Please God let it be that he's bottomed out

and will being climbing again.

I shutter to think of NJ in GOP hands.

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by: wmlawman @ Wed Apr 29, 2009 at 19:22:00 PM UTC

Doubt Corzine is getting better

More probable that folks are feeling less likely to support a Republican of any shape or form.

Here comes the extremely low turn out general election where the middle does not even vote or chooses a third party.

26, Male, Democrat, TX-26

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by: trowaman @ Wed Apr 29, 2009 at 19:38:42 PM UTC

Wherever he is, it isn't good

Time for Dick Codey to sweep in. . .  

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by: andgarden @ Wed Apr 29, 2009 at 19:58:37 PM UTC

Didn't Cristie get some negative press recently?

It could be that this could be a reflection of that more than anything else.

http://www.bluearkansasblog.com

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by: ARDem @ Wed Apr 29, 2009 at 21:34:44 PM UTC

People still don't know of Christie's horrendously unethical behavior

Once the negative ads start hitting the airwaves Christie's numbers will go nowhere but down.  In a state like New Jersey it takes more than an unpopular Democratic Governor to give the race to a Republican.  It takes an acceptable alternative, which a racist like Christie is not.  

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by: ChadInFL @ Wed Apr 29, 2009 at 21:47:04 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

Everyone keeps saying once the negative ads

start.

Where the hell are they?  It's almost May!  Doesn't Corzine think it's time to start maybe attacking his opponent?

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by: wmlawman @ Wed Apr 29, 2009 at 22:03:25 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

Nope

We're still basking in the glow from 2008 elections. The electorate is tired.

Mid June is when most campaigns start hitting hit pavement in the tone of a general election. THe reason you are seeing stuff from Virginia is those are primary ads. You don't see ads being run yet by McDonnell because he has no primary to fight through.

Give it another month and a half or two months.

26, Male, Democrat, TX-26

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by: trowaman @ Wed Apr 29, 2009 at 22:06:38 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

New Jersey is a mega expensive state

Ads typically don't run this early.  Even for a bazillionaire like Corzine.

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by: ChadInFL @ Wed Apr 29, 2009 at 22:10:15 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

Primary is June 2

In his Senate race, Corzine was all over the TV before the primary.  He spent more money to put away Jim Florio in the primary than in the general election that year.

If Christie gets to the general untarnished and with his newspaper supplied halo intact he'll be a lot harder to beat.

Is Corzine holding back due to stock market losses?  That's really the only excuse.

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by: David Kowalski @ Wed Apr 29, 2009 at 22:30:55 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

yeah, lots of ink on Corzine's wealth declining recently,

but does anyone really know how much he's actually lost?  I mean, is he down to his last few million? That could impact his advertising strategy.

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by: homerun @ Wed Apr 29, 2009 at 22:45:22 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

The idea would be to take care of Chris Christie in the

primary, a la Gray Davis.

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by: andgarden @ Thu Apr 30, 2009 at 03:28:57 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Exactly

Christie is more vulnerable before he has the Republican nomination.  This is the ideal time to form voter's ideas about Christie.  Once he has the Republican nomination, he gets an automatic level of respect and defense.

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by: David Kowalski @ Thu Apr 30, 2009 at 15:44:02 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

Care to share a link on the racist bit?

Sounds juicy.

http://www.bluearkansasblog.com

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by: ARDem @ Thu Apr 30, 2009 at 05:35:48 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Neither

He's pretty much dead in the water now.  But he's in a better position to make a comeback than Byrne in '77 and Florio in '93.

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by: Paleo @ Thu Apr 30, 2009 at 13:25:19 PM UTC