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GA-Sen: County Baselines

by: James L.

Tue Dec 02, 2008 at 5:11 PM EST


Here were the results on election night last month, broken down by county. As you watch the early returns tonight, keep an eye on these numbers. If Martin is lagging behind his November results, he's likely toast -- barring some miraculously strong metro Atlanta turnout, I guess.

County Chambliss % Martin %
APPLING 4,312 65% 2,111 32%
ATKINSON 1,530 57% 1,090 40%
BACON 2,542 70% 1,024 28%
BAKER 750 46% 833 52%
BALDWIN 6,948 45% 8,244 53%
BANKS 4,268 70% 1,513 25%
BARROW 15,684 66% 6,821 29%
BARTOW 22,591 65% 10,469 30%
BEN HILL 2,868 50% 2,716 47%
BERRIEN 3,925 64% 1,994 32%
BIBB 26,422 42% 35,850 57%
BLECKLEY 3,134 64% 1,677 34%
BRANTLEY 4,221 72% 1,464 25%
BROOKS 3,239 57% 2,316 41%
BRYAN 7,957 65% 3,737 31%
BULLOCH 12,690 55% 9,514 42%
BURKE 3,864 44% 4,841 55%
BUTTS 5,165 60% 3,222 37%
CALHOUN 809 38% 1,307 61%
CAMDEN 9,689 61% 5,640 36%
CANDLER 1,851 56% 1,342 41%
CARROLL 25,221 60% 14,739 35%
CATOOSA 16,122 70% 6,163 27%
CHARLTON 2,180 66% 1,062 32%
CHATHAM 43,554 42% 56,596 55%
CHATTAHOOCHEE 614 40% 889 57%
CHATTOOGA 4,251 54% 3,408 43%
CHEROKEE 64,464 71% 21,599 24%
CLARKE 15,279 35% 26,202 61%
CLAY 478 37% 800 62%
CLAYTON 15,893 17% 76,122 81%
CLINCH 1,420 58% 963 39%
COBB 162,249 53% 129,133 42%
COFFEE 7,554 58% 5,119 39%
COLQUITT 8,389 64% 4,274 33%
COLUMBIA 36,022 69% 14,896 28%
COOK 3,249 58% 2,195 39%
COWETA 33,988 66% 15,311 30%
CRAWFORD 2,945 58% 1,957 39%
CRISP 4,010 57% 2,862 41%
DADE 3,858 65% 1,852 31%
DAWSON 7,259 75% 1,896 20%
DECATUR 5,502 57% 3,947 41%
DEKALB 65,531 21% 233,727 76%
DODGE 4,548 59% 3,026 39%
DOOLY 1,859 47% 1,990 51%
DOUGHERTY 12,534 34% 23,523 64%
DOUGLAS 24,241 46% 26,410 50%
EARLY 2,490 50% 2,418 49%
ECHOLS 731 69% 296 28%
EFFINGHAM 13,066 67% 5,634 29%
ELBERT 4,213 55% 3,227 42%
EMANUEL 4,295 57% 3,079 41%
EVANS 2,078 56% 1,507 41%
FANNIN 6,497 64% 3,097 31%
FAYETTE 35,528 62% 19,420 34%
FLOYD 19,425 60% 11,962 37%
FORSYTH 54,928 75% 14,601 20%
FRANKLIN 4,951 64% 2,431 32%
FULTON 131,438 33% 249,201 63%
GILMER 7,022 66% 3,069 29%
GLASCOCK 894 68% 384 29%
GLYNN 18,690 60% 11,553 37%
GORDON 10,892 65% 5,077 30%
GRADY 5,158 60% 3,196 37%
GREENE 4,209 56% 3,168 42%
GWINNETT 150,433 53% 121,015 43%
HABERSHAM 10,164 71% 3,532 25%
HALL 39,539 68% 15,250 26%
HANCOCK 762 19% 3,177 79%
HARALSON 7,145 66% 3,039 28%
HARRIS 9,344 66% 4,404 31%
HART 5,352 58% 3,575 39%
HEARD 2,589 64% 1,271 32%
HENRY 42,503 51% 38,438 46%
HOUSTON 30,750 57% 21,631 40%
IRWIN 2,107 57% 1,467 40%
JACKSON 15,769 71% 5,417 24%
JASPER 3,399 60% 2,093 37%
JEFF DAVIS 3,286 66% 1,555 31%
JEFFERSON 2,698 41% 3,784 57%
JENKINS 1,526 48% 1,627 51%
JOHNSON 2,015 59% 1,331 39%
JONES 6,917 58% 4,790 40%
LAMAR 4,316 58% 2,877 39%
LANIER 1,612 60% 1,004 37%
LAURENS 10,653 56% 7,936 42%
LEE 8,803 70% 3,509 28%
LIBERTY 5,108 33% 9,810 64%
LINCOLN 2,351 57% 1,655 40%
LONG 1,692 52% 1,451 44%
LOWNDES 19,852 54% 16,054 44%
LUMPKIN 7,039 65% 3,060 28%
MACON 1,598 34% 2,984 64%
MADISON 7,028 64% 3,447 32%
MARION 1,419 47% 1,509 50%
MCDUFFIE 4,838 55% 3,829 43%
MCINTOSH 2,863 48% 2,895 49%
MERIWETHER 4,296 47% 4,497 49%
MILLER 1,621 64% 853 34%
MITCHELL 3,821 49% 3,821 49%
MONROE 7,150 60% 4,376 37%
MONTGOMERY 2,047 60% 1,281 38%
MORGAN 5,469 62% 3,078 35%
MURRAY 6,636 62% 3,653 34%
MUSCOGEE 26,256 38% 41,324 60%
NEWTON 18,195 46% 20,197 51%
OCONEE 11,443 69% 4,583 28%
OGLETHORPE 3,614 58% 2,335 38%
PAULDING 35,242 64% 17,335 32%
PEACH 4,849 45% 5,679 53%
PICKENS 8,617 70% 3,086 25%
PIERCE 4,942 78% 1,294 20%
PIKE 5,816 72% 1,906 24%
POLK 7,942 59% 5,056 37%
PULASKI 2,116 56% 1,598 42%
PUTNAM 5,361 61% 3,146 36%
QUITMAN 400 40% 565 57%
RABUN 4,418 61% 2,530 35%
RANDOLPH 1,236 42% 1,675 57%
RICHMOND 24,709 34% 46,767 64%
ROCKDALE 15,491 43% 19,524 54%
SCHLEY 1,092 66% 515 31%
SCREVEN 2,863 47% 3,029 50%
SEMINOLE 2,008 54% 1,590 43%
SPALDING 13,087 55% 9,868 42%
STEPHENS 6,337 64% 3,273 33%
STEWART 687 36% 1,184 62%
SUMTER 5,430 47% 5,971 51%
TALBOT 1,095 32% 2,238 65%
TALIAFERRO 290 33% 563 65%
TATTNALL 3,867 61% 2,295 36%
TAYLOR 1,769 52% 1,589 47%
TELFAIR 1,980 47% 2,170 52%
TERRELL 1,850 44% 2,302 55%
THOMAS 9,771 57% 6,827 40%
TIFT 8,398 61% 4,973 36%
TOOMBS 5,609 61% 3,241 35%
TOWNS 3,559 65% 1,689 31%
TREUTLEN 1,500 54% 1,206 44%
TROUP 13,595 55% 10,153 41%
TURNER 1,732 52% 1,521 46%
TWIGGS 1,753 41% 2,468 57%
UNION 6,483 63% 3,292 32%
UPSON 6,536 60% 4,112 38%
WALKER 14,785 67% 6,656 30%
WALTON 24,619 71% 8,765 25%
WARE 7,677 66% 3,724 32%
WARREN 940 39% 1,407 58%
WASHINGTON 3,679 44% 4,556 55%
WAYNE 6,099 61% 3,535 35%
WEBSTER 496 47% 544 51%
WHEELER 1,184 56% 908 43%
WHITE 7,234 69% 2,676 26%
WHITFIELD 16,805 64% 8,542 32%
WILCOX 1,778 58% 1,219 40%
WILKES 2,282 49% 2,252 49%
WILKINSON 1,980 44% 2,403 54%
WORTH 4,906 61% 2,882 36%
Total 1,867,090 49.8% 1,757,419 46.8%
James L. :: GA-Sen: County Baselines
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Jeez, that's a lotta counties
Sadly, there are lots of Georgia counties for not-so-good reasons. . .

An issue to consider: are most counties going to include early vote numbers tonight?


We have the second-most counties in the U.S.
To answer your question, or at least address it, accept for mail in absentees, early voting is done on the a touchscreen machines.  I wouldn't imagine it would be that hard to process them tonight.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
Sadly, I'm going to miss the first two hours of results watching.
I have class from 5-8 Central.  sigh  Hopefully the interesting stuff comes after then.  This will be extremely useful to see where we'll land if the election is close.  

Skip it :p


Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
Lucky you
That's two less hours you'll have to be depressed.  It's going to be a long night.

[ Parent ]
Ill likely be able to tell who won right away
Just by looking at a few early counties and they matched up to the November 4th vote.  

In Georgia
the rural counties report first if I remember correctly.  Thus why Chambliss was leading by like 5 points and McCain by 7 for most of the night in November until Atlanta starting coming in and shaved a couple points off of both.

Still, this table is useful for direct county comparisons.

Also, going off of CNN's county table, it looks like the Libertarian did better in the northwest part of the state, and worst in the rural African-American counties in the middle of the state.  So we should be able to see early on if the Libertarian support is transferring over.


Right
That's the entire point of posting this chart -- so we can compare county-to-county numbers.

[ Parent ]
Its over
Chambliss will win this fairly handily.  Columbia county looks like it has a huge turnout and Chambliss is showing a 10 point improvement there.  I have a feeling we are going to be seeing a lot of elections like this for the next few years.  Sometimes it really sucks to hold the White House, since you on the defensive all of the time.  

jesus christ
shut the hell up!  Has this guy provided one productive comment in a single thread?  I dont see him post anything except for being a concerntroll.  If this were paired with great posts in other threads, it'd be fine, but how much longer do we have to take of listening to this?

This special election has nothing to do with any other elections, NOTHING.  This is Georgia, we all knew we would be heavily disadvantaged here, and tada, we were right.  The fact we're competing in Georgia is good enough for me.


[ Parent ]
THANK YOU!


Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
Yes because it was better like it was in the 80s


Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
It was better in the 80's than the 90's
In the 1990's, a Republican Congress pretty much forced Clinton's agenda and then paved the way for George W. Bush to come in.  

[ Parent ]
You are officially full of shit.


Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
How am I full of shit?
At least in the 80's, we had something to protect us from Reagan's attempted Social Security cuts.  From 2000-2006, we had no firewall against things like that and Social Security nearly got privitized.  

[ Parent ]
SS nearly got privatized?
In what universe did Social Security nearly get privatized? Trying to touch Social Security is one of the things that nearly killed the Republican party (not to mention Bush's horrible response to Katrina, the Terry Schaivo thing, and Frist's ridiculous attempt to force right-wing judges through). What you're saying is completely ridiculous.

Your go-to source for great sarcasm

[ Parent ]
It looked very possible in early 2005
Everyone was talking about how it was going to happen in Bush's second term.  

[ Parent ]
Until everyone
quickly said hell no and Bush looked like an embarrassment, couldnt even get his first legislative goal after his re-election off the ground, hell out of the starting gate really.

[ Parent ]
No it wasn't
Bill Frist wouldn't have been able to keep his own caucus together to touch Social Security, much less win over any real support from the opposition (and believe me, the Democrats would've filibustered that and would've looked like damn heroes doing it).

What "everyone" says is not the same thing as what the reality is, and in this case it's pretty far off the mark.

Your go-to source for great sarcasm


[ Parent ]
Clinton and his cigar paved the way for Bush


[ Parent ]
Did you even vote for Obama?


Liberty Avenue Politics - a place for politics in Southern Queens

[ Parent ]

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