33 thoughts on “Deep Thought”

  1. King seems like he could be a decent candidate: he has pretty good relationships with labor groups in his district, represents a moderate suburban county outside of NYC, and has a pretty moderate record.

    Obviously it’s your choice (that’s what’s so great about this country and particularly the internet 🙂 but language like that doesn’t seem necessary…

  2. You might not want this entry publicized in the (albeit unlikely) case that you are appointed, and face King in your next election.

  3. Here, I’ll say it: even I could beat Peter fucking King.  And I’ve spent under 60 hours in New York in my whole life.

    “shall be a resident on the day of his inauguration”, thanks everybody!

    Unfortunately, I actually could not beat Peter fucking King, since I’m not 30 yet.  Although I am older than 25, so I guess I’m forced to defeat him in NY-03.

    Boy, the Constitution sure does make life more difficult sometimes, eh?  

  4. the NRSC will waste on this one.  Hopefully as much as they dump in NJ every election.

    King is not electable statewide.  I doubt any Republican is anymore.  With their congressmen dropping like flies it doesn’t inspire confidence in their ability to win anywhere outside of the last few enclaves of GOP areas.

  5. Democrats have won three Republican House seats in NY in both 2006 and 2008.  With only three left and King’s open, it seems likely that 2010 will end the pattern in one way or another.  We win three and it is zero.  No more pattern.  We win King’s open seat and it is down to 2 .  Or one if freshman Chris Lee tumbles or McHugh retires.  End of set.

    The other pattern is the Republican losses in Northeast House seats.  They have been losing one third of their seats less one.

    In 2006, 35 Republican seats.  One third is 11.67 or 12.  Twelve less one is eleven.  They lost 11 House seats in the Northeast.

    In 2008, Republicans held 24 House seats in the Northeast.  One third is eight.  Eight less one is seven.  They lost seven seats in 2008.

    So, if the pattern continues the 17 Northeast Republicans would be whittles down to twelve by the 2010 election. That’s a loss of five seats.  So King/vacant, Gerlach, Garrett, either Lance or a retirement (Smith? LoBiondo?) in NJ and to complete the fantasy either a Castle retirement or PA-15.

    The complete pattern would be 35 … 24 … 17 … 12 … 9 … 7 … 6 … 5 … 4 … abd that would be the end number. In 2020.

  6. What do you do for a living? I’m sure you don’t spend your entire day doing stuff for SSP? I’m asking because it isn’t really that out of place to hear of bloggers running for public office.  

  7. So are we looking at a Carnahan (Robin) v. Emerson senate fight, since Bond announced he won’t be running again?  Or is Emerson too moderate to snag the GOP nod, maybe Graves?  

  8. but if the economy is still a disaster and people start blaming democrats in 2010 then our star candidzates in FL and MO are probably underdogs and we’ll need incredibly adept candidates in CO, NY, IL, DE just to hold on to those seats.

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