Premium Sponsor

Featured Sponsor

Our Sponsors

Ad Networks

Buy an ad on all of the top liberal blogs with just one click.

Site Stats

NV-03: Titus Leads By 2

by: Crisitunity

Sun Oct 26, 2008 at 7:01 PM EDT

Research 2000 for Daily Kos (10/20-22, likely voters):

Dina Titus (D): 47
Jon Porter (R-inc): 45
(MoE: ±5%)

The numbers have bounced around quite a bit in this race in this swing district in the Las Vegas suburbs, ranging from a recent Mason-Dixon poll giving a 3-point edge to Porter to a Titus internal giving her a 9-point lead. Research 2000's first poll of this race kind of splits the difference, finding Titus edging Porter by 2.

This is a district that has changed a lot in terms of registration numbers (moving from about even in '06 to a 39,000 Dem edge now) and demographics, even since 2006 when Porter narrowly beat Harry Reid staffer Tessa Hafen and Titus narrowly won the district in her unsuccessful governor's race. Also heartening are the early voting numbers: Titus is up 56-45 among early voters... and the presidential numbers, with Obama leading McCain in this D+1 district 48-44.

Crisitunity :: NV-03: Titus Leads By 2

Tags: NV-03, Polls, Dina Titus, Jon Porter, (All Tags)

Print Friendly View

Send As Email

NV-03: Titus Leads By 2 | 7 comments

Mason Dixon

the Mason Dixon polls on this race are totally crap. Why do you even give them credibility when just over 200 people were polled and the moe is from here to the sun. DKos' R2K poll is the first real independent poll of this race and is probably spot on as it is right between Titus' and Porter's internal polling.

by: Sven @ Sun Oct 26, 2008 at 18:15:52 PM CDT

by: you @ soon

To post this comment click here:

Otherwise click cancel.

Yep, the LVRJ/M-D poll...

Was pure crap! No other Nevada poll showed voters blaming Democrats more than Republicans for the financial crisis. Oh yes, and the small sample size for Titus v. Porter only proved to me more that the poll was f*cked up. So for R2K to poll the race is good... But it still shows we have work to do to seal the deal in NV-03!

C4O Democrats: A Place for All Democrats

by: atdleft @ Sun Oct 26, 2008 at 18:37:20 PM CDT

[ Parent ]

What Was Mason-Dixon's Number?

I missed that poll.

by: Mark @ Sun Oct 26, 2008 at 18:54:05 PM CDT

[ Parent ]

43-40 Porter

Linked above.

by: James L. @ Sun Oct 26, 2008 at 18:59:50 PM CDT

[ Parent ]

Well...

At least Dina's still standing! Still, the close race suggests to me that the Freedom's Crotch "Dina Taxes" attack ads may have been able to keep Porter on life support here. I hope Dina Titus & the DCCC are doing more to fight back & hit Porter on his truly scummy record. I so want to win this race next week!

C4O Democrats: A Place for All Democrats

by: atdleft @ Sun Oct 26, 2008 at 18:43:21 PM CDT

by: you @ soon

To post this comment click here:

Otherwise click cancel.

Even In My More Conservative Estimates Last Month...

....I was still predicting Titus to take out Porter. If Porter almost got whacked by second-tier challenger Tessa Hafen, I can't see him withstanding this more aggressive push from Titus.

by: Mark @ Sun Oct 26, 2008 at 18:53:11 PM CDT

by: you @ soon

To post this comment click here:

Otherwise click cancel.

If Porter somehow pulls this off,

he's going to go after Reid next cycle. If he loses, he'll probably go get a lobbying job.

by: andgarden @ Sun Oct 26, 2008 at 19:01:40 PM CDT

by: you @ soon

To post this comment click here:

Otherwise click cancel.

NV-03: Titus Leads By 2 | 7 comments