Google Ads


Site Stats

NM-01, NM-02: Heinrich, Teague Lead in Final ABQ Journal Polls

by: James L.

Sun Nov 02, 2008 at 5:32 PM EST


Research & Polling Inc for the Albuquerque Journal (10/28-30, likely voters, 9/29-10/2 in parens):

Martin Heinrich (D): 47 (43)
Darren White (R): 43 (41)
Undecided: 10 (16)
(MoE: ±5%)

The undecideds are breaking for Heinrich, and I'd expect that they will continue to do so on election day in this D+2.4 district. NRCC Chair Tom Cole may have promised Darren White the moon last fall, but his candidacy was a mistake.

And over in the 2nd District...

Research & Polling Inc for the Albuquerque Journal (10/28-30, likely voters):

Harry Teague (D): 45
Ed Tinsley (R): 41
Undecided: 14
(MoE: ±5%)

Lots of undecideds still on the table here, but it's pretty troubling for Republicans that Tinsley hasn't locked more of the vote down, especially with the news that Tinsley canceled his last week of broadcast television advertising. Harry Teague may just be on track for a narrow win here on Tuesday.

(Hat-tip: New Mexico FBIHOP)
James L. :: NM-01, NM-02: Heinrich, Teague Lead in Final ABQ Journal Polls
Tags: , , , (All Tags)
Print Friendly View Send As Email
NM-01, NM-02: Heinrich, Teague Lead in Final ABQ Journal Polls | 16 comments
NM seems set to join MA and ND
with an all Democratic delegation. Awesome.  
Hawaii too
has an all Democratic delegation
[ Parent ]
Indeed

[ Parent ]
And RI


16, Male, MI-01
[ Parent ]
working on it in New York
just have a few more cogs to get rid of. Mainly King and McHugh.  

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus
[ Parent ]
You know what really pisses me off?
It's the Albuquerque Journal endorsing Darren White and Ed Tinsley. And as if picking White and Tinsley isn't enough, the paper endorsed McCain for president. Yes, you heard me right......the Abq Journal endorsed John McCain.

http://www.abqjournal.com/opin...

Why you might ask? Because John McCain wanted to have town hall meetings. Sorry editors, but there's more to politics then some stupid media gimmick. Have they noticed how incompetent McCain was at the debates? Or notice that he's 72 and picked the most unqualified VP he could find? Grrrrrr.

I really don't like saying this, but I hate this newspaper. I eagerly await the day it goes out of business.

Okay, you named
By the Journal endorsed McLame, but why the hell would they endorse two stooges in White and Tinsley over two high caliber candidates in Heinrich and Teague (Heinrich espically). Nice to see the public isn't buying the paper's bullshit.
[ Parent ]
They're just status quo assholes.
Their great vision for America is to have everything remain the same. Leave it a 2-1 split in Congress (they did endorse Ben Ray Lujan) and have a Republican president. Thankfully, they did endorse Tom Udall but that's just because their favorite congresswoman Heather Wilson lost the primary.

I swear, one day when I'm a billionaire I'm going to buy the Albuquerque Journal, fire the editors and not even let them collect their belongings from their offices.

[ Parent ]
I looked at their endorsements
and showed how dumb they truly were.

Also, the Journal ALWAYS endorses Republicans in competitive races and in the Presidential race. Their fundamentalist owner definitely has something to do with that. They even endorsed Dole.

New Mexico politics from the local perspective.

[ Parent ]
Do you have a link to the AP Results
website for Michigan yet?  If so could you post it, please.

16, Male, MI-01
Eric Erickson's predictions (from Wapo)
Presidential Race (Electoral : Popular)
Obama 311 : 49%McCain 227 : 47%

Senate
55 Democrats43 Republicans2 Others
House
267 Democrats168 Republicans

Minnesota Senate
Franken 47%Coleman 51%Barkley 2%

Mississipi Senate
Musgrove 45%Wicker 55%

Tiebreakers

Who will win WA governor? By how many points?
Rossi by 2 points

Who will carry NC? By how many points?
McCain by 3 points

Wildcard

Rick Goddard (R) beats Rep. Jim Marshall (D) in Georgia's 8th district

Sorry for putting it in here.
Erickson is managing editor for red state.

You can find 13 other pundits' predictions in Wapo

pretty conservative
really actually. Insanely optimistic. Does he really think Republicans are going to some how pull through in Alaska, Oregon, and North Carolina where they are all way behind in the polls?

Plus the fact he has Barkley at 2% shows how he has utterly no idea what's he's talking about. There have been about ten polls in the last month with Barkley over 15% of the vote.  

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]
I'm glad you pointed out the Barkley thing
Sometimes, I feel like all the pundits are completely stupid.  They got entirely too much off of conventional wisdom that they forget to even look at actual polls, political climate, political culture etc.  Conventional wisdom normally says 2% for independent candidates, well not in MN obviously.

The pundits to me usually seem really out of the loop, which is weird since they get paid to be in the loop!  We all do it here for free.

This dude will just say, oh wow what a wave who could've predicted that?  Um, I think the blogosphere did months ago....

[ Parent ]
Yes, Anybody Who Thinks Barkley Will Get Only 2%...
...hasn't looked at a single poll in the last two months in MN.  My fear for Barkley has always been that he'll overperform or underperform his agreeable (for Franken) 16-19% footing and pushing would-be Barkley votes to Coleman.  But with Coleman's ninth-inning scandal occupying some headlines this weekend, perhaps those rules no longer apply
[ Parent ]
I think Barkley's Coleman voters
are actually going to end up pulling the lever for Coleman when they're in the voting booth. He'll perform at 11-12 percent, but Coleman will overperform where the polls have put him. Huh. If only we could have somehow gotten a real candidate for this seat, like McCollum, or State Senator Steve Kelley, or the new Attorney General. This race would be in the bag like OR and NC.

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus
[ Parent ]
My predictions
Presidential Race (Electoral : Popular)
Obama 348 : 52% McCain 190 : 47%

Senate
57 Democrats 41 Republicans 2 Others

House
270 Democrats 165 Republicans

Minnesota Senate
Franken 41% Coleman 39% Barkley 20%

Mississipi Senate
Musgrove 47% Wicker 53%

Tiebreakers

Who will win WA governor? By how many points?
Gregoire by 3

Who will carry NC? By how many points?
Obama by .75%

Wildcard

Debbie Cook beats Dana Roharbacher in California-46.  

Liberty Avenue Politics - a place for politics in Southern Queens

[ Parent ]
NM-01, NM-02: Heinrich, Teague Lead in Final ABQ Journal Polls | 16 comments

Copyright 2003-2010 Swing State Project LLC

Primary Sponsor

You're not running for second place. Is your website? See why Campaign Engine is ranked #1 in software and support among Progressive-only Internet firms. http://www.mediamezcla.com/

Menu

Make a New Account

Username:

Password:



Forget your username or password?

About the Site

Publisher: DavidNYC

Senior Editor: James L.

Senior Editor: Crisitunity

Contributing Editor: Jeffmd

Search the SSP archives:

Sign up to receive a daily e-mail whenever the SSP is updated:

SSP Resources

Presidential Vote by CD

SSP Document Collection

Race Tracker Wiki

Dave's Redistricting App

Blogroll

Daily Kos Elections
DemConWatch
Five Thirty Eight
Governing
Hotline On Call
Political Wire
Pollster.com
Prop*50
Public Policy Polling
The Thicket
Powered by: SoapBlox