Survey USA for WCSC Live5 News (10/25-26, likely voters):
Linda Ketner (D): 45
Henry Brown (R): 50
(MoE: ±4.1%)
I suspect this weekend's Research 2000 poll showing Democrat Linda Ketner within 9 11 points in this very conservative district piqued a lot of people's interest, but may have gotten shrugged off as too-good-to-be-true. Well, if that didn't rouse Henry Brown from his seemingly decade-long slumber, this will: we have not just confirmation from another public pollster but an even closer result: SurveyUSA has Ketner back just 5.
The poll's writeup states that African-Americans comprised 20% of the sample. This seems plausible, as the African-American population of the district was about 21% according to 2006 census estimate. With highly motivated AA turnout, though, we could see an even closer race.
