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NC-Sen, NC-Gov: North Carolina Omnibus

by: Crisitunity

Fri Oct 31, 2008 at 5:36 PM EDT


Along the lines of our New Hampshire compendium of polls, there's so much new North Carolina material out today that we're just going to give it to you in condensed form. What are the takeaways? The governor's race is still too close to call but may be shading toward Perdue, while on the Senate side, it's time for the Republicans to start practicing saying "Senator Godless."

Research 2000 for Daily Kos:
Hagan 50 (49), Dole 45 (45)
Perdue 49 (48), McCrory 44 (43)

CNN:
Hagan 53, Dole 44

Elon:
Hagan 44 (37), Dole 37 (35)
Perdue 40 (33), McCrory 40 (37)

Civitas (R):
Hagan 45 (44), Dole 43 (41)
Perdue 45 (43), McCrory 43 (43)
Crisitunity :: NC-Sen, NC-Gov: North Carolina Omnibus
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NC-Sen, NC-Gov: North Carolina Omnibus | 9 comments
I think Perdue should win narrowly
High black turnout and Hagan and Obama's coattails should pull her accross the finish line.  
If Civitas has Hagen and Perdue up
I'm sure we'll win both.
I'm nervous about both of these
in my home state.  Perdue has not run a very good campaign.  In contrast, Hagan has run a great campaign, but Dole's horrid Godless commercials will impact the senate race. The question is whether the impact will be either:
A - Evangelical voters buy the BS and break hard for Dole, or
B - Horrified, embarrassed North Carolinians are repulsed by the ads and break for Hagan.


From what I've read
Everything I've read seems to point to B.  People range from outraged to disgusted.  Dole was always going to get most of the evangelical vote.  All this ad did was alienate swing voters and probably disgust many evangelicals who realize the ad is a complete lie.  There's a reason why every republican strategist are condemning this ad, and it's because they know it's backfiring big.
[ Parent ]
When did lies
stop evanglelicals voting Republicans?
[ Parent ]
Usually it doesn't
But the majority of evangelicals are decent people who do not like a person's faith attacked unfairly regardless of what party they belong to.  I think most can see right through Dole's disgusting attack on Kay's faith.
[ Parent ]
The add will damage
Dole more than Hagan.  Being that I'm born and breed in NC, and I've lived in both a conservative rural section (Stanly County) and the most progressive County in NC (Orange County) I've got a decent feel that many Carolinians will be shocked at Dole's assertion.  Most Christians will readily admit that they can (and do) have friends of other faiths, and they have friends that have do not believe in any supreme being.  To attack Hagan on her loose tie ins with Godless America is beyond hypocritical of a Christian.  In addition, to have a female voice announce "I do not believe in God" in an attempt to symbolize Hagan is just downright offensive.

I think this is the nail in Liddy's coffin.  

40, male, Democrat, NC-04

[ Parent ]
Speaking of nails in coffins, and it being Halloween...
One could say that the DCCC spending in IN-09 is an attempt to use more nails to make sure that lid is shut, and to prevent Dracula Sodrel from coming back from the dead running again every century two years.

Then again, Indiana is the home of Count Chris Chocola...

party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01

[ Parent ]
That could be
Sodrel is probably the only Republican who could give Hill a race and if he loses this year by five or more points, he would look like a fool to run again.  
[ Parent ]
NC-Sen, NC-Gov: North Carolina Omnibus | 9 comments

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