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KY-Sen: Grayson Forms Exploratory Committee, Bunning Retirement Rumored

by: James L.

Thu Apr 30, 2009 at 4:35 PM EDT


Kentucky Secretary of State Trey Grayson has formed an exploratory committee to run for Jim Bunning's Senate seat, according to the Politico. Grayson insists that he has no intention of challenging Bunning in a primary:

In a statement, Grayson said he doesn't plan on running against Bunning, and is merely making preparations to run in case Bunning does not run for a third term.

"I have formed an exploratory committee to allow me to formally raise and spend funds as I seek support for a bid for U.S. Senate," Grayson said in a statement.

Grayson's camp is saying that the decision to form an exploratory was done at Bunning's suggestion -- indicating that Bunning is leaning heavily toward retirement:

"Trey did this with Bunning's blessing," said van Lohuizen.

Earlier this week, Grayson flew to Washington to meet with Bunning and tell him of his plans to form the exploratory committee, according to a Kentucky-based GOP operative.   The operative said it's a clear sign that Bunning does not plan to run for another term.

"Jim Bunning is the one who initiated the conversations with Trey to take this step. This wasn't Trey lashing out, this is Jim Bunning reaching out to Trey and offering this idea," said the GOP operative.

In the past, Bunning has been mostly firm (in fact, very firm) on his desire to seek re-election -- with the exception of resignation rumors and some waffling last month on the certainty of his decision. But this news will give us a pretty clear window to his true intentions -- Bunning famously lashed out at any suggestion that he was considering retirement earlier in the year, and you would have to assume that he would shoot down this story if he wasn't considering abandoning the Republican tortoise.

Assuming Bunning is out and Grayson is in, this race will get a lot tougher for Team Blue, but it would still be quite winnable if the Democratic primary does not devolve into a demolition derby.

(H/T: Zeitgeist9000)

UPDATE: Roll Call's sources are confirming Bunning's blessing of Grayson, and Kentucky Republicans believe a retirement announcement could come as soon as May 9 at the state's Lincoln Day Dinner. Meanwhile, Camp Bunning is staying mum.

LATER UPDATE: Bunning's team is now refuting the retirement rumors:

But a spokesman for Mr. Bunning, Mike Reynard, refuted those rumors. "Senator Bunning has every intention of running, " he said in an e-mailed statement. [...]

[A senior Republican Congressional] aide was at a loss to explain why Mr. Bunning would then say on Thursday evening that he had every intention of running.

Is there a chance that these rumors are being planted by operatives of Mitch McConnell? It wouldn't be too surprising, given how desperately he wants Bunning out of the picture. Still no confirmation or denial from Bunning himself about the Grayson "recruitment".

James L. :: KY-Sen: Grayson Forms Exploratory Committee, Bunning Retirement Rumored
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Yeah
This leads either to the greatest Bunning blowout yet or a harder race. Grayson is very beatable.

NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO
We can still beat Grayson, but what are we going to do without Bunning suggesting that Conway is conspiring with Swedish terrorists and Saddam's sons to seat the zombie of Louis Brandeis reseated on the Supreme Court?

22, Democrat, AZ-01
Peace. Love. Gabby.


Obviously bad news
but still doable.  We came within 6% of taking out McConnell with an unlikable candidate in a presidential year.  I am confident we can beat Grayson with a top-tier candidate like Conway in an off-year.

Tougher, but we've still got the better candidates.


Yes!
Im so happy this is finally happening. I didnt think Bunning would retire.  

A cat can have kittens in an oven but that doesn't make them biscuits.

I wouldn't celebrate just yet
Not until Bunning says so directly.

[ Parent ]
Any Kentucky people here want to opine
On Grayson vs. Conway?  Figure Mongiardo gets out if Bunning gets out correct?

I find it hard to imagine why
this news would make Mongiardo, a guy who came THIS CLOSE from being a sitting Senator, want to get out of the race.

[ Parent ]
from what i have read
Mongiardo only came close in 2004 because Bunning was/is such a nutter.  Going up against a non-nutter (or at least, a lesser nutter, as the case may be with Grayson), may be enough for Mongiardo to keep his day job with the hope that in 5ish years he will get to take Beshear's place at the governor's mansion.

[ Parent ]
Beshear
Got in mainly because of corrupt Fletcher getting re-nominated.  Though he probably would have beaten Northup as well.

I'd say Beshear's chances of winning re-election in are 50/50 at best in 2011.  His approvals have hovered between the mid 40's and low 50's since being elected.


[ Parent ]
It's in 2011?
as in, a super-off year rather than just an off-year?

party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01

[ Parent ]
Bunning Running (Away)
I really want Bunning to run for another term, but I never believed that he would.  Unfortunately, it looks like he won't.

I wonder how Bunning was convinced to even consider
not running for re-election.  

The only thing I can think of
Involves a taser, a large sack of money, and a bunch of goons in sunglasses ;)

Politics and Other Random Topics

24, Male, Democrat, NM-01, Chairman of the Atheist Caucus, and Majority Leader of the "Going to Hell" caucus!


[ Parent ]
This Sux
I'm trying to think of a silver lining for Bunning dropping out, but it seems bad all round.  Not only would the Rs get a more electable candidate, but I'm gonna miss the zany things Bunning might say or do.  I was rooting for this to be 2010's NY-13.

Always did seem to be kind of like
a Barbara Cubin situation developing, as in after so many missteps and close calls, it was starting to look like there was no way we would get a chance at running against such an unpopular incumbent again.

After Bunning's bizarre 2004 campaign, I guess it really was stretching it to imagine him running again.  A guy can only handle so much.


[ Parent ]
we could always
run a real operation chaos.  

All one has to do is send some e-mails to bunning tellhim what a coward he is and then cap it off with some heartfelt appeals about how Republicans need Bunning to stay in the race.  

Check out http://electioninspection.word... for the latest news, election results, poll analysis, and predictions


Nice! Anyone here live in KY?
You could call as Bunning's constituent.
It would be interesting to hear how his office responds to these calls (tho his Senate staff can't discuss politics, he should be getting the messages)

[ Parent ]
Seriously?!
Bunning is denying the rumors now?  I would have thought at this point that he would just clam up for awhile, and then gracefull (well, as gracefull as he knows how) announce his retirement.  But to keep denying them?  That would be hilarious if McConnell is orchestrating this whole thing, telling Grayson that Bunning secretly wants him to run.

I hope Bunning wins the primary and then promptly retires, in one last F.U. to McConnell and all the others who tried to steamroll him out.


Bunning just forgot
And now he forgot what he forgot.

He'll be running every other day, and be retiring the other days.

If anyone says anything belittling about him, I think that just makes him say he is going to run again.


[ Parent ]
How long before Bunning bolts to the Constitution Party?
It's about the only way this story could become any more ridiculous.

It could get more ridiculous
He could bolt and become a Democrat

[ Parent ]
Well, in that case, it could be even more ridiculous with him becoming a Green
and then doing such things as supporting legal marijuana, endorsing Ron Paul, and asking Bob Kelleher and Alan Keyes to run against Mitch McConnell.

party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01

[ Parent ]
Bunning just doesn't care anymore
Some of the things he votes down in the Senate nowadays are just petty.  

Voting down a guy nominated to be Asst. Sec for Fish & Wildlife?  Seriously?  I didn't even know that position existed, much less needed approval from the Senate.  Bunning needs to get a life.

http://www.senate.gov/legislat...

Question: On the Nomination (Confirmation Thomas L. Strickland, of Colorado, to be Assistant Secretary for Fish and Wildlife)

YEAs 89
NAYs 2
Not Voting 8

NAYs ---2
Bunning (R-KY)
Wicker (R-MS)




Seriously?
The Senate could've saved a bunch of time by confirming him by UC but Bunning and Wicker refused? Wow.

[ Parent ]
What was Wicker's reason?


party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01

[ Parent ]
Probably thinks Strickland is too pro-wildlife
And we can't have some animal lover as the Assistant Secretary for Fish and Wildlife can we?

[ Parent ]
Ginsberg
I thought Bunning said Ginsberg was going to be the next vacancy on the court and that she had 9 months to live?  I'm starting to doubt Bunning's medical expertise.

Has it been 9 months yet?
If not, you should be questioning his telekinesis not his medical expertise.  

[ Parent ]
I do think though
that Stevens and Ginsberg will join Souter in retirement before the midterms.

[ Parent ]
New SUSA approvals for KY: They hate their Senators!
http://www.surveyusa.com/clien...

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Mitch McConnell is doing as United States Senator?

Approve 43%
Disapprove 48%
Not Sure 9%



Do you approve or disapprove of the job Jim Bunning is doing as United States Senator?

Approve 34%
Disapprove 52%
Not Sure 14%




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