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SSP Daily Digest: 3/26

by: Crisitunity

Thu Mar 26, 2009 at 1:50 PM EDT


NY-20: Lots going on in the Empire State today, as we enter the home stretch. Perhaps most significantly, the GOP finally succeeded in getting Libertarian candidate Eric Sundwall kicked off the ballot, on the grounds that he didn't have enough valid petition signatures. Siena found Sundwall polling at only 1% (Benenson gave him 4%), but there have been multiple rumored internal polls floating around within the last few days that have it as a 1 or 2-point race, so Sundwall's votes (which seem likelier to migrate to Jim Tedisco's column) may make a big difference. (Siena promises a new public poll to be released tomorrow.)

Joe Biden also jumped into the special election, cutting a radio ad touting Murphy and his own sort-of-local ties (he's a Syracuse Law alum). The NRCC is continuing to work the faux-populist angle, rolling out a new ad criticizing Murphy for being on the board of an Internet company that paid bonuses to workers while losing money. (I assume that company wasn't receiving hundreds of billions on the government dole, though.)

CA-10: There's already an internal poll of the race to replace Ellen Tauscher in the East Bay suburbs, commissioned by assemblywoman Joan Buchanan. In a bit of a surprise, Buchanan leads the pack, slightly edging presumptive frontrunner state senator Mark DeSaulnier. Buchanan is at 21, DeSaulnier at 18, with two Republicans, San Ramon mayor Abram Wilson and former assemblyman Guy Houston, at 14 and 13. (It's polled that way because in a California special, like in CA-32, all candidates run in a multi-party primary, and if no one breaks 50%, the top person from each primary advances to a general, which according to this poll would be Buchanan and Wilson.) Buchanan and DeSaulnier both are waiting for Tauscher's resignation to announce; it's not clear whether either of the GOPers will get involved.

NH-01: Manchester mayor Frank Guinta looks pretty serious about taking on Carol Shea-Porter in 2010; he met a second time with the NRCC about the race. He's still likely to face a primary battle against John Stephen, who barely lost to Jeb Bradley in the 2008 primary and seems to be planning to try again.

OR-05: Buried deep in a CQ article about how the parties are turning more to self-funders is a delightful tidbit about Mike Erickson, last seen getting flattened by Kurt Schrader in the 2008 open seat battle. Despite his last campaign collapsing into a horror show of Cuban junkets and abortion hypocrisy, he's "actively considering" a third try for the seat in 2010. We could only be so lucky.

CT-05: It's been telegraphed for a number of weeks, but today it's official: Justin Bernier, former Rob Simmons aide and former director of Connecticut's Office of Military Affairs, will be running against Chris Murphy in the 5th. Murphy had little trouble defeating a state senator, David Cappiello, in 2008.

Crisitunity :: SSP Daily Digest: 3/26
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CA-10
Why shocked that the person who commissioned the poll leads in it? :)

CQ now has its own map up
of Presidential Results by CD. It seems to match what SSP found, and perhaps the competition made them release it faster.

Anyone notice any differences?  


Probably no differences
I bet they used the SSP numbers so there won't be any...

[ Parent ]
GA-Gov: Things get interesting
A Libertarian is getting in the race.  He was the first Libertarian to surpass 1,000,000 votes statewide.  However, he's also black and the head of his county's NAACP.  This could get interesting.  We could have a runoff for governor.

http://blogs.ajc.com/political...

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.


Well
"He was the first Libertarian to surpass 1,000,000 votes statewide"

That sounds really great until people realize no Democrat was on the ballot for that PSC race.


[ Parent ]
Very true
I thought about voting for him and honestly can't remember if I did, but I think I decided there was really no difference between a Libertarian and a Republican for that position.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
Erickson
The OR GOP was too weak kneed with Erickson in the last election. They need to come out swinging against him the second he jumps in the race (if he does). Im sure he wont be the only Republican running.

A cat can have kittens in an oven but that doesn't make them biscuits.

Obama cuts ad for Murphy
not quite, no on camera talking. But the DNC is up with an ad touting his endorsement. Hopefully it's a big buy, can we bring back the IE Tracker?

http://www.politico.com/blogs/...


Is it just me or is that a crappy ad
Come on DNC, you can do better...

Check out Georgia's best progressive political blog

[ Parent ]
FYI
Biden, who is also popular in upstate NY also cut an ad for Murphy.  Looks like the big guns in the party are finally smelling blood and coming out big for Murphy.

[ Parent ]
Siena has Murphy taking the lead!
47-43.

Whoa
Ya, looking better by the day for Murphy.  I'm glad the election date isn't going to be pushed back.  Murphy is probably peaking at exactly the right time.

Did they poll the libertarian Sundwall in that poll?  Because he's off the ballot.


[ Parent ]
I found the poll
Libertarian Sundwall was included in the poll, but he had 2% of support from BOTH Democratic and Republican voters.  So his net effect on this poll is basically zero.

[ Parent ]

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