Same margin as Ras

The last Rasmussen poll also gave Wicker a 1% margin.  Guess it really is a dead heat.

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by: ChadInFL @ Thu Jul 24, 2008 at 20:56:02 PM UTC

Thsi race is all about turnout

If Afrcian-American turnout is 37% and Musgrove gets 90% of their vote and 25% of the white vote he'll be at 49%. So he either has to marginally improve his total among white voters or hope African-American turnout goes up 2-3 percent.

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by: safi @ Thu Jul 24, 2008 at 21:22:06 PM UTC

Great undecided figures in Mississippi

I love it that our team is behind by only 51% McCain to 42% for Obama -- with a huge 7% undecided. I mean, what's to decide? Obama is black. He's BLACK. The Democratic candidate for President is BLACK!

It wasn't so long ago that any election race in Mississippi involving a black candidate would have yielded an undecided share in the polls of 0 -- that is, zero per cent undecided. So it is real progress, seriously, that so many voters in Mississippi are trying to decide if they are ready to cast their ballot for a black man for President. If their minds were closed to the possibility, they would be counted for McCain already. That the voters of Mississippi are undecided at this point means we actually have a chance to win their votes in November.

I know this isn't a site focused on the Presidential race. But Ronnie Musgrove more than any other Senate candidate will succeed or fail depending on how many white voters decide that the particular black man at the top of the Democratic ticket is O.K.

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by: WoodyNYC @ Fri Jul 25, 2008 at 01:06:50 AM UTC

thanks

for pointing that out.  What a great fact to know.

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by: Andrew @ Fri Jul 25, 2008 at 01:50:31 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

It actually is a good point

As little as 20 years ago the thought of a black candidate for President even getting 40% of the vote in MS was a pipedream, much less winning.

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by: ChadInFL @ Fri Jul 25, 2008 at 02:19:34 AM UTC

[ Parent ]