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DE-Sen: Castle Would Hold Early Lead (If He Ran)

by: James L.

Tue Mar 10, 2009 at 4:25 PM EDT


Public Policy Polling (3/5-8, registered voters):

Beau Biden (D): 36
Mike Castle (R): 44
Undecided: 20
(MoE: ±3.5%)

If Mike Castle ran, he's in a position to do some serious damage... but we have no indication that the 71-year-old congressman is seriously mulling this race, other than being on the receiving end of a series of pleas from John Cornyn. While a campaign against Biden would force a grueling schedule on a guy who's run into some health issues in recent years, and would undoubtedly attract a great deal of national money, he starts off the race with solid approvals: 54-33.

PPP will release re-elect numbers for Castle against former Lt. Governor John Carney on Thursday. That should be interesting to see, but I suspect Castle will again start off in strong shape.

More discussion is already underway in conspiracy's diary.

James L. :: DE-Sen: Castle Would Hold Early Lead (If He Ran)
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Not surprised
Castle has been around Delaware for a long time, and he's fairly moderate.  I wondered in the past if he might make a run for the office.  His age would be a detriment, not to mention previous health issues.

Once Beau Biden started campaigning, I think he'd have a good shot of defeating Castle.  I can't imagine Castle really enjoys working in the minority of the House, so at this time I'd say there's a potential that he would jump into this race.

40, male, Democrat, NC-04



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