profile "lightning rod" (they hope, at least).

But AR-02 is only like R+6, and Snyder got re-elected by like 77% in 2008.  How has Herseth's electoral record been?

CA-10: UT-02?  WTF?

But now I'm curious as to how many votes "No Guy" would get, if stuck in an election somewhere.  Would be funny if Pro-Life changed his name again to No Guy and, like, ran for the Independence Party nod in Minnesota or something, just to see how many protest votes he could rack up.

TX-House: Dang.  Pwned.  (Both sides.)

Bill Posey is not half-alligator...and is outclassed by Davy Crockett anyway: http://www.washingtonmonthly.c...


You may already know this
but Nevada actually requires "None of the Above" to be a line on the ballot for every race. If NOTA wins the race, all the other candidates get blackballed and there has to be new election with new candidates. (For what it's worth, NOTA almost never wins, except maybe mayor's races in ghost towns. For instance, NOTA only got 0.65% against Obama and McCain. Maybe NOTA will break 5% in the upcoming Harry Reid/Sacrifical Lamb race, though.)

As for Herseth, she's a target only because there's still odds that she might run for Governor, and they're trying to seed the ground for that being an open seat. Also, I think they have the current (term-limited-out) SoS running for the GOP in that race, so that's better for them than the usual placeholder they run in that type race. As for Snyder, I think they just see the big red shift in Arkansas and think that's worth something, although the shift was a lot greater in rural AR-01 and AR-04 than in AR-02 (which is Little Rock).


[ Parent ]
And it being Little Rock, if Snyder's in any trouble, Clinton can just show up
So are they targetting Marion Berry or Mike Ross?

Bill Posey is not half-alligator...and is outclassed by Davy Crockett anyway: http://www.washingtonmonthly.c...

[ Parent ]
their districts
are more Democratic, on a local level, than the little rock one which has some very conservative suburbs. Snyder is a very good Democrat to, I really like him, made very principled stands against flag-burning banning and the Federal Gay Marriage amendmant and he did it as a war veteran and a ordained minister and won reelection against the state house minority leader 59-40 in 2004.  

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]
I just wish he'd be a good Democrat on trade issues.
But otherwise you're right, he's the best the state's got at the federal level.

Stop complaining and whining and get to work.

[ Parent ]
It's money
Snyder has $17,652 cash on hand, the other 2 Dems from the Arkansas US House delegation are over a half million.  Snyder traditionally is a little lax on fund-raising and the GOP sees an opening that is not there.

[ Parent ]
well that's
another one of his principles. He doesn't actively fundraise until the year of elections, rather old fashioned, but he does it so he can pay more attention to his constiueints./

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]
Not true
Even if NOTA gets the most votes, the candidate with the most votes still wins.

http://sos.state.nv.us/electio...


[ Parent ]
Also it only appears to be an option for statewide races.


[ Parent ]
It must be another country
that has the thing where the initial candidates get bounced if NOTA wins (maybe France?). But it does apply at the presidential and senatorial level; here's the 2008 vote in Nevada... NOTA got 0.65% in the 2008 pres race, 1.41% in 2006 when Ensign got re-elected, and in 2004 got 1.60% in Harry Reid's 2004 re-election.

[ Parent ]
When you actually look at their targets
They really don't have much to work with do they.

AZ Gov and Texas Dems
You left off Phoenix Mayor Phil Gordon, also considering a race for mayor.

And kudos to the Texas Democrats.  For guys trapped in the minority they've got plenty of intestinal fortitude and know how to fight the good fight-and win.

Stop complaining and whining and get to work.


better than California Dems
the California-DP lost all will to fight for elections with new ideas and compelling candidates about a decade ago.

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]
Aren't their districts badly gerrymandered for incumbent protection?
If so, that might be why.  There's something about having your back against the wall that just makes you fight all that much harder.

Stop complaining and whining and get to work.

[ Parent ]
Gerrymandered
And very extremely so.  That might change in 2010.  I hope they get a little more ambitious, but most of the Dems in the ledge get really pissy if their Dem registration drops just a few points.  Tauscher's the only one I can think of that wanted a more R-leaning district, though she also asked for Lawrence Livermore to remain in her district, and that's a fairly Dem area.

[ Parent ]
There is a character in "Animal Farm" called "Squealer"
He's the image I have of California Democrats when reapportionment is mentioned.

[ Parent ]
TX legislature vs. governor
How much do the Republicans in the TX state legislature and gov. Perry see eye-to-eye on things?

I assume it's not a perfectly efficient well-oiled machine, but is it anywhere like Alaska, where the legislature basically gave Palin a gigantic "fuck you" with various things?

Bill Posey is not half-alligator...and is outclassed by Davy Crockett anyway: http://www.washingtonmonthly.c...


[ Parent ]
May be some friction now
I imagine it was a love-fest when Craddick was running the House, but now that we have a relative moderate elected with Dem supported in the House, the relationship might be a bit frostier.  Now, we're not talking Alaska or South Carolina frosty (Sanford and the pig incident come to mind), though.

[ Parent ]
Texas is weird
Everyone seems to be looking out for really themselves and junk. The partisan label is ignored for a lot of things in exchange for the "everyone who is not me sucks" label.

I hate the state legislature.


[ Parent ]
Bradley
is one of my State Reps. He doesn't even really have a high profile in Tucson. I kinda tend to forget about him, actually.

Running from outside Phoenix isn't a death sentence per say; if done right a candidate can run up the vote in the rest of the state to compensate for the likely inevitable drag in Maricopa County (think Napolitano in 2002, who, while a Phoenician, avoided getting swamped in Maricopa County by campaigning heavily in the rest of the state, pulling off a ridiculous 14 point win in Pima County and also picking up unlikely counties like Gila). However, does Bradley have the gusto to pull that off?


Jay Dardenne, bad fiction writer?
http://www.sjsu.edu/faculty/sc...

From the 2008 Bulwer-Lytton Fiction Contest winners:

In the Vile Puns category, the second Dishonorable Mention:

Dimwitted and flushed, Sgt. John Head was frustrated by his constipated attempts to arrest the so-called "Bathroom Burglar" until, while wiping his brow, he realized that each victim had been robbed in a men's room, thereby focusing his attention on the janitor, whose cleaning habits clearly established a commodus operandi.

Jay Dardenne
Baton Rouge, LA

And at the very bottom, in Miscellaneous Dishonorable Mentions:

Surveying his shattered and splintered ship, Baskin pronounced it wrecked, glanced at his first mate, Robbins, and began a careful assessment of his new surroundings: sand as white as whipped cream, lush greenery layered like a cake against the fruit-filled treeline, a vanilla sky blended into an evening as dark as chocolate with a pie-shaped moon, prompting him to wonder aloud, "what's so unappetizing about being stranded on a desserted island?"

Jay Dardenne
Baton Rouge, LA

I'm betting it's who we all think it is.

Bill Posey is not half-alligator...and is outclassed by Davy Crockett anyway: http://www.washingtonmonthly.c...


And it's me who just added it to his Wikipedia page.
In case you're wondering.

Bill Posey is not half-alligator...and is outclassed by Davy Crockett anyway: http://www.washingtonmonthly.c...

[ Parent ]
could it really be him?


Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]

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