Google Ads


Site Stats

Redistricting Colorado (2nd)

by: larimercodem

Tue Apr 14, 2009 at 1:16 PM EDT


I decided to try redistricting in my home state of Colorado a while back, and after many many tries, I was able to put this together.  I know its been done, but mine is a little different.  

I used the 2007 estimates to put it together, since the 1st, 7th, 3rd, and 2nd won't have enough people as they are to remain intact anyway.  

This map is assuming democrats continue to control both houses and the governor's mansion, luckily its not likely that we lose any of the three.

My first goal was also making Markey safe, she's a great representative, especially for such a traditionally red district, so wanted to pull her district out of the swingiest territory.  Second was changing the 3rd enough so that Obama would have won it, just shoring up Salazar some and keeping it really swingy, preventing most Colorado Republicans from winning there because they have moved so far to the right.  

With the 7th and 1st I wanted to make them more compact and make the 7th just safe no matter what, and wanted to dillute the blueness of the 2nd for the benefit of the 3rd.  

And then I tried to pack as many Republicans into the 5th and 6th as possible.

larimercodem :: Redistricting Colorado (2nd)
First the new 2nd would consist of all of Boulder county, retaining its center, Gilpin county, Broomfield county, the city of Thornton in Adams county, and the northern and western parts of Jefferson county that are not in the 7th.  On the western slope it would pull in Grand, Jackson, Routt, Moffat, Rio Blanco, and Garfield counties.  All of those except for Routt are generally red, and this would take those voters out of the 3rd, but the new 2nd would still be very blue with Obama getting about 63.6% of the vote.  

The new 3rd would retain its traditional base in Pueblo and the San Luis valley, and unfortunately I could not take out Mesa county, (the best suggestion I've gotten is to just let Utah have it) so I just tried bringing in other blue areas instead.  The counties added to the 3rd are: Clear Creek, Eagle, Summit, Lake, Baca, Crowley, the rest of Otero and most of Bent county.  Some of these are the eastern plains red areas but small enough or they vote for Democrats often enough to not make much difference.  In the new 3rd, Obama would have barely beaten mcCain with just 50.3% of the vote.

The new 4th is probably the most drastic change, and goes from a narrow Obama loss to a solid Obama win.  By losing all the rural plains counties as well as eastern Weld county, there is only the increasingly blue Larimer county and the bluing southwest Weld county, including Greeley.  What is added here is all of Adams county except for Commerce City, Westminster, and Thornton.  The result is a district where Obama received 54.4% of the vote.  

The new 1st and the new 7th are interesting, I had heard of an idea back in 2000 of splitting the city and coutny of Denver, so in this map I did that (to the best of my ability).  So the new 7th would contain all parts of Jefferson county that were in the old 7th with the addition of Westminster, the west side of Denver (including downtown), and the Adams county portion of Westminster.  The new 1st would contain the east side of Denver (including DeGette's neighborhood), Commerce City, Aurora in Arapahoe coutny, Englewood, Cherry Hills Village, Glendale, and Littleton in Arapahoe county.  So the new 1st looks a little funky, but no more so than the city and county of Denver does anyway, and the new 7th is much more compact.  In the new 1st Obama received 68% of the vote and in the new 7th he received 64% of the vote.

The new 6th is much more republican and so out of our reach for the time being, but a 5-2 split was easier to protect than an attempt at a 6-1 split.  So the new 6th contains the rest of Arapahoe county, the rest of Jefferson county, and then Douglas county, Elbert county, and all the rest of the eastern plains counties, including eastern Weld county, and northeast Bent county.  In the new 6th Obama managed to get only 41.9% of the vote.

And the new 5th is almost identical to the old 5th, containing the counties of El Paso, Teller, Park, Chaffee, Fremont, and Custer.  Obama recieved 40.1% of the vote here.

So that's what I came up with, with 3 solid blue districts, one leaning blue, one swing, and 2 solid red.

Poll
What is the best possible breakdown be in Colorado after the 2010 redistricting?
6 Democrats, 1 Republican
5 Democats, 2 Republicans
4 Democrats, 3 Republicans

Results

Tags: , , , , (All Tags)
Print Friendly View Send As Email
what a coinckdink


Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

I think I can do it without splitting Denver
Here's my stab at a map:

District 1:  Since it has to grow, make it grow south into Centennial, Highlands Ranch, maybe Parker, etc.  as far as population will allow.  Lord knows it can absorb the blow.  

District 2: Take out liberal Boulder county suburbs like Niwot and Nederland (also Gunbarrel and, maybe, Louisville and Lafayette).  Exchange for some of Salazar's territory, such as Jackson and Routt counties.

District 3: Keep as is, but the western section of State Sen. District 4, including Leadville and Fairplay (probably Woodland Park, too).

District 4: Rather than try to shore up Salazar, who is young and can win in that district easily, I suggest splitting the 2nd to shore up Markey. .  As it stands, the 4th takes in only the barest northeast corner of Boulder County, including only Longmont.  Let's give it at least the eastern half, including Lafayette and Louisville (maybe even Broomfield).  If we don't mind small appendages on districts, we can even include Lyons to Boulder's north and the "People's Republic of Nederland" to its west (I once saw a road cleanup sign on behalf of Furious Howard Brown and the Mountain Wiccans" outside of Nederland).

District 5:  Shrink in size considerably.  The bulk of this district should be coterminous with downtown Colorado Springs, with Colorado College, Bijou St., and the business district as its center.  Draw it out west to encompass Old Colorado City and Manitou.  In light of the GOP's military failings and our recent surge there, also go south towards Fort Carson.  DO NOT in any way head north of Woodmen Avenue along I-25, nor to the Air Force Academy, Focus on the Family, or the Black Forest (exceedingly beautiful area, scary people).

District 6:  This is where life gets REALLY fun.  Let's draw "The Beast".  Start in the most GOP sections of Parker and meander down I-25, taking in the most GOP-heavy areas of Douglas County.  Continue into El Paso County and take in everything that isn't in the 5th (Air Force Academy, Focus on the Family, Eastern El Paso County).  Take in Elbert County, as well, if you can.  The district will look like a combination of State SD 4, 9, 10, and 12, minus the sparsely populated western chunk of the 4th.  Drop part of Arapahoe County into the 1st to dispose of Coffman.  Lamborn lives in this district.  

District 7:  This is a status quo district that, if it has to expand, just needs a few more Denver suburbs to eat.

30, male, Democratic, CO-01


lol
District 2: Take out liberal Boulder county suburbs like Niwot and Nederland (also Gunbarrel and, maybe, Louisville and Lafayette).  Exchange for some of Salazar's territory, such as Jackson and Routt counties.

There's a city called Gunbarrel, Colorado and it's a lioberal city?!?!


[ Parent ]
And Liberal, Kansas
is in rural western Kansas, some of the most Republican territory in the entire United States (we're talking areas that haven't voted Dem, other than landslide years like 1936 and 1964, since William Jennings Bryan was the face of the Democratic Party).

20 years old, male, GA-12 (home), GA-10 (school); previously lived in CA-29, CA-28, CA-23, IL-06, IL-14, GA-01.

[ Parent ]
I'd like to map this
Nathaniel,

How do you get your nifty little maps to start with?  I have Paint.  I just need something to paint on.

30, male, Democratic, CO-01


[ Parent ]
Easy
Wikipedia. I go to Wikipedia and search a county in a state, thus bringing up a county map of that state. Then I start calculating and coloring.

20 years old, male, GA-12 (home), GA-10 (school); previously lived in CA-29, CA-28, CA-23, IL-06, IL-14, GA-01.

[ Parent ]
That's what I'm doing too with California.
It is tricky though; while they have 2007 numbers for the counties and large cities, the vast majority of cities and towns I've had to go by their 2000 estimates.

My blog
Twitter
Scribd
28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)


[ Parent ]
Hand to the newbie
I made my map.  It's not population perfect, but...it's done.  How do I embed it?

30, male, Democratic, CO-01

[ Parent ]
Gunbarrel
Gunbarrel's actually a fairly moderate town near the Weld-Boulder County line.  So...ultra-liberal, no, but moderate and Democratic, yes.

30, male, Democratic, CO-01

[ Parent ]
If it can be done awesome!
I'm not sure if the 3rd would be made friendly enough for all situations (Penry running) but could help.

Making the 6th the uber repub district is a great Idea that I didn't even think of!  


[ Parent ]
Probably not all situations, no
With Penry and real GOP wind, yes, we'd probably lose that seat, but there's not much area it can take to help it (already has Pueblo), unless it's from the 2nd, and I think Markey's more immediately vulnerable.

30, male, Democratic, CO-01

[ Parent ]
Problem with taking from 2nd...
Doesn't Polis live in Broomfield?  I mean he's not my favorite and I'd like to see someone else in there, but I don't see the dems doing that to him Lol

[ Parent ]
Oh really
Thought he lived in Boulder proper. I'll check.  Might have to just skirt his house.  The map wouldn't have worked when Udall was in office because he was Eldorado Springs-based.  The district office is Westminster.  Congress.org says he does live in Boulder proper.  Now, my map would throw off Joan FitzGerald if she wanted another gig.

30, male, Democratic, CO-01

[ Parent ]

Copyright 2003-2010 Swing State Project LLC

Primary Sponsor

You're not running for second place. Is your website? See why Campaign Engine is ranked #1 in software and support among Progressive-only Internet firms. http://www.mediamezcla.com/

Menu

Make a New Account

Username:

Password:



Forget your username or password?


About the Site

SSP Resources

Blogroll

Powered by: SoapBlox