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ME-Sen, OK-Sen, KY-Sen: Collins, Inhofe, McConnell Continue to Lead

by: James L.

Fri Sep 19, 2008 at 3:19 PM EDT

Rasmussen (9/17, likely voters, 8/12 in parens):

Tom Allen (D): 42 (40)
Susan Collins (R-inc): 55 (55)
(MoE: ±4.5%)

We've all been waiting for something... anything... to happen here, but Allen has not been able to land many direct hits so far. Will the bomb ever drop?

And how are things going in Oklahoma? Rasmussen (9/11, likely voters, no trend lines):

Andrew Rice (D): 39
Jim Inhofe (R-inc): 55
(MoE: ±4.5%)

That seems about right, but I understand that there may be another poll of this race by a different outlet released soon.

And finally, Kentucky: Research 2000 for Daily Kos (9/15-17, likely voters, 7/28-30 in parens):

Bruce Lunsford (D): 37 (38)
Mitch McConnell (R-inc): 50 (49)
(MoE: ±4%)

No real movement, but Kos sees a glimmer of hope in that 16% of Democrats are undecided.

James L. :: ME-Sen, OK-Sen, KY-Sen: Collins, Inhofe, McConnell Continue to Lead

Tags: ME-Sen, OK-Sen, KY-Sen, Polls, (All Tags)

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ME-Sen, OK-Sen, KY-Sen: Collins, Inhofe, McConnell Continue to Lead | 8 comments

I'd just like to remark

On that Kentucky poll, that Democrats were undersampled by about 9% and Republicans oversampled by about 6%. McConnell leads, no doubt, but i'd still put this at an upper single digit race between 7%-9%.

by: KainIIIC @ Fri Sep 19, 2008 at 15:41:28 PM CDT

by: you @ soon

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What the hell Maine?

I dont get it. Allen is an excellent candidate. Collins is obviously too popular and that is that. I'm pretty much not expecting this seat to be a win for us, at all. Collins will win by a good 10-15%. Although, the massive DSCC ad buy that will definitely be responded with will do some harm so still, stay tuned.

by: Andrew @ Fri Sep 19, 2008 at 19:19:03 PM CDT

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Although time is

Running out, if there's any race where we could see a quick swing to the Dem its Maine, because its such a pro-Dem state.

One other thing, this Rasmussen poll showed Obama leading 50-46, which is completely anomalous in comparison to other Maine polls, so maybe this poll has a GOP lean.

by: safi @ Fri Sep 19, 2008 at 21:39:52 PM CDT

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The people like Allen

His favorables seem to be consistently in the high 50's with low unfavorables in the Rasmussen polls. The problem is Allen has barely made a dent in Collins favorables. She still in the mid-60's approvals. To have any chance that needs to get down in the mid 50's tops.

by: ChadInFL @ Fri Sep 19, 2008 at 22:02:05 PM CDT

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by: you @ soon

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Regionalism

Mainers outside of Portland don't trust Portland politicians.

by: Johnny Longtorso @ Sat Sep 20, 2008 at 07:08:52 AM CDT

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Negative Advertising?

Has Allen done any negative advertising? He's been down too far and too consistently across too many polls to win this election without going negative on Collins. At this stage, he's got nothing to lose by trying.

by: sicembears @ Sun Sep 21, 2008 at 14:52:55 PM CDT

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All I've seen on the net

Ar positive ads. Though I suspect once the DNSC starts really airing ads in Maine they will do the dirty work.

by: ChadInFL @ Sun Sep 21, 2008 at 14:59:20 PM CDT

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Is the other ME Congressman helping?

Allen is well known in his own district, but probably not as much in Maine's other district. If the congressman in the other district trying to help Allen get elected? A couple ads of him endorsing Allen may help in the 2nd district.

by: ChadInFL @ Fri Sep 19, 2008 at 22:04:00 PM CDT

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ME-Sen, OK-Sen, KY-Sen: Collins, Inhofe, McConnell Continue to Lead | 8 comments