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How much better did Obama do than Kerry in Utah.

by: ccharles000

Fri Apr 10, 2009 at 3:59 AM EDT


Over all-

John McCain beat Obama 62% to 34% compare that to Bush beating Kerry by 71% to 26%. Obama did 8% better than Kerry. I think in the long run Utah will go blue as it is one of the fastest growing states with a growing number of hispanics.

The percent that Obama improved on Kerry in each county-

Box Elder County-5%

Beaver County-3%

Cache County-9%

Carbon County-4%

Daggett County-8%

Davis County-8%

Duchesne County-3%

Emery County-4%

Garfield County-7%

Grand County-6%

Iron County-5%

Juab County-2%

Kane County -8%

Millard County-3%

Morgan County-5%

Piute County-2%

Rich County-4%

Salt Lake County-11%

San Juan County-8%

Sanpete County-4%

Sevier County-5%

Summit County-11%

Tooele County-8%

Uintah County-1%

Utah County-6%

Wasatch County-9%

Washington County-4%

Wayne County-5%

Weber County-8%

If Utah keeps on this track we should see a blue Utah one day(lets hope).

ccharles000 :: How much better did Obama do than Kerry in Utah.
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Utah Will Turn Blue
By the time I'm 91, which would be somewhere around the 2070s.

You're neglecting the Mormon population.
Which is still just one step above Southern conservatives in their loyalty to the Republican Party.

And they're growing in population very fast.  Just not quite as fast as other people are moving into the state, for now at least.

Will Utah become more competitive?  I believe so.  Will it become a blue state?  I'll bet on it becoming a "pink" state (as in, not deep red), but I'll bet that Idaho and Wyoming go blue first.

Still, these are impressive gains--impressive enough that Matheson's UT-02 district has been knocked off the charts of top D-held R+ PVI districts (it's now R+13 or so, and far behind C. Edwards's, G. Taylor's, Minnick's, and Bright's districts).

party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01


Mormons
Actually Utah is becoming less Mormon. Mormons are already less than half of the population in Salt Lake City. Democrats best chance at becoming more competitive in Utah is young voters. Obamas best age group was 30-44 where he got 44% and 18-29 age group he only got 33%. Young voters are also key in Utah because Utah has the youngest population in the nation.

[ Parent ]
the children are mostly mormon
and carry their parents politics.

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]
Actually
From my experience in visiting Utah I'd say the younger Mormons are even more conservative than their parents.  It's the younger crowd that favors nutters like Chaffetz and their parents who prefer sane republicans like Huntsman, Bennett and Hatch.

But still Utah's non-Mormon population is outpacing it's Mormon growth, which is a good thing.  


[ Parent ]
indeed,
but that non-mormon growth is also filled by a lot of evangelical Christians and pro-business nuts, so its only mildly Democratic which means its overwhelmed by how unimaginable conservative the children of these mormon parents are.  

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]

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