Candidate filing is sailing along with 5 states now having completed candidate filings. And other than a truly woeful performance by the Texas Democratic Party we are humming along.
Below the fold for details and once again go and take a look at the 2008 Race Tracker Wiki.
***I have included Cook PVI numbers where possible after blogger requests to do so!***
Lots of House races now have Democratic candidates that have bobbed up in the last month or so:
CA-46 – R+6,
KS-01 – R+20,
LA-06 – R+7,
MS-01 – R+10,
MS-03 – R+14,
MO-07 – R+14,
OH-03 – R+3,
OH-04 – R+14,
OH-08 – R+12,
TX-06 – R+15,
TX-12 – R+14,
TX-19 – R+25,
TX-24 – R+15,
But two races now no longer have a confirmed Democratic candidate:
IL-18 – R+5.5, (Our candidate withdrew for health reasons but can be replaced by a vote of the county dem chairs afer the primary.)
WI-05 – R+12 (Our candidate withdrew for professional and personal reasons.)
So 370 races filled! This of course includes 233 districts held by Democratic Congresscritters.
But we also have 137 GOP held districts with confirmed Democratic opponents.
So here is where we are at (GOP Districts):
Districts with confirmed candidates – 137
Districts with unconfirmed candidates – 2
Districts with rumoured candidates – 22
Districts without any candidates – 35
Filing closed – No Democratic candidate – 6
The GOP held districts with confirmed Democratic challengers are as follows:
AL-01 – R+12,
AL-03 – R+4,
AL-04 – R+16,
AK-AL – R+14,
AZ-01 – R+2,
AZ-02 – R+9,
AZ-03 – R+6,
AZ-06 – R+12,
AR-03 – R+11,
CA-03 – R+7,
CA-04 – R+11,
CA-21 – R+13,
CA-24 – R+5,
CA-26 – R+4,
CA-40 – R+8,
CA-41 – R+9,
CA-42 – R+10,
CA-44 – R+6,
CA-45 – R+3,
CA-46 – R+6,
CA-48 – R+8,
CA-49 – R+10,
CA-50 – R+5,
CA-52 – R+9,
CO-04 – R+9,
CO-06 – R+10,
CT-04 – D+5,
DE-AL – D+7,
FL-01 – R+19,
FL-05 – R+5,
FL-07 – R+3,
FL-08 – R+3,
FL-09 – R+4,
FL-10 – D+1,
FL-12 – R+5,
FL-13 – R+4,
FL-14 – R+10,
FL-15 – R+4,
FL-24 – R+3,
GA-01 – R+?,
GA-09 – R+?,
GA-10 – R+?,
ID-01 – R+19,
IL-06 – R+2.9,
IL-10 – D+4,
IL-11 – R+1.1,
IL-13 – R+5,
IL-14 – R+5,
IL-15 – R+6,
IL-16 – R+4,
IL-19 – R+8,
IN-03 – R+16,
IN-04 – R+17,
IN-06 – R+11,
IA-04 – D+0,
IA-05 – R+8,
KS-01 – R+20,
KS-04 – R+12,
KY-04 – R+11.7,
KY-05 – R+8,
LA-01 – R+18,
LA-06 – R+7,
MD-01 – R+10,
MD-06 – R+13,
MI-02 – R+9,
MI-07 – R+2,
MI-09 – R+0,
MI-11 – R+1.2,
MN-02 – R+2.7,
MN-03 – R+0.5,
MN-06 – R+5,
MO-02 – R+9,
MO-06 – R+5,
MO-07 – R+14,
MO-09 – R+7,
MS-01 – R+10,
MS-03 – R+14,
NV-03 – D+1,
NJ-03 – D+3.3,
NJ-04 – R+0.9,
NJ-05 – R+4,
NJ-07 – R+1,
NJ-11 – R+6,
NM-01 – D+2,
NM-02 – R+6,
NY-13 – D+1,
NY-23 – R+0.2,
NY-25 – D+3,
NY-26 – R+3,
NY-29 – R+5,
NC-03 – R+15,
NC-05 – R+15,
NC-06 – R+17,
NC-08 – R+3,
NC-09 – R+12,
NC-10 – R+15,
OH-01 – R+1,
OH-02 – R+13,
OH-03 – R+3,
OH-04 – R+14,
OH-05 – R+10,
OH-07 – R+6,
OH-08 – R+12,
OH-12 – R+0.7,
OH-14 – R+2,
OH-15 – R+1,
OH-16 – R+4,
OK-05 – R+12,
PA-03 – R+2,
PA-05 – R+10,
PA-09 – R+15,
PA-15 – D+2,
PA-16 – R+11,
PA-18 – R+2,
TX-03 – R+17,
TX-04 – R+17,
TX-06 – R+15,
TX-07 – R+16,
TX-08 – R+20,
TX-10 – R+13,
TX-12 – R+14,
TX-13 – R+18,
TX-19 – R+25,
TX-24 – R+15,
TX-26 – R+12,
TX-31 – R+15,
TX-32 – R+11,
VA-05 – R+6,
VA-06 – R+11,
VA-10 – R+5,
VA-11 – R+1,
WA-04 – R+13,
WA-08 – D+2,
WV-02 – R+5,
WI-01 – R+2,
WI-06 – R+5,
WY-AL – R+19,
The following GOP held districts have a candidate that is expected to run but is yet to confirm:
KY-02 – R+12.9,
PA-06 – D+2.2,
The following GOP held districts have rumoured candidates – please note that some of these “rumours” are extremely tenuous!
AL-02 – R+13,
FL-06 – R+8,
FL-21 – R+6,
FL-25 – R+4,
GA-03 – R+?,
GA-06 – R+?,
GA-07 – R+?,
GA-11 – R+?,
IL-18 – R+5.5,
LA-04 – R+7,
MT-AL – R+11,
NE-02 – R+9,
NE-03 – R+23.6,
NV-02 – R+8.2,
NJ-02 – D+4.0,
NY-03 – D+2.1,
OK-03 – R+18,
OK-04 – R+13,
SC-01 – R+10,
SC-04 – R+15,
TN-07 – R+12,
UT-03 – R+22,
VA-02 – R+5.9,
The following districts have not a single rumoured candidate:
AL-06 – R+25,
CA-02 – R+13,
CA-19 – R+10,
CA-22 – R+16,
CA-25 – R+7,
CO-05 – R+15.7,
FL-04 – R+16,
FL-18 – R+4,
ID-02 – R+19,
IN-05 – R+20,
KY-01 – R+10,
LA-05 – R+10,
LA-07 – R+7,
MI-03 – R+9,
MI-04 – R+3,
MI-06 – R+2.3,
MI-08 – R+1.9,
MI-10 – R+4,
MO-08 – R+11,
NE-01 – R+11,
OK-01 – R+13,
OR-02 – R+11,
PA-19 – R+12,
SC-02 – R+9,
SC-03 – R+14,
TN-01 – R+14,
TN-02 – R+11,
TN-03 – R+8,
UT-01 – R+26,
VA-01 – R+9,
VA-04 – R+5,
VA-07 – R+11,
WA-05 – R+7.1,
WI-05 – R+12,
And last but not least the list I did not want to have to include.
The following Republicans will not have a Democratic opponent in 2008:
TX-01 – R+17,
TX-02 – R+12,
TX-05 – R+16,
TX-11 – R+25,
TX-14 – R+14,
TX-21 – R+13,
It is galling to say the least that the Texas Democratic Party couldn’t get their act together. We had candidates good to go in 3 of these districts and our 2006 nominee in the 1st is running as an independent. I am still stunned that the Party couldn’t find candidates in or around Dallas, Bexar, Galveston or Austin to run in their local district! It has been speculated that the Texas party is concentrating on winning back the Texas House, an interesting proposition given that a third of Texas house districts don’t have a Democrat on the ballot either!
**On a brighter note we may still be able get candidates on the ballot in Texas via write in but I will diary about that seperately.***
Finally due praise to those states where we already have a full slate of house candidates – Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, Connecticut, Delaware, Hawaii, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Massachusetts, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Vermont, West Virginia and Wyoming.
It is also interesting to note that we have only one race left to fill in Colorado, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Missouri, Nevada, Montana, New Jersey, New York, Oregon, Washington and Wisconsin. Thats 23 states with a full slate, and 12 states with one race to fill! That is more than half the states with a full or nearly full slate of candidates 10 months before election day, an impressive feat indeed!
Please note that in some races others at the racetracker site have confirmed candidates that I haven’t. This is because to satisfy me a confirmed candidate has either filed with the FEC, The Sec of State or has an active campaign website, or even if they come and blog and say yep I am running. Others are not so rigorous.
It is also great to see candidates in AZ-06, CA-42, FL-12, LA-06, MS-03, VA-06 and WI-06; 7 of 10 districts we did not contest in 2006! Of the other 3 TX-11 will again go uncontested whilst VA-04 and AL-06 do not currently have Democratic candidates.
We were on track to beat the 425 races we contested in 2006 but with the Texas debacle it now seems unlikely.
*** Tips, rumours and what not in the comments please.***
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