| Well for starters I think we can safely assume that we will field candidates in all 257 of the Districts that we currently hold (does anyone really think that we won't win in CA-32 in July?).
So onto the Republican held districts:
40 GOP held Districts have confirmed Democratic Party candidates:
AL-03 (Rogers) - R+9,
AR-03 (Boozman) - R+16,
CA-03 (Lundgren) - R+6,
CA-24 (Gallegly) - R+4,
CA-26 (Dreier) - R+3,
CA-44 (Calvert) - R+6,
CA-45 (Bono Mack) - R+3,
CA-48 (Campbell) - R+6,
CA-50 (Bilbray) - R+3,
C0-06 (Coffman) - R+8,
DE-AL (Castle) - D+7,
FL-05 (Brown-Waite) - R+9,
FL-06 (Stearns) - R+10,
FL-07 (Mica) - R+7,
FL-10 (Young) - R+1,
FL-12 (Putnam OPEN) - R+6,
FL-14 (Mack) - R+11,
IL-10 (Kirk) - D+6,
IL-13 (Biggert) - R+1,
IL-18 (Schock) - R+6,
KS-04 (Tiahrt) - R+14,
KY-04 (Davis) - R+14,
KY-05 (Rogers) - R+15,
MD-06 (Bartlett) - R+13,
MN-06 (Bachmann) - R+7,
MI-11 (McCotter) - R+0,
MT-AL (Rehberg) - R+7,
NE-03 (Smith) - R+24,
NV-02 (Heller) - R+5,
NY-23 (McHugh) - R+1,
OH-02 (Schmidt) - R+13,
PA-06 (Gerlach) - D+4,
PA-16 (Pitts) - R+8,
TN-03 (Wamp OPEN) - R+13,
TN-07 (Blackburn) - R+18,
TX-26 (Burgess) - R+13,
SC-02 (Wilson) - R+9,
VA-07 (Cantor) - R+9,
WA-08 (Reichert) - D+3,
WI-01 (Ryan) - R+2,
10 GOP held Districts have Democratic Party candidates that are considering a run:
AK-AL (Young) - R+13,
CA-04 (McClintock) - R+10,
FL-16 (Rooney) - R+5,
LA-02 (Cao) - D+25,
NY-03 (King) - R+4,
OH-14 (LaTourette) - R+3,
PA-15 (Dent) - D+2,
TX-10 (McCaul) - R+10,
TX-32 (Sessions) - R+8,
WI-06 (Petri) - R+4,
4 GOP held Districts have rumoured Democratic Party candidates:
FL-13 (Buchanan) - R+6,
MN-03 (Paulsen) - R+0,
SC-01 (Brown) - R+10,
SC-03 (Barrett OPEN) - R+17,
124 GOP held Districts don't have any Democratic Party candidates:
AL-01 (Bonner) - R+14,
AL-04 (Aderholt) - R+26,
AL-06 (Bachus) - R+29,
AZ-02 (Franks) - R+13,
AZ-03 (Shadegg) - R+9,
AZ-06 (Flake) - R+15,
CA-02 (Herger) - R+11,
CA-19 (Radanovich) - R+9,
CA-21 (Nunes) - R+13,
CA-22 (McCarthy) - R+16,
CA-25 (McKeon) - R+6,
CA-40 (Royce) - R+8,
CA-41 (Lewis) - R+10,
CA-42 (Miller) - R+10,
CA-46 (Rohrabacher) - R+6,
CA-49 (Issa) - R+10,
CA-52 (Hunter) - R+9,
C0-05 (Lamborn) - R+14,
FL-01 (Miller) - R+21,
FL-04 (Crenshaw) - R+17,
FL-09 (Bilirakis) - R+6,
FL-15 (Posey) - R+6,
FL-18 (Ros-Lehtinen) - R+3,
FL-21 (Diaz-Balart) - R+5,
FL-25 (Diaz-Balart) - R+5,
GA-01 (Kingston) - R+16,
GA-03 (Westmoreland) - R+19,
GA-06 (Price) - R+19,
GA-07 (Linder) - R+16,
GA-09 (Deal OPEN) - R+28,
GA-10 (Broun) - R+15,
GA-11 (Gingrey) - R+20,
ID-02 (Simpson) - R+17,
IL-06 (Roskam) - R+0,
IL-15 (Johnson) - R+6,
IL-16 (Manzullo) - R+2,
IL-19 (Shimkus) - R+9,
IN-03 (Souder) - R+14,
IN-04 (Buyer) - R+14,
IN-05 (Burton) - R+17,
IN-06 (Pence) - R+10,
IA-04 (Latham) - R+0,
IA-05 (King) - R+9,
KS-01 (Moran OPEN) - R+23,
KS-02 (Jenkins) - R+9,
KY-01 (Whitfield) - R+15,
KY-02 (Guthrie) - R+15,
LA-01 (Scalise) - R+24,
LA-04 (Fleming) - R+11,
LA-05 (Alexander) - R+14,
LA-06 (Cassidy) - R+10,
LA-07 (Boustany) - R+14,
MI-02 (Hoekstra OPEN) - R+7,
MI-03 (Ehlers) - R+6,
MI-04 (Camp) - R+3,
MI-06 (Upton) - R+0,
MI-08 (Rogers) - R+2,
MI-10 (Miller) - R+5,
MN-02 (Kline) - R+4,
MS-03 (Harper) - R+15,
MO-02 (Akin) - R+9,
MO-06 (Graves) - R+7,
MO-07 (Blunt OPEN) - R+15,
MO-08 (Emerson) - R+17,
MO-09 (Luetkemeyer) - R+9,
NE-01 (Fortenberry) - R+11,
NE-02 (Terry) - R+6,
NJ-02 (LoBiondo) - D+1,
NJ-04 (Smith) - R+6,
NJ-05 (Garrett) - R+7,
NJ-07 (Lance) - R+3,
NJ-11 (Frelinghuysen) - R+7,
NY-26 (Lee) - R+6,
NC-03 (Jones) - R+16,
NC-05 (Foxx) - R+15,
NC-06 (Coble) - R+18,
NC-09 (Myrick) - R+11,
NC-10 (McHenry) - R+17,
OH-03 (Turner) - R+5,
OH-04 (Jordan) - R+15,
OH-05 (Latta) - R+9,
OH-07 (Austria) - R+7,
OH-08 (Boehner) - R+11,
OH-12 (Tiberi) - D+1,
OK-01 (Sullivan) - R+16,
OK-03 (Lucas) - R+24,
OK-04 (Cole) - R+18,
OK-05 (Fallin OPEN) - R+13,
OR-02 (Walden) - R+10,
PA-05 (Thompson) - R+9,
PA-09 (Shuster) - R+17,
PA-18 (Murphy) - R+6,
PA-19 (Platts) - R+12,
SC-04 (Inglis) - R+15,
TN-01 (Roe) - R+21,
TN-02 (Duncan) - R+16,
TX-01 (Gohmert) - R+21,
TX-02 (Poe) - R+13,
TX-03 (Johnson) - R+14,
TX-04 (Hall) - R+21,
TX-05 (Hensarling) - R+17,
TX-06 (Barton) - R+15,
TX-07 (Culberson) - R+13,
TX-08 (Brady) - R+25,
TX-11 (Conaway) - R+28,
TX-12 (Granger) - R+16,
TX-13 (Thornberry) - R+29,
TX-14 (Paul) - R+18,
TX-19 (Neugebaeur) - R+26,
TX-21 (Smith) - R+14,
TX-22 (Olsen) - R+13,
TX-24 (Marchant) - R+11,
TX-31 (Carter) - R+14,
UT-01 (Bishop) - R+21,
UT-03 (Chaffetz) - R+26,
VA-01 (Wittman) - R+7,
VA-04 (Forbes) - R+4,
VA-06 (Goodlatte) - R+12,
VA-10 (Wolf) - R+2,
WA-04 (Hastings) - R+13,
WA-05 (McMorris Rodgers) - R+7,
WV-02 (Capito) - R+8,
WI-05 (Sensenbrenner) - R+12,
WY-AL (Lummis) - R+20,
So we now have candidate in 297 House Districts, 10 Districts with candidates considering their options and 4 with rumoured candidates.
Whilst in numerical terms we are about where we were at this stage in 2007 we do now hold 20 more districts but we also control the White House (still love saying that).
So at this stage there is no real cause for concern vis a vis candidate recruitment but so much more remains to be done.
On the upside we already have a full slate in 15 states - Arkansas, Connecticut, Delaware, Hawaii, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Montana, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico :), North Dakota, Rhode Island, South Dakota & Vermont.
We also have only 1 district to fill in 7 states - Alaska, Colorado, Idaho, Mississippi, Oregon, West Virginia and Wyoming.
On the other hand however Texas is a problem for us as it has been for the last two cycles with 19 Districts still to fill. So too do we have far too many vancancies in California and Florida but at least in these 2 states we do already have candidates in a number of Republican districts.
Expect candidates to bob up with increasing frequency from here on in.
Any news, gossip or thoughts in the comments please. |
