Doubtful she actually wins by this much

But excellent news if true.

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by: conspiracy @ Tue Aug 19, 2008 at 19:51:01 PM UTC

That's almost guaranteed

The new demographics in LA make is pretty much a guarantee that her ceiling is around 55%.  I'm pleasently surprised with how this race is going.  Landrieu has run a solid campaign.  I really thought this one was a 50/50 hold at best for us one year ago.  Now it's looking very good.  I imagine the more republicans in LA know about Kennedy the less they like him.  

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by: ChadInFL @ Tue Aug 19, 2008 at 22:25:23 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

oh she finally did it!

She pulled the smoking gun out; what Kennedy said in his 2004 senate race as a Democrat. She destroyed all credibility he had. She showed the very clear way Kennedy reversed all his opinions in four years in order to run as a Republican when he actually ran to the left of the main Democratic candidate Chris John. She also went on the record defending many of Kennedy's ridiculous attacks against her and aired up ads criticizing him for ethical problems he's had in the campaign. It appears to be having an effect; this is the most Landrieu's had throughout the entire campaign. Hopefully she can maintain this mo up until the election. I still maintain there are 45% of Louisianans who will just not vote for her for any reason, partially because she has always been marginally pro-choice.    

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

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by: ArkDem the Ragin Cajin @ Tue Aug 19, 2008 at 19:57:46 PM UTC

my grandmother, who's normally a big republican

says she'll probably vote for Landrieu. For no other inclination than that she's the incumbent and has worked through Katrina.  

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

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by: ArkDem the Ragin Cajin @ Tue Aug 19, 2008 at 19:58:36 PM UTC

Remind her to go convince her fellow Republicans!

If she's inclined to do so.

party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01

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by: Glenn Magus Harvey @ Tue Aug 19, 2008 at 21:17:17 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

I have a few friends in LA

They tell me pretty much the same thing.  They are voting for Landrieu because they know and trust her.  They tell me that many republicans they know are also voting for Landrieu because they don't really trust Kennedy being that he switched parties only recently and flip-flops on a lot of issues.  Landrieu appears to be shoring up a reasonable base of republican support.

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by: ChadInFL @ Tue Aug 19, 2008 at 22:28:49 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

Thanks again Karl Rove

Kennedy was the only supposed top-tier republican their side got to challenge a Democratic Senator this year.  Karl Rove was instrumental in getting him to switch parties and run.  Good to see their 2008 Senate recruiting is now looking like a complete disaster in their only winnable race.

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by: ChadInFL @ Tue Aug 19, 2008 at 22:32:14 PM UTC

Another new Ras poll - FL-Pres - McCain by 2

http://www.rasmussenreports.co...

McCain (R) 48% (46 w/o leaners)
Obama (D) 46% (43 w/o leaners

That's a slight bump for McCain, likely due to McCain's ad blitz in the state.  I've seen a lot more McCain ads than Obama ads lately in Central FL.  

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by: ChadInFL @ Tue Aug 19, 2008 at 22:49:42 PM UTC

Ditt on the Central FL ads

The majority of the ones on the boobtube have been McCain ads, so I don't doubt that they are having some impact on the race.

I seriously am baffled as to how anyone is undecided in this decision however.  

KELL

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by: ryanlkelly @ Wed Aug 20, 2008 at 01:20:36 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

LA-Pres - McCain by 18

http://www.rasmussenreports.co...

With Leaners
McCain (R) 57%
Obama (D) 39%

Almost the same as last poll.  This is encouraging for Landrieu since her pollnumbers are seeing a big uptick despite Obama's stagnant numbers in the state.

 

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by: ChadInFL @ Tue Aug 19, 2008 at 22:52:06 PM UTC

Rasmussen Poll.

Landrieu: 53%
Kennedy:  37%

With leaners, it is 55%-39%.

Waffle House celebrated its 50th anniversary and my steak celebrated its 25th-Larry the Cable Guy

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by: SE-779 @ Wed Aug 20, 2008 at 14:01:09 PM UTC