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NY-Sen-B: Kennedy Pasting King in Rasmu Poll

by: DavidNYC

Sat Jan 10, 2009 at 1:58 PM EST

Rasmussen (1/6, likely voters, no trendlines):

Caroline Kennedy (D): 51
Peter King (R): 33
Other: 9
Undecided: 7
(MoE: ±4.5%)

A rather different picture from PPP's poll earlier in the week, though it's a bit hard to compare directly since Rasmussen for whatever reason did not also ask about Cuomo. (They also failed to test DavidNYC vs. King.) I am a little mystified about Rasmu's choice to use a likely voter screen some two years before any election - how can they possibly judge that?

Anyhow, we should finally have our answer as to who the next junior senator from New York will be in a couple of weeks. Can't happen soon enough.

DavidNYC :: NY-Sen-B: Kennedy Pasting King in Rasmu Poll

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NY-Sen-B: Kennedy Pasting King in Rasmu Poll | 20 comments

Any Dem will beat any Rep statewide in New York

With that said, I would like Patterson to appoint someone who already has a record of legislative accomplishment.

26, male, Dem, NJ-12

by: duffman @ Sat Jan 10, 2009 at 20:01:08 PM UTC

by: you @ soon

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If any Dem could manage to lose statewide in NY, it would be CK

IMO based on: 1. her recent truly dismal public appearances, plus 2. a rookie candidate always makes rookie mistakes, and the NY media (much of it RW controlled) will be ready, willing and eager to pounce...

If for whatever reason Gov Paterson picks Kennedy, I hope she'll set hubris aside and be willing to undergo a lot of candidate preparation the next two years (as well as performing well in her Senate job of course)

by: homerun @ Sat Jan 10, 2009 at 22:36:36 PM UTC

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The Caroline Craze Will Soon Be Over

Some have compared her to Sarah Palin. While I find that comparison insulting, it is however truth in the context of the interviews Kennedy gave over the last few weeks. She sounded less convincing than Palin.

Consider that Palin had the support of millions of redneck voters of average intelligence and managed to get (alongside McCain) 46% of the vote last November; Kennedy has only one voter to convince, David Paterson (the highly educated Governor of New York).

by: Don't Tase Me, Bro! @ Sat Jan 10, 2009 at 20:30:51 PM UTC

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Caroline Kennedy,

soon to be Caroline Kennedy Townsend, will have a tough fight against Peter King. She may win at the end. NY is more Dem than MD.

I do not understand why we are not selecting candidates who would win these seats easily and retain them in future.

by: fai calif @ Sat Jan 10, 2009 at 21:40:35 PM UTC

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to replace the Senate seat currently held by

Hillary Rodham.

party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01

by: Glenn Magus Harvey @ Sat Jan 10, 2009 at 22:19:38 PM UTC

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NY may not be more Dem than MD

but Senate races are more Dem than Governor races

26, male, Dem, NJ-12

by: duffman @ Sat Jan 10, 2009 at 22:20:11 PM UTC

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i meant more partisan

more likely to favor a weaker candidate in the dominant political party

26, male, Dem, NJ-12

by: duffman @ Sat Jan 10, 2009 at 22:21:06 PM UTC

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Like who?

Any Democrat will have a tough fight against Peter King.

Liberty Avenue Politics - a place for politics in Southern Queens

by: nrafter530 @ Sun Jan 11, 2009 at 07:20:57 AM UTC

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Hahahahahahaha

Oh wait, you're serious...

by: Kanamit @ Sun Jan 11, 2009 at 09:28:30 AM UTC

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Is he?

Sounded like a snark to me. king is a joke statewide.

by: ChadInFL @ Sun Jan 11, 2009 at 20:29:26 PM UTC

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I have been known to have a broken sarcasm detector before

by: Kanamit @ Sun Jan 11, 2009 at 20:33:12 PM UTC

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Caroline Kennedy Townsend?

What are you talking about?

by: Caspar @ Sun Jan 11, 2009 at 19:36:53 PM UTC

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Sorta snark

Kathleen Kennedy Townsend lost the Maryland Governors race in 2002 after running a terrible campaign. Similar situation to a point but New York is more Democratic than Maryland and a federal race is much more likely to fit state partisan leanings.

by: conspiracy @ Sun Jan 11, 2009 at 19:48:50 PM UTC

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Hey

Maryland hasn't elected a Republican Senator since 1980. That's not something New York can claim.

by: Johnny Longtorso @ Sun Jan 11, 2009 at 20:03:57 PM UTC

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Nothing wrong with Maryland

Nothing wrong with New York in 2009 either. Which is why they won't elect a Republican next year whoever each party nominates.

by: conspiracy @ Sun Jan 11, 2009 at 23:24:43 PM UTC

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Well

New York hasn't elected a non-incumbent Republican Senator since 1980.

Liberty Avenue Politics - a place for politics in Southern Queens

by: nrafter530 @ Mon Jan 12, 2009 at 02:53:10 AM UTC

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This Peter King fetish is getting ridiculous

Reminds me alot of people like Brad Carson, Inez Tennenbaum, Michael Steele, Tom Kean, Ronnie Musgrove - seemingly attractive candidates who still got blown away by average opponents in states favoring the other party.

by: conspiracy @ Sun Jan 11, 2009 at 14:14:08 PM UTC

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I agree

I don't see King breaking 45%, especially with Schumer (Former DSCC chair) running in the same year.

by: JeremiahTheMessiah @ Sun Jan 11, 2009 at 15:06:32 PM UTC

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Who's "Other"?

by: SC @ Sun Jan 11, 2009 at 14:53:28 PM UTC

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They just asked, "Other"

They don't have a long list of potential Democrats and Republicans that they list outside of these two.

by: JeremiahTheMessiah @ Sun Jan 11, 2009 at 15:05:36 PM UTC

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NY-Sen-B: Kennedy Pasting King in Rasmu Poll | 20 comments

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NY-Sen-B: Kennedy Pasting King in Rasmu Poll

by: DavidNYC

Sat Jan 10, 2009 at 1:58 PM EST

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