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LA-Sen, LA-Gov: The Latest Buzz

by: louisianagirl

Mon Mar 12, 2007 at 5:55 PM EDT


(I'm working on what seems to be shaping up to become an all-nighter of a research paper, so please use this thread to discuss the latest goings-on in Louisiana. I'm heartened to hear that Breaux's legal team believes that "citizenship" isn't much of an obstacle--and indeed, "citizen" as a legal term is a much broader requirement than "resident". - promoted by James L.)

1. John Breaux Is A Citizen

Highlight:

Breaux said there's no question that he meets the state Constitution's requirement of being a "citizen" of Louisiana for the past five years, even though he changed his voter registration to Maryland in 2005.

"I don't just own two lots in Crowley. It is my family home. When my mama died, I inherited half of it. My dad lives there. We pay taxes on it. My wife, Lois, owns property in Louisiana," Breaux said. "I never revoked my citizenship in Louisiana."

Lawyers have looked at the constitutional requirement and determined he meets the citizenship requirement, Breaux said.

Breaux will announce in the "very near future," or after he has a discussion with Blanco.  Foster Campell will still run, and Jindal's supporters have hijacked the comments thread attached to the article.  But this is my favorite comment:

But his citizenship is not the issue, he said.

"The issues are health care, education and rebuilding. That's what it is all about," Breaux said.

2. Mary Landrieu Is Above 50%

Highlight:

GOP Sets Sights on Landrieu

The National Republican Senatorial Committee released a poll yesterday aimed at demonstrating the vulnerability of Sen. Mary Landrieu (D-La.) in her 2008 reelection bid.

Fifty-one percent of the sample said they would vote to reelect Landrieu and 42 percent said they would consider someone new -- a sign, according to pollster Glen Bolger, that Landrieu is a "vulnerable Democratic incumbent."

Although Bolger writes that "when voters are given a choice between Landrieu and a Republican they know, they invariably choose the Republican," the poll memo includes data for only one statewide head-to-head matchup: Rep. Bobby Jindal (R-La.), who is running for governor this year, led Landrieu by 55 percent to 39 percent. No matchup between Landrieu and Rep. Richard H. Baker (La.) -- the Republicans' preferred candidate -- is mentioned in the memo.

Landrieu won her seat in 1996 by 5,788 votes and was reelected in 2002 with 52 percent of the vote.

One problem to consider is the NRSC's decision to poll Landrieu against Jindal, especially as Breaux is still considering a gubernatorial bid.  Another is the inherent bias of this Republican poll: Is Landrieu more popular than the results claim?  And would Jindal really have a chance if Breaux defeats him in 2007?  And lastly, is Landrieu as vulnerable as the RSCC claims when over 50% of Louisianans want her reelected?

Race Tracker: LA-Sen

louisianagirl :: LA-Sen, LA-Gov: The Latest Buzz
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I'll stop short of saying it's a lock
but Breaux running at the top of the ticket would really, really solidify Landrieu's chances, especially in light of the recent poll.

Breaux will run in an
Oct. 2007 open primary and a Nov. 2007 runoff.  Landrieu will run under the Presidential race in Nov. 2008.

Learn more about Bobby Jindal.

[ Parent ]
Still
It would be some nice momentum for Team Blue.  And I'm sure that a Gov. Breaux would help out Landrieu on the campaign trail.

[ Parent ]
Yes, you are right.
I was quibbling over a technical point.

Learn more about Bobby Jindal.

[ Parent ]
Oops
brain-fart on my part...all the Presidential talk everywhere would have one think the election is next month.

[ Parent ]
Stand for Nothing; Fall for Anything
Thank you for paying some attention to Louisiana and this year's race for governor, but this 'John Breaux as savior' bit is too much to stomach.

This happened four years ago. The "Breaux's running" rumor was rampant. There was much panting of breath and mopping of beaded brows over the prospect, but nothing ever came of it. Breaux stayed in Washington, served out his term and then cashed in as a lobbyist.

John Breaux had the good fortune of following Edwin Edwards to Congress and not being corrupt. He developed a great tennis game during his time in the House and Senate. His record of accomplishments is embarrassingly short. With his defeat of Henson Moore for Russell Long's senate seat, Breaux became the prototypical good hair, empty suit, stand-for-nothing-fall-for-anything politician that rose to prominence in both houses of Congress in the 1990s.

Let's not forget that this reasonable man enabled the first four years of disastrous economic and foreign policy policies of the current Bush administration.

He's also co-chair of the Bush blue ribbon panel that is supposed to come up with some plan to privatize Social Security.

I don't believe John Breaux wants be governor because that would involve having to make tough choices and that would mean hard work - something he's never shown any affinity for at any point in his political career.

How about producing a list of clients Breaux represents as a lobbyist and tell me then if you think this is a Democrat worth getting excited about.

Breaux deserves a healthy dose of the blame for Blanco's (now forgotten) healthcare reform effort. She turned to Breaux for help and he stacked the "blue ribbon" panel with trailing edge corporate types who parroted gibberish about "the markets" but produced nothing in terms of recommendations that would bring meaningful change to the state and its healthcare delivery system.

This Breaux mania - particularly on blogs - demonstrates a real lack of knowledge about the man, the state and the people who live here.

Beating Bobby Jindal is not the only this election is about. It's about bringing about meaningful change in a state in desperate need of it. Breaux might appear to be a formidable candidate, but the last thing we need is another inconsequential governor.


Redistricting
One thing Breaux can be counted on to do is sign a redistricting plan passed by the Democratic state legislature that gives Democrats a chance to pick up (or at least hold onto) congressional seats in Louisiana.


[ Parent ]
I don't know what they could possibly do
to make the Louisiana districts any worse for Democrats.  The only thing I could imagine is them throwing Melancon in with another Republican incumbent.

[ Parent ]
Which is...
...reason enough for me.  While I have no illusions that Breaux is some kind of Messiah, or much of a Democrat, the game that I'm most interested in right now is redistricting.

[ Parent ]
Redistricting
Louisiana was already in danger of Louising a House seat following the 2010 Census prior to hurricanes Katrina and Rita. A recent Census estimate placed the state's population loss at 250,000 since the storms, almost guaranteeing that Louisiana will come out of the 2010 Census with only six House seats.

The Louisiana Legislature will do the redistricting for the Congressional seats. A Democratic governor won't be much good if - as the Louisiana Committee for a Republican Majority intends - Republicans gain control of the Legislature. Breaux is not a  fighter; he'll accommodate the Republican Legislature.

Oh, by the way, the Louisiana Committee for a Republican Majority (yes, with Bob Perry throwing in $100k in starter funds) was active in the District 94 special election last week.

Check this out:
http://www.electdebo...


[ Parent ]
Maybe so.
But one could argue that Breaux's presence at the top of the ballot would help the legislative candidates to a much greater extent than Blanco would.

As for the redistricting, I'm not sure I get your point, as most of us were well aware that Louisiana stands to lose a House seat in the near future.  Having a Democratic-approved redistricting plan could make the difference between eliminating the district of an incumbent Republican, or screwing Melancon over and costing us a seat in the House.


[ Parent ]
Hello, everyone.
I saw the mailings to which Mike Stagg linked.  Please advise either here on in a private email.  Am I responsible for Langhoff's loss?  Did I do something wrong?

Learn more about Bobby Jindal.

[ Parent ]
re: Redistricting
My point about redistricting was this: Breaux is an accommodationist. If, in early 2011, a Republican-controlled Louisiana Legislature sent Governor Breaux a congressional redistricting plan that put Melancon's seat in jeopardy (more than the reduction from seven to six districts already will), I don't believe it likely that this would be something Breaux would fight to prevent.

He's an accommodationist. That would have been fine for most of the history of the republic; but, in the current climate of extremism among Republicans, it is an approach that guarantees significant victories to them.


[ Parent ]

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