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DCCC- Why not take out all 3 Central FL Reps at Once? Like this...

by: kimw

Sun Aug 31, 2008 at 1:22 PM EDT


Why doesn't the DCCC put out ads against all 3 Florida Congressmen? The Orlando market covers Districts 7, 8 and 24, so they would kill three birds with one ad.

According to the NRCC, no Republican District is safe this year. All three Florida Congressmen are corrupt, so let's kick them all out this year.
kimw :: DCCC- Why not take out all 3 Central FL Reps at Once? Like this...
www.actblue.com/page/fayeforcongress

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Should the DCCC Put Out Ads Against All 3 Congressmen
Yes. That is a great idea
No, we love corrupt Republicans, let them stay

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DCCC- Why not take out all 3 Central FL Reps at Once? Like this... | 16 comments
I can see
8 & 24, but 7 would a waste of money. I doubt the DCCC will put much money in here, if any.  This isn't on anybody's radar, and this late in the game, the only way we could win here is a major controversy involving Mica.

16, Male, MI-01
It's the exact same as the Cuban trio
The Diaz-Balarts are up for grabs, but Taddeo joined late to be financially competitive and Ros-Lehtinen is a stronger incumbent.

Saying "Lets kick them out" doesn't make them vulnerable.  

[ Parent ]
I'd say, if we have the money, go for it
If we're already advertising in that market (be it either S.FL or C.FL), and if we have the extra money to help out, then I'd say go for it!  Why not?

It would especially help build Democratic support in D-depressed Florida, especially with places that have thin benches.  I don't know whether FL-18 or FL-07 count as such, but it would still be nice anyway for our challengers to get DCCC attention as well.  I think it's a win-win as long as we have the money.

party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01

[ Parent ]
We do have the money,
but it's not like we have a surplus of money and nowhere to spend it.  I would rather spend more on a challenger and put him/her over the top than waste it on a doomed candidate.

16, Male, MI-01
[ Parent ]
Who do you suggest?


party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01
[ Parent ]
We'll, that's Van Hollen's decision
but Peters, Burner, Schauer, Massa, and Himes are all in tought races.  Kissell could use some money, considering how poor a fundraiser he is.  Same for David Boswell.  I just don't think we should be wasting money in districts we know we won't win.

16, Male, MI-01
[ Parent ]
Also, what a push poll
The options somewhat unnerve me.

party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01
It always irks me when people do that.

[ Parent ]
Well
The problem is that there are better places to put that money. If Faye wants to get noticed she needs to raise the money. It wouldn't be fair to all the other candidates who have either shown they can win or have raised more money.
About a 100 seat pickup
That's about what we would need for a seat like FL-07 to flip considering we have an unknown candidate raising almost no money.  
Heh, i actually counted the number of races
on my list.  There were some 86 races, and 36 of them were D held.  So if everything flipped, then that would be about a 50-seat gain for us.

party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01
[ Parent ]
Cook has 65 Republican seats
atleast somewhat competitive, so we'd have to win all of those plus another 35

16, Male, MI-01
[ Parent ]
I realize that
About 60-75 seats seems to be the consensus on how many republican seats are in danger.  I was just making a point that FL-07 is nowhere even close to making the list of vulnerable seats.
[ Parent ]
I know,
I wasn't trying to discredit your point.  Glenn Magus Harvey just said that he had 86 seats on his list, and I was saying Cook has 65 R seats.  Nothing to do with FL-7, really. :^)

16, Male, MI-01
[ Parent ]
Well
I have some pretty damn uncompetitive races on my list, actually, including FL-07, LA-01, and OK-01, but also CT-02, IN-whichever we won by a landslide in 2006, and various other first-term Democratic incumbents.

So I just took an all-flip scenario as a mildly useful first-order estimate.

party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01

[ Parent ]
Also...
I believe Cook only had around 30 republican seats listed as tossup or better for us at this point in 2006.  By the end of the cycle the number was at 43.  He already lists 24 seats listed as such right now, with the number almost certain to balloon.  
[ Parent ]
DCCC- Why not take out all 3 Central FL Reps at Once? Like this... | 16 comments

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