Public Policy Polling (9/27-28, likely voters, 9/17-19 in parens):
Kay Hagan (D): 46 (46)
Elizabeth Dole (R-inc): 38 (41)
Christopher Cole (L): 6 (6)
Undecided: 10
(MoE: ±3%)
Dole under 40%? Whoa — those are some pug-ugly numbers for any incumbent. PPP’s Tom Jensen has the key finding:
Particularly [troubling] for Dole is how well Hagan is connecting with white voters. She trails Dole just 47-38 with that group. Usually for a Republican to win statewide here they need at least a 20 point advantage with whites to offset overwhelming African American support for Democratic candidates.
And Crisitunity offers his take:
And while a lot of this movement must have to do with the turmoil in the banking and finance industries (which is a major employer in Charlotte), bear in mind that this was taken before today’s announcement of Citi’s acquisition of NC-based Wachovia, which seems likely to drive current trends even further.
You want some gravy with that? Obama has pulled ahead of McCain in North Carolina by 47-45. It really is the economy, stupid. PPP, I believe, will now be doing weekly polls of North Carolina, so there won’t be any shortage of data from this race.
by about one minute, but there’s only one major point from my defunct diary that needs to be imported over here: this poll was taken before today’s acquisition by Citi of the NC-based Wachovia, pretty much the centerpiece of North Carolina’s economy. If this is truly becoming about the stupid economy, then today’s events ought to speed these trends along even faster.
HAW HAW
2006 was good, but 2008 will be a wipe out!
in the governors race.
Leave pugs out of this! lol I want no connection between my dog and Elizabeth Dole. They deserve better. lol