Two recent polls -- one by SurveyUSA in early September and another by Research 2000 in mid-September showed Baker trailing Luetkemeyer by 12 and 9 points, respectively, but that was before the shit really hit the economic fan, and also before the DCCC started hitting the airwaves with ads highlighting Luetkemeyer's support for Social Security privatization (the bad kind of "SSP"). I'd wait for a few more polls before accepting these numbers as gospel, though.
