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IA-Sen, IA-Gov: Statewide Recruitment Thread

by: James L.

Wed Nov 19, 2008 at 7:09 PM EST


GOP Sen. Chuck Grassley, who will turn 77 in 2010, is getting a bit long in the tooth. It wouldn't be surprising to see him retire rather than seek another term. If he does, who do you like to run for his seat? Despite Iowa's bright shade of blue in recent years, I'm not sure that we'd be able to recruit anyone of note without a vacancy here.

And while were at it, are there any Republicans with a deathwish who want to take on Governor Chet Culver? 5th CD Rep. Steve King, perhaps?

James L. :: IA-Sen, IA-Gov: Statewide Recruitment Thread
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If Grassley Retires
I'd expect to see Tom Vilsack, the former governor, take a run at that potential open seat. If Grassley stays, I think he's going to be reelected by a deceit margin.

As for the governor's race, Chet Culver will be reelected.


Yep...
If Grassley retires, Vilsack would be a perfect fit for this seat! He can win statewide & we wouldn't be giving up a Congressional seat by running him.

C4O Democrats: A Place for All Democrats

[ Parent ]
It would be nice...
...if Grassley retired. 2010 is the last year we get to play offense (in that the GOP has more seats to defend; we have 24(!) in 2012 and 20 {so far} in 2014), so we should really make a big push for 60 and beyond.

Grassley has made indications he'll run again
In an open seat, I'd love to see Bruce Braley run.

I like Braley a lot
but maybe we need him in the House.

[ Parent ]
This is a link to a county pdf in MN
where they are recounting.

http://www.co.washington.mn.us...

As of now, Franken has gained 7 votes. However, the heavily Republican counties will be counted later.


I got the value 7 wrong.


[ Parent ]
Coleman's Margin is now 196
It's shrinking, but it's a slow start. This might be a long night. Is SSP planning to do a live results thread of this?

[ Parent ]
They're recounting every ballot by hand
It's going to be more than one day of recounting.

[ Parent ]
Coleman's lead is 181
It's shrinking

[ Parent ]
Folks
Let's try to keep discussions relative on-topic. You can always start a new diary if there's something new you'd like to discuss. Thanks.

[ Parent ]
Franken takes the lead!!
Franken leads by 570 due largely to a major correction in Carver county.

WHA?
  Linky please.

John McCain lets lobbyists shape his economic policy

[ Parent ]
MN Senate
They must have thought they were going to lose because FoxNews started to bash the recount many days before it even happened talking about the Democrats taking hundreds of votes.

Looks like they were "right" and Frankemn (hope, hope) wins.


[ Parent ]
Franken's Lead Didn't Last Long
Coleman is now back up by 174 votes.

[ Parent ]
False alarm
The newspaper web site noted above has now removed the Carver adjustment, putting Coleman back ahead by 196.

I'd actually like Chet Culver
or Bruce Braley to run if Grassley retires.  

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

What about Loebsack or Leach switching to our side to run?


Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
Loebsack...
Is already on our side.

C4O Democrats: A Place for All Democrats

[ Parent ]
I know. I meant just Leach switching parties.


Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
Leach wouldn't switch parties
and he's a little old. He probably wouldn't have stayed much longer in Congress anyways. He served 16 terms, from 1974-2006. He's in his early seventies I believe.  

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]
Ya, Leach is done
If he were 10 or 15 years younger I could see him switching parties and running for something as a democrat, which he more or less is anyway.  But he's at the age where he probably wouldn't run for anything.  I'm sure he'd take a job in the Obama Administration if offered though.

Interesting that Leach was first elected in an incredibly democratic year AND ousted in another democratic year.


[ Parent ]
Should Grassley retire...
In 2010, we should go all out for this Senate seat! I think Tom Vilsack's the best candidate here, as he can win statewide & he's not an incumbent House member in a competitive district.

Meanwhile, I expect Chet Culver win reelection in 2010... No drama there. ;-)

C4O Democrats: A Place for All Democrats


If Grasslet doesn't retire
I'd like to see Ed Fallon make a go of it.

The party hierarchy won't want to run anybody of their own, and it'd go some way to fixing the bridges he burnt when he ran for Boswell's seat.

Plus I've heard it suggested that Fallon's loss was mostly due to him skimping on buying the Iowa Democratic party's voter file. In a Senate race where he might expect a bit of netroots cash, he'd be able to rectify that and also show any chops he might have as an organiser.

It'd still be an uphill shot, of course, but you have to run candidates just in case and it might allow him to try for something else later on.


I've voted for Fallon twice
for governor in the 2006 primary and for Congress this year, but I don't think he's our best statewide candidate.

I would like to see someone take on Grassley. You never know if he might get fed up with being in the minority and retire. Also, he could develop a health problem.

David Yepsen has suggested Christie Vilsack could have a go if Tom Vilsack gets a cabinet appointment.


[ Parent ]
Vilsack
If Grassley does run again he'll win easily.  If he retires, which I expect, Vilsack would probably be favored over any republican.

As for the Governor's race, my guess is barring some major slippage in approvals Governor Culver will only get marginally challenged by something like a state rep or state senator with almost no chance of beating him.  


Grassley's
Unbeatable. There's no one in the state who could even give him a race. I think Vilsack, Fallon, and any of our Congressmen there could win an open-seat race easily.

[ Parent ]
Coleman-Franken gap now 181
Franken making nice gains in Ramsey and St Louis Counties. Apparently 11/18 bad machine precincts have been counted in St Louis, so hopefully those remaining 7 will help a bit. Only 15% of precincts in Ramsey have been counted, so perhaps Franken can gain some more votes there too. Then it comes down to Hennepin County (very little recounted so far) and challenged ballots, which Franken has more to gain from at the moment than Coleman.

Perfect triad:
Grassley retires and the Senate race is Vilsack vs. King.

Grassley's out of the Senate, Vilsack is safely back in Iowa where he can't get in the way of progressive ag policy, and crazy Steve King is out of the House and gets punked by Vilsack in a landslide.

This, of course, is assuming Obama doesn't appoint Vilsack Secretary of Agriculture.


in a perfect world
King would have beaten Latham in the primary, so that IO-04 is open as well ;-)

[ Parent ]
couldn't grassley
be tapped as a bipartisan sec of agriculture, or am i just smoking some bad grass(ley).  sorry, i don't do that, but had to make the pun :P

being normal is for the mediocre.


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