POS has a history

of leaning overwhelmingly Republican.  Just look at some of their polling in the 2006 cycle.  Their polling was skewed up 14 points towards Republicans.  The only race they were even close to getting right was NM-01 where they had Wilson leading 48%-46% and she won 50%-50%.  One of their worst was the one in PA-07 that had Weldon leading Sestak by 52%-33%, and Sestak won 56%-44%. 

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by: Sean @ Thu Nov 15, 2007 at 21:35:31 PM UTC

So I guess "POS"...

...isn't just a clever name.

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by: James L. @ Thu Nov 15, 2007 at 21:46:24 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

Whoa there pardner ...

There's plenty of room for interpretation here, but in my experience POS is the best there is for Republican pollsters. They are a huge firm, though. There's nothing comparable in the Dem firmament. They have literally dozens and dozens of pollsters underneath their banner. Some are better than others. The office here in Colorado is very reliable and accurate.

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by: ColoDem @ Thu Nov 15, 2007 at 22:06:08 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

How about

Garin-Hart-Yang? A pretty reliable Democratic pollster in my opinion.

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by: KainIIIC @ Thu Nov 15, 2007 at 22:26:56 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

We should get at least 43%

in this election.  There would be no excuse for losing by two to one or more in this special election they we did in GA-10 or other special elections in Republican seats in the past. 

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by: Sean @ Thu Nov 15, 2007 at 23:54:00 PM UTC

It all depends on turnout

Can Weirauch make enough noise to inspire people to get to the polls?  That remains to be seen.

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by: James L. @ Thu Nov 15, 2007 at 23:55:14 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

"Lackluster Latta"

Yeah, that's Bob in a (wing)nutshell.

Dumber than a brick and twice as boring.

We needed either a Buehrer win in the primary OR for it to be too close to call and require a recount. Didn't quite happen. The CTG has moved on and the old line GOP has closed ranks. Gillmor's wife is making robocalls for Latta and Buehrer will eventually offer a feeble "endorsement.' Without Ted and Sherrod on the ballot, anything over 35% is gravy.

In 2012 there might still be a District called "OH-05" but it won't be this one.

And that's first chance for this District to be in play. (Unless, it gets used to quarantine GOP voters, which could happen.)

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by: ohio_anon @ Fri Nov 16, 2007 at 02:09:32 AM UTC

"Dumber than a brick and twice as boring"

BEST. SLAM. EVER. You have quite the wit, you know ;-).

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by: corran horn @ Fri Nov 16, 2007 at 02:33:48 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

lackluster for Democrats

While the generic number may be OK, Latta outperforms that, even after a difficult and close primary. 

The Latta name must carry a lot of weight in NW Ohio--Delbert Latta was household name for the GOP in the 70s and 80s.

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by: mikeel @ Fri Nov 16, 2007 at 03:27:04 AM UTC

Watergate

Del Latta LOVED Dick Nixon. He brought The Trickster to the annual Wood County GOP Lincoln Day Dinner as keynote speaker I would guess in 1967.

Near the finale of the House judiciary committee impeachment hearings on Nixon, a GOP committee member had a big heart attack (gosh, I wonder why?) and the GOP needed a replacement and Del Latta volunteered for the job.

After John Dean testified, after the WaPost ran the Woodward and Bernstein articles, just TWO DAYS, just FORTY EIGHT HOURS before Nixon was indicted (impeached) Del Latta offered up this gem to explain his rabid defense of Nixon:

"Show me a solid piece of evidence and I'll show you a vote for impeachment!"

His son once told me, in all seriousness, that the solution to our problems in education was that we should go back to using "McGuffy's Readers" with their quaint tales filled of bigotry and racism.

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by: ohio_anon @ Fri Nov 16, 2007 at 04:37:26 AM UTC

[ Parent ]