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9/9 Primary Results Round-up

by: James L.

Wed Sep 10, 2008 at 2:58 AM EDT


A quick round-up of last night's congressional and gubernatorial primaries:

  • DE-Gov (D): State Treasurer Jack Markell edged Lt. Gov. John Carney by 1,700 votes for the Democratic nomination to succeed retiring Gov. Ruth Ann Minner. Markell will face Republican Bill Lee in November.
  • DE-AL (D): Children's rights activist Karen Hartley-Nagle beat Mike Miller by a 55-34 margin for the right to take on GOP Rep. Mike Castle in November. Kossack Jerry "Possum" Northington gobbled up 10% of the vote.
  • MN-Sen (D): Al Franken jogged past attorney Priscilla Lord Faris by a 65-30 margin for the Dem nomination against Norm Coleman.
  • MN-01 (R): Physician Brian Davis schooled state Sen. Dick Day by 67-33 for the right to challenge Democratic Rep. Tim Walz. I guess it just wasn't a Dick Day Afternoon.
  • NH-01 (R): Former Rep. Jeb Bradley squeaked by former state Health Commissioner John Stephen by a 51-47 margin for the GOP nod against frosh Dem Rep. Carol Shea Porter.
  • NH-02 (R): Radio personality Jennifer Horn beat state Sen. Bob Clegg by a 40-34 margin for the dubious prize of a GOP nomination in this D+2.7 district. Horn faces steep odds against Democratic Rep. Paul Hodes in November.
  • NY-10 (D): Crusty Democratic Rep. Ed Towns held back a primary challenge from former reality TV star Kevin Powell, winning with a comfortable 67-33 spread.
  • NY-13 (D & R): NYC Councilman Mike McMahon easily dispatched '06 candidate Steve Harrison by a 75-25 margin for the Dem nod for this open seat. In what has been the most pathetic offering of candidates by the Staten Island GOP in decades, unpopular ex-Assemblyman Robert Straniere bounced unpopular physician Jamhsad Wyne by 59-41.
  • NY-21 (D): Ex-Assemblyman Paul Tonko nabbed the Dem nod to replace retiring Rep. Mike McNulty in this D+8.7 district by 39-30 over former Hillary Clinton aide Tracey Brooks.
  • NY-26 (D): I believe this is called a "murder-suicide". Iraq Vet Jon Powers and perennial candidate (and billionaire nativist industrialist) Jack Davis were trounced by unheralded environmental attorney Alice Kryzan, who won the Dem nod for this open seat with 42% of the vote to Powers' 36% and Davis' 23%. Kryzan will go up against businessman Chris Lee, who is partially self-funding his campaign, in November.
James L. :: 9/9 Primary Results Round-up
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Great work
And I'm still laughing at Dick Day Afternoon. I bet you waited and hoped for that outcome for weeks, just to say that.

Haha.
Thanks, but I had only thought about it a few hours before polls closed. :)

[ Parent ]
So what's left??
How many primaries are left?  Hawaii? FL?  LA?  


Massachusetts and Hawaii (n/t)


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28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)


[ Parent ]
Massachusetts as well
Tue 16 Sep: MA
Sat 20 Sep: HI
Sat 4 Oct: LA

(From http://www.thegreenpapers.com/)

28, Unenrolled, MA-08


[ Parent ]
delete the close paren
Here's the link:

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/

28, Unenrolled, MA-08


[ Parent ]
LA runoff
This is slightly off topic, but it just occurred to me that Jindal's postponement of the runoffs in the partisan primary to coincide with the general election is a recipe for disaster.  A presidential election is understandably the busiest and it's essential to keep voters moving through the polls or long lines develop. Because there's a partisan primary, voters in LA-04 and LA-02 are now going to have to be given separate ballots depending on party affiliation.  If it's a closed primary, it will be bad enough, since it's one more thing poll workers will have to sort out, but if it's an open primary it will be complete and utter chaos:

Poll Worker: "Democrat or Republican"

Voter: "What?"

Poll Worker: "Do you want a Democratic or Republican ballot?"

Voter: "I'm just voting for President. I'm not telling you who I'm voting for."

Poll Worker: "This is for the congressional race. All presidential candidates are on all ballots, but you need to choose which congressional runoff you want to vote in."

Voter: "But I'm an Independent"

Poll Worker: "You still need to choose a ballot"

Voter: "Well, okay, Republican, I guess"

Repeated dozens, if not hundreds, of times throughout the day, while lines stretch on for hours...


28, Unenrolled, MA-08


[ Parent ]
Florida was several weeks ago (eom)


[ Parent ]
NH-01
This is probably the best possible outcome for Shea Porter.  A closely divided vote, with the person she already beat once managing to win!  I'm always afraid that voters would say "we gave A a chance and we gave B a chance, now let's give C a chance."

Sorry, I'm not buying it
I still think Shea-Porter is a clear favorite, but I cannot see how Bradley is a weaker candidate than the guy he beat in the primary.  Bradley has much more CoH and high name recognition.  

[ Parent ]
You can't say that an entire batch of voters are thinking a certain way
What ChuckInSeattle is saying probably applies to some voters; it's just a matter of how many.

party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01

[ Parent ]
Prospects in NY-26?
Anyone have any sense of how NY-26 stands in terms of chances of flipping? My understanding is that it was around toss-up status with Powers, but that's not going to happen. And his presence on the Working Families Party line may complicate matters. Don't know enough about Kryzan to offer an opinion.

And perhaps the DCCC should reevaluate making exceptions to its general rule about not taking sides in primaries. Powers was a good candidate, but I'm not sure it was a good idea for the DCCC to get involved.

Don't get me started on Jack Davis. Argh!


once davis opened the bs cannon
on powers, i think cook switched it from tossup to leans republican.  i'm kind of on the edge of my seat to see what rothenburg and cook do now since the logic was either that a broke and damaged powers would emerge from the primary or a crazy unelectable davis would.  kyrzan never really raised much money so she's definitely behind lee, but she does come out of the primary unscathed.

i'm sure there are someo other (maybe nmore recent) examples of this but the great blueprint for a general election win by kyrzan would be russ feingold's first election when two much higher profile democrats beat each other up in the primary and feingold won both the primary and the general fairly easily.


[ Parent ]
Leans R
Cook will likely keep it there, as will I, until we have some polling data on Kryzan v. Lee.  I do have a feeling that this one may be more winnable with Kryzan that it may appear.

[ Parent ]
Politico had a
good observation that I wish I'd noticed: after all their pratfalls this cycle (Nikki Tinker, Hillary Clinton), EMILY's List racked up two more yesterday: supporting Tracey Brooks, who lost big in NY-21, and not supporting Alice Kryzan, who won in NY-26. But, as they point out, here's a shot for EMILY's List to try and make up for lost time by helping to fix some of Kryzan's empty coffers for the general.


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