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DCCC Releases 6th Wave of "Red to Blue"

by: James L.

Tue Oct 14, 2008 at 2:18 PM EDT


The DCCC has unveiled an unprecedented sixth wave of their Red to Blue program, adding eight new candidates to the list:

AL-03: Josh Segall
CA-50: Nick Leibham
IA-04: Becky Greenwald
LA-01: Jim Harlan
MN-06: Elwyn Tinklenberg
NJ-05: Dennis Shulman
SC-01: Linda Ketner
TX-10: Larry Joe Doherty

The committee also upgraded a number of candidates to their slate of "Emerging Races": Bill Durston (CA-03), Rob Hubler (IA-05), Bill Mitchell (FL-09), and Georgianna Oliver (OK-01).

We saw in 2006 that the later a candidate gets added to the program, the less meaningful that endorsement is. Although keep in mind that the DCCC added a fourth wave to Red to Blue on October 27, 2006 -- far too late to have any meaningful impact, and five of those candidates are serving in Congress today.

James L. :: DCCC Releases 6th Wave of "Red to Blue"
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LA-01 and CA-50?
Seriously?  They better not waste money on those.

This late
This late I doubt they will.  The Red to Blue list that they unveiled at this point in 06 came with almost no money for any of them.

Its more of a public version of a pat on the back at this point I think.  A "Good Job" certificate for campaigns.

"Keep the Faith"


[ Parent ]
It's a fundraising tool
These candidates can now go back to donors and PACs that haven't kicked in yet and say "See I'm on R2B, I can win!"  Shake loose some late money.

[ Parent ]
Oh noes! LA-01!
Nobody tell Stuart Rothenberg, he'd have a coronary.

28, gay guy, Democrat, CA-08

Hah
We all know what happened the last time that the DCCC expanded its R2B list.

[ Parent ]
And Cravins (LA-07) is Red to Blue!
Despite the fact that he's "just another black democrat."
http://rothenbergpoliticalrepo...

[ Parent ]
This is the first I've heard of OK-01


This looks to me
Like a "pat on the back" type of wave.  And there may be one race here where they nuke it with money at the last minute.  

Good
that should be the last additions. Now pretty much everyone who deserved it is on.

Segall can win
We've been running some numbers and we believe this to be a dead heat. Hopefully if this doesn't mean direct money, this will encorage donors to give again if they haven't maxed out.


I'm so happy to hear this
I hadn't heard of Segall until today. I saw his chat transcript on Firedoglake, and I'm impressed. I'm from Alabama, and I've been looking for great pro-choice candidates to support. I didn't think we had any, since he isn't listed on NARAL's website.

I wonder why they haven't endorsed him. I'll send an e-mail and see what they say.


[ Parent ]
we had a blog talk radio segment with him
check it out

Progressive Electorate  It's on the left hand side. You click on the blog talk radio and it's the third segment. He's at the beginning so you don't have to listen to the entire thing.


CA-03 more than just an "Emerging Race."
I'm glad the DCCC is finally recognizing Bill Durston as a serious candidate.

Durston can win that race against Lungren and people are starting to notice.

Two years ago, Lungren - who is completing his seventh term in Congress - beat physician and Vietnam War veteran Bill Durston by 21 points. But the economy has taken its toll, and Lungren's district has one of the highest foreclosure rates in the country. In a newly released Democratic poll, Lungren leads Durston by just 3 percentage points.

(http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1008/14552.html)

This race mirrors CA-11...

The math was undeniable - if there was any seat primed to break through, it was this one.  The demographic shifts mirrored CA-11, and Dan Lungren was arguably a less powerful incumbent than Richard Pombo, with less resources to draw from.  Durston's first race against Lungren, in 2006, yielded the exact same result as McNerney's effort in 2004 (around 60-40), and since then the registration gap has tightened significantly (it's under 3 points and by election day it'll be closer to even).

(http://calitics.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=7171)

Help get the message out to the voters of CA-03. Support Bill Durston for Congress: http://www.actblue.com/entity/...


Segall
Segall is a real threat to win. Polling shows him coming on strong

Shulman
I like seeing Shulman on the list. He's a good candidate and trading Garrett for him would be a big gain.

While the last polling on Sept. 21 had him down 13 points, it was taken before the financial crisis blew up after which we have seen substantial Democratic gains at the presidential level and many downticket races, and before either Shulman or Garrett were up on television. It wouldn't be a bad bet that this race is closer now.

I know he and his staff are working hard, and I'll be watching the returns on election day.


Josh Segall is a big threat in AL-03
The Republicans know it and I'm glad the DCCC finally put that race on their list. Recently the incumbent told the editorial board of the Anniston Star "I might be defeated" this year.  And the publisher wrote that he said it like he wouldn't mind if he was defeated.  

The voters in Alabama are mad at the status quo -- they just turned out a huge number of mayors in municipal elections across the state -- and Republicans are demoralized.  The local drive-time right wing talk show today was a pity party talking about ripping McCain stickers off their cars.

Progressive voices for Alabama at Left In Alabama



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