Research 2000 for Daily Kos (9/30-10/1, likely voters):
Harry Teague (D): 47
Ed Tinsley (R): 43
(MoE: ±5%)
In the wake of the recently-released (though slightly stale) Dem internal from New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District that gave Harry Teague a five-point lead, here's a new poll from R2K that almost matches that.
The poll gives McCain a 49-42 edge over Obama, but this is by far New Mexico's most Republican-leaning district (at R+5.7), one where Kerry lost 58-42. Teague (an oilman and a County Commissioner in dark-red Lea County in New Mexico's oil patch) maintains a conservative profile, which seems apt for this district, as seen by how far he's beating the district's lean.
Swing State Project upgraded this race to Tossup yesterday.
Update (James): Also of note is Teague is just plain better liked than Tinsley: his favorables are at 46-33, a much better spread than Tinsley has (40-37).
