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Louisiana Election Results Open Thread

by: James L.

Sat Nov 17, 2007 at 7:17 PM EST


RESULTS: Louisiana SoS | NoLa.com | WWLTV

2:28AM: One thing that I forgot to mention: the state Senate seat that Dems picked up tonight (SD22), was previously held by none other than Craig Romero, the briefly-hyped recruit who lost handily to Democratic Congressman Charlie Melancon in 2006. Good.
12:35AM: Eh, if it's good enough for local media, it's good enough for me. Dems hold HD83 and retain numerical -- but probably not effectual -- control of the Louisiana House by a bare 53D-50R-2I margin (pending recounts). Dems also retain a 24-15 margin in the state Senate.
12:21AM: There seems to be some confusion over HD83. The SoS site says that all 20 precincts are in and that Democrat Billiot won by a 140 vote margin. But if you look at the precinct-by-precinct returns, one poll is reporting zero votes. What's up with this? NOLA.com and WWLTV are both calling Billiot the winner; should we be satisfied with that?
12:01AM: One note on why a bare majority may not be enough in the House: a simple majority of 53 is all that's required to elect the Speaker of the Louisiana House, but it's generally been tradition to let the Governor designate the Speaker, from my understanding. Many House Dems aren't happy with letting Jindal do this, and would like to buck the tradition with a party-line vote. However, it's not hard to imagine Jindal finding a few allies among the Democratic ranks here.
11:56PM: Democrat Robert Billiot is now up by a 51%-49% margin in HD83, with one more precinct outstanding. Should he win this, Democrats would have a bare numerical majority of 53D-50R-2I in the House (at least, that's what I and a number of folks in the comments are tallying it as).
11:40PM: Dems are holding HD103 by 4% with all precincts in. So, tallying all this up, Republicans picked up 8 seats in the D vs. R column (with a real chance of picking up the ultra-tight HD83, but likely recounts in HD14 and HD37, where the GOP candidates are winning by 9 and 26-vote margins, respectively). Democrats look like they've retained 7 of these seats for sure, and are leading by a mere two votes in another (HD83).
11:04PM: Looks like Dems have lost HD07, HD14 (by 9 votes -- expect a recount), HD23, HD24, HD37 (by 70 votes with 31 of 32 precincts reporting, so this one could change), HD51, and HD57. Dems will hold on to HD25, HD28, HD30, HD32, HD39, and are holding on by 4% in HD103 with 16 of 22 precincts in. Here's a nailbiter: HD83, where the Democrat leads by 2 votes with 18 of 20 precincts in. It also looks like Dems have picked up HD54.
10:25PM: Dems are looking good to retain SD07 (65%-35% lead so far), but are on path to a defeat in SD32. However, it looks like Dems have picked up SD22, where Democrat Troy Hebert has a 500+ vote lead with all precincts in.
10:22PM: 2,750 of 3,967 precincts in, and Caldwell is up over Royal Alexander by 66%-34%.
9:50PM: In the other Senate race I didn't mention, SD25, Democrat Gil Pinac leads by a 55%-45% margin with 36 of 92 precincts in. In the runoff, Pinac claimed 39% against two Republicans.
9:47PM: Looks like Democrat Caldwell has this locked up. With 780 of 3,967 precincts reporting, he's leading by a massive 65%-35% margin in the AG race. I suppose that combined 66% Democratic performance in October was pretty instructive, after all.
9:41PM ET: There are four Senate races worth watching (see the chart below). Democrat David Heitmeier leads Republican Paul Richard by 63%-37% in SD07 with 10 of 66 precincts in; Republicans are leading in SD22 by a 2% margin with 29 of 111 precincts in; Democrat Bryant Hammett is trailing by a wide 36%-64% margin in SD32 with 33 of 161 precincts reporting.
9:35PM ET: With 189 of 3,967 precincts reporting, Caldwell is up by 64%-36% over Royal Alexander (R). This one is looking good.
9:12PM ET: With 34 of 3,967 precincts reporting precincts reporting, Democrat Buddy Caldwell is leading the Attorney General's race by 63% to 37%. A solid start, especially since Republicans usually have the edge in early returns and absentee counts.


It's run-off day in Louisiana, where the only statewide race of note is the Attorney General's race. That was pretty much a 33D-33R-33D result in October, but I wouldn't care to guess how it ends up tonight. Polls close at 8PM Central/9PM Eastern.

Also, control of the state House of Representatives is up for grabs. 40 House seats are looking at runoffs today; many feature members of the same party. Dems go into the runoff holding 33 34 seats outright after October, Republicans 30 (not counting any Dem vs. Dem or GOP vs. GOP run-offs). Here's the full list of seats in play tonight (if I missed anything, let us know). Seats are color-coded by the party who controlled them before the October elections:

D vs. D R vs. R D vs. R D vs. I
HD20 HD15 HD07 HD55
HD34 HD68 HD14
HD44 HD69 HD23
HD48 HD70 HD24
HD50 HD71 HD25
HD58 HD73 HD28
HD67 HD74 HD30
HD72 HD76 HD32
HD91 HD77 HD37
HD95 HD78 HD39
HD98 HD79 HD51
HD92 HD54
HD57
HD83
HD94
HD103
11 12 16 1

In the state Senate, Democrats go into the run-offs holding 19 seats, while Republicans hold 12. The following seats will be decided tonight:

D vs. D R vs. R D vs. R
SD05 SD37 SD07
SD14 SD22
SD28 SD25
SD32

We'll be putting up updates as the returns come in later in the evening. The results will be available here.
James L. :: Louisiana Election Results Open Thread
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9:02 EST
The Republican is leading in the SD32 59%-41% with apparently the absentee ballots counted.

We're leading 10 votes to 2 in HD24

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.


Where are you getting these results?
Im not seeing it on the Secretary of State site. 

[ Parent ]
Click on...
..."Multi-parrish races" at the top.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
Its not showing
a single vote anywhere.

[ Parent ]
It's working for me.
n/t

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
9:10 EST
Big lead in SD25: over 50 points/over 400 votes.

Behind by 10 points/1,000 votes in SD32, 300 votes in HD07, about 350 in HD23, leading by 2 votes in HD24 and HD51, 50 votes in HD28 (close race), 49 votes in HD30, 230 vote lead in HD32, behind by only 26 votes in HD39, leading by a little less than 200 votes in HD54, losing to the independent in HD55 by about 160 votes, losing by 200 in HD57, behind by 20 in HD103.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.


These are mostly absentees
correct?  Absentees are usually heavily Republican. 

[ Parent ]
I'm assuming
I assume they are because many of the races are still saying no precincts have reported.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
Are absentees
more Republican in Louisiana?

[ Parent ]
They were in the Lt-Gov race...
...in October, as I recall.

[ Parent ]
9:30 EST
We're leading in
SD07
SD25
HD14
HD24
HD30 (close)
HD32
HD37 (close)

We're trailing in:
SD22
SD32
HD07
HD23
HD25 (close)
HD28 (close)
HD39 (close)
HD51
HD55 (note: independent vs. Democrat)
HD57
HD83 (close)
HD103 (close)

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.


BESE?
Does anyone know what that stands for?  And which candidate goes with which party?

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

it's a board that has the
same responsibilities as a State Superintendent of Education. Keith Guice is an experienced long time educator and moderate Democrat, Ruth Ulrich is a wealthy ultra-conservative reformist Republican Soccer mom, literally. Hopefully she will not win this. 

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]
Looks like we're split on the senate
Democrats actually have a chance of picking up both of those Republican senate seats. If we can do that and hold on to the 7th, then that would be golden.

Really close
we could even win all of them, but also might come out with just one.

[ Parent ]
Neil Riser is winning big,
that's nice. I really don't care much for his politics, but I don't like Bryant Hammet, and his wife was the best math teacher I ever had, and one of the nicest teachers I've ever had as well. At least he's not corrupt, he's clean as a whistle and has run partially on an anti-corruption campaign, (along with a great of other, less agreable platforms as well). But, the simple fact that Hammet's company recieved over one million dollars in state contracts while he was in the state house, and his cozy relations with big special interests while he was a high powered public official are enough for me to stamp a big no on his candidacy, not only on that stance but to send the State Democratic party a message. Besides, Hammet is almost as conservative as Riser, and, though a Blanco goto man, (she was very conservative herself), I'd like a to make a note to the State DP on that note. If the most ultra-conservative Democrat is going to get flayed by Republicans in campaign advertisment as a flaming liberal, regardless of his views, then why not run someone who is at a Centrist in the Democratic party, not these guys like Ellington, Hammett, and others who really should be Republicans, and would be in any other state but Louisiana.

Disclaimer notice: I did not vote in this race. One I am underage, two I do not live in the district. That should be an ironclad excuse.

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus


[ Parent ]
house races
Thanks, could you give us your perspective on the state house races? It doesn't seem to be looking that good right now.

[ Parent ]
just that Noble Ellington is going
to win in a conservative Democratic seat. Couldn't care too much for him, dislike him a bit. I hate John Breaux, but his attack on Breaux's qualifications to run, and signing a letter to Foti demanding he submit an opinion saying he couldn't, in blatant and direct violation of Louisiana's odd consitution and Court Precendent, (no matter how much Republicans miscontrused, and how much people misunderstood the issue, especially Democrats, and Breaux being too chicken to challenge and win the issue in the courts), forever soured me on him. He endorsed Jindall, both times, and Republicans have actually not fielded major candidates against him in his district, (which gave Bush 67% of the vote in 2004), out of respect for him, Neil Riser included. He's an ancestral Democrat, party registration doesn't mean anything in the Land of Louisiana, so he feels free to be a Democrat as do so many others who prefer the name Democrat. Half the Democrats in the Louisiana State Senate would be considered ultra-Conservative, far right Republicans in other states like New York, or Oregon, for a few examples.

But, Mr. Riser worked hard, in fact he's been working on this run since 2004, while Hammett out of arrogance, or pomposity, who knows, left the State House, and took 3 major statewide appointments in a one year peroid, then suddenly jumped back in the race out of the blue at the last minute. Then he kept his position far longer than he legally could, for over two months after he started running, (you have to resign to run by LA law), and those are additional reasons why I have been frustrated by him.

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus


[ Parent ]
Ellington's in, after a
far tougher race than would have been believed against Cleve Womack. It looks like Rupublican Sam Little has picked up Rep. McDonald's seat. With all precincts in he has a 9 nine vote lead out of nearly 10,000 cast. It will be challenged, and hopefully the recount will overturn the election result. Neil Riser, with almost 85% of the Ballots in, has a 55-45 lead.

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]
Riser's wife, I meant,
all the stuff about the math teacher, I'm sorry, I realize that really isn't clear because of the wya I wrote it.

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]
9:45 PM EST
We're leading in:
SD07 (big)
SD25 (comfortable)
HD07 (pretty close)
HD14 (comfortable)
HD24 (comfortable)
HD25 (pretty close)
HD28 (pretty close)
HD30 (pretty close)
HD32 (pretty close)
HD54 (comfortable)
HD83 (fairly comfortable)

We're trailing in:
SD22 (very close although the Rep. has led the whole time)
SD32
HD23 (comfortable)
HD37 (pretty close)
HD39 (close)
HD51 (pretty close)
HD55 (comfortable)
HD57 (pretty comfortable)
HD103 (comfortable)

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.


BESE
Close race for BESE but we're leading.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

10:15 PM EST
We're leading in
Attorney General (big)
BESE (close)
SD07 (big)
SD22 (close)
HD14 (close)
HD25 (pretty close)
HD28 (pretty close)
HD30 (pretty close)
HD32 (pretty comfortable)
HD54 (big)
HD83 (pretty big)
HD103 (close)

We're trailing in
SD25 (pretty close)
SD32 (pretty comfortable)
HD07 (close)
HD23 (pretty comfortable)
HD24 (pretty close)
HD37 (close)
HD51 (pretty comfortable)
HD55 (big)
HD57 (pretty big)

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.


So Democrats keep the Senate?
It will be 2-2, assuming we hold on in the 7th. Did we have the majority going into tonight?

Yeah, Dems had the majority.
And will hold on to it.

[ Parent ]
9 votes in house district 14
We've lost by just nine votes, there will be a recount there.

Democrats have won or are leading in 8 of the 16 D/R runoffs...
which would put the House at 53 Democrats, 50 Republicans, and 1 Independent... a very slim margin. And that's assuming there are no post-election party switchers. This is Louisiana, after all.

Independent
Who will the Independent in the LA House caucus with?

We've won HD103
By 170 votes or two points.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

HD-83
looks like that one will be the decider

is this tally correct?
51D, 50R, 1I, in the House with one seat TBD--two precincts still outstanding

[ Parent ]
Not sure
I think I made a mistake somewhere; because 51 + 50 + 1 + 1 = 103 seats, not 105.

[ Parent ]
There are 2 Independents
Joel Robideaux (District 45) is an Indpendent and was unopposed in October.

It is all coming down to District 83.


[ Parent ]
We look good there
Mary Landrieu won the two outstanding precincts in HD 83 by a 2 to 1 margin in the tight 2002 race. 

[ Parent ]
Now D's up by 130 in District 83
with 1 precinct to go

[ Parent ]
It is 52D-50R-2I with District 83 left


[ Parent ]
HD-83 update
One precinct to go, margin is now 130 votes.

[ Parent ]
Right, thank you!
Thought I was missing something.

[ Parent ]
Ugh, this is not good
This basically means that we gave back all of the gains we made in legislative races two Tuesday's ago. 

[ Parent ]
six seats
Assuming HD-83 stays Dem, it's still a six seat gain for the Republicans.  I'm sure this is going to spun as "Landrieu in trouble."


[ Parent ]
How many in the Senate
did Dems lose?  Was it one or did they stay even?

[ Parent ]
Even...
...I think.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
Well
Dems lost SD31 outright in October, as well as SD01 (Boasso's district, so that wasn't really a "true" loss), but they gained SD30.

Looks like tonight was a wash.  So depending on how you'd classify Boasso's district, nothing really changed in the Senate.


[ Parent ]
Some of the R gains seemed quite implausible
Districts 23, 24, 51 and 57 voted between 64% and 71% Democratic in October.

Maybe some of the Democratic primary losers did not support the Democrat that made it into the runoff.

 


[ Parent ]
Yeah
There was no excuse for a Dem not to win those districts. 

[ Parent ]
Well, this may explain part of it
District 51:

State Rep. Carla Blanchard Dartez referred to a 75-year old civil rights worker who was volunteering on her campaign as "Buckwheat."  The NAACP then urged everyone not to vote for Dartez.

Dartez was also cited for running into a pedestrian and failing a field sobriety test.

http://www.katc.com/...

District 57:

Geri Broussard Baloney's main experience was serving on the Pontchartrain Levee Board, which provided campaign fodder for her opponent.

http://www.lobservat...



[ Parent ]
Yikes
Dartez deserved to lose big time.

[ Parent ]
HD83: Two remaining precincts
One precinct is W001, where the Democrat for Attorney General got 73 percent plus.  Good news: no obvious sign of a Republican advantage there.  The other is 157, which hasn't reported there, either. 

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

HD83: We've Won!
The final precinct is in.  We've won by 130 votes!

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

Wait
It's saying all precincts are in, but no votes are showing up for that precinct.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
Is there any chance
that the result could be overturned in the races where we lost by just 8 and 27?

[ Parent ]
I've seen legislative races...
...get flipped based on recount challenges to victories by under 10 votes.  It could happen.  But it could also go the other way, just as easily.

[ Parent ]
It's possible
There's been a lot of recounts for legislative races around the country that have been changed after recounts. I think there might have even been one in either Montana or Pennsylvania in the 2006 elections.

[ Parent ]
Which precinct are we waiting for?


[ Parent ]
157B
The listing for the Attorney General race says all precincts are in but still has no votes for this precinct, too.  It's puzzling.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
Something else
157A went for the Republican by a large margin.  I wonder if 157B is anything like it.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
Nola.com and WWLTV...
...are both calling it for Billiot.

[ Parent ]
Im holding out hope
that HD-14 and HD-37 are overturned.  That would put us at 55 seats. 

[ Parent ]
Its already in
in HD-83.  It put us over the top by 130 votes. 

[ Parent ]
Listed at 0 votes though?
Seems fishy.

[ Parent ]
Maybe not
But the SOS site says 20 out of 20 reported.

[ Parent ]
No
W001 was also missing earlier but came in.  That's the one that put us over by 130 votes.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
157B
Had no votes recorded for the October election for governor.  What the fuck is up with this?

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
We could have done a lot better here
if there was actually a Louisiana Democratic Party. 

[ Parent ]
We could've done a lot better here in Georgia...
...if there were a Democratic Party, too.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
I guess we've won HD83
That precinct (157B) has no recorded votes in previous elections either.  Perhaps they aggregate their votes with 157A and report them together, listed under 157A.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

HD83 looks like a done deal
The margin is 130 votes.  Way too big to overcome.  I am keeping an eye out for HD-37 and HD-14.  Republicans lead by 26 and 9 votes respectively there. 

[ Parent ]
Ive been doing some math here
And it looks like some of the heavily Democratic precincts in HD-14 have a suspiciously low amount of votes counted as compared to the last time we had a competitive runoff, November 2003.  For example in precinct 1 in Morehouse Parish, Kathleen Blanco got 43 votes, yet just 3 were recorded for the Democrat today.  In precinct 2, Blanco got 39 votes, yet today the Dem only got 4.  Strangely, none of this happened in heavily Republican precincts. 

[ Parent ]
Jim Tucker
There was an article in the Baton Rouge Advocate last week saying Rep. Jim Tucker (R-Terrytown) was claiming he had more than enough votes to be elected Speaker of the House. Anyone know if last night's results make that more or less likely?


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