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VA-Gov: Deeds Surges in New Survey USA Poll

by: Sean Fitzpatrick

Wed May 20, 2009 at 7:37 PM EDT


Survey USA for WDBJ 7 in Roanoke

Survey USA polled the Virginia Governor's race again, and with less than three weeks to go, State Senator Creigh Deeds is surging.

Terry McAuliffe leads with 37%.  Deeds is now in second with 26%.  Former Delegate Brian Moran now sits in third place with 22%.
Sean Fitzpatrick :: VA-Gov: Deeds Surges in New Survey USA Poll
I think this is great news.  I'm rooting for Deeds--I thought he was very impressive in the debate I saw on C-SPAN, and think that he would be the strongest challenger against Attorney General Bob McDonnell.  He's the only candidate who gained ground since the last SUSA poll, and now leads in Central Virginia.

Being the only candidate from Southern Virginia, I think Deeds can hold our margin down there.  I think he'll be able to run up the score in NoVA, too--at least as much as he has to.  McAuliffe still seems like a wild-card, and I don't see Moran pulling it out.  The primary is on June 9; the general in November.

This is certainly a race to watch.

http://www.deedsforvirginia.com/
http://www.terrymcauliffe.com/
http://www.brianmoran.com/
Poll
Who will win the Democratic nomination for Governor of Virginia?
Creigh Deeds
Terry McAuliffe
Brian Moran

Results

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VA-Gov: Deeds Surges in New Survey USA Poll | 8 comments
VA
I don't see any other possible outcome besides Terry winning the primary and losing the general.

29/D/Male/NY-01
I see one other scenario
Moran supporting anti-McAuliffe voters switch to Deeds as Deeds gains momentum at the end and narrowly beats McAuliffe.
[ Parent ]
any voter may vote in the Democratic primary,
according to your link. Since there's no Repub Gov. primary race, is there any indication of plans of mischief-making by VA Repubs there to vote in the Dem primary?

Actually reading further, in fact it says the turnout model assumes 12% Republican voters

well, I definitely support Deeds
he did well against McDonnell before and has the right profile to be a statewide candidate. McAufilie just isn't the kind of leader state Democrats need and his whole entrances smacks of political opportunism.

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus
[ Parent ]
Maybe Deeds pulls an upset
Perhaps the primary voters will be so turned off by the back and forth between the Moran and McAuliffe campaigns that Deeds can come up through the middle for a win.
It is likely that in that circumstance
McAuliffe will start attacking Deeds.
[ Parent ]
For all of the Sturm und Drang about T-Mac,
it actually looks like Moran is the one who can't win in November.
Deeds
doesn't have particularly good policy positions. But the other two candidates have run really awful campaigns and I just can't support them. So I'm rooting for Deeds who has the bonus of being the most electable in a GE, at least IMO.

But I'd be shocked if McAuliffe doesn't win.

VA-Gov: Deeds Surges in New Survey USA Poll | 8 comments

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